$MU

MU has a strong future but expects gradual returns instead of accelerated growth after realizing easy profits.

BullishHe framed it in months
“MU Earnings Continue Bullish AI Memory Demand, Analysts Back Bull Case”
Schwab NetworkPublished Oct 1 · 13 passages

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0:026:44

Let's focus on the Micron stock chart. Given that we received the earnings results yesterday, they were amazing. However, we are down 2.5 percent now. It is clear that we have seen this triple-digit increase since the beginning of the year.

We reached the peak in November, or should I say in June. We were trading largely sideways before these results were released.

But let's talk about the results of this quarter and today's reaction, as that is the focus of "Morning Trade". As you and I analyzed these numbers, the reaction was really interesting.

You were wondering exactly if there was any minor glitch, and why the markets weren't trading higher at that moment.

Sam, it's a lot of what we were looking at yesterday. A few signs of the margins and the presence of slight compression there. Concerns about capital expenditures, but no major warnings.

But it's just minor issues and excessive scrutiny when it comes to this report.

Thus, we continue to see a decisive move downwards, but not to the extent that the options market was pricing in, which was slightly above 7%. I mean, they outperformed in profits.

They issued strong directives. Data center revenues saw an 11-fold jump as they continued to benefit from the growing demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure . Earnings per share reached $33.42 compared to the expected $31.61 .

Revenues nearly quadrupled compared to the fourth quarter of the previous year. Where it amounted to $54.23 billion. Wall Street's expectations were around $51 billion. So, the results are much better than expected .

As for guidance, they are forecasting revenues of approximately $61.5 billion. So, there's more to come there . Earnings per share will jump to $38.15. This is the expectation.

Both of these indicators also exceeded analysts' expectations.

Their stock has risen by 500% this year. A large part of that is driven by memory prices and the shortage of supply. Random Access Memory (DRAM) revenues in this quarter alone rose by more than 340 % compared to last year, reaching $39.8 billion .

This represents approximately 73% of total sales.

When we look at investment, capital spending was another concern here, as they said they plan to increase spending. They are investing $250 billion to build two new high-bandwidth memory manufacturing complexes .

They started work on one of the New York sites in January. They also have a new factory in Boise, Idaho, which is scheduled to begin operations next year. Regarding their projections, at least for the first fiscal quarter, they anticipate capital expenditure of $11.5 billion.

The first half of fiscal year 2027 is expected to be around $25 billion, but they stated that spending for the second half is expected to be even higher than the first half.

So, I think there are perhaps some concerns, but analysts at Goldman Sachs have maintained a neutral rating. They are holding a target price of $1100. Currently, we are at around $1040.

They say they expect the stock to rise slightly after a quarter and guidance that were well above estimates, despite the lack of gross margin guidance that was set against high investor expectations.

So, once again, there is a reference to the guidelines. They also say that investors expect to focus on potential updates to capital spending forecasts.

We have JPMorgan reaffirming its relative overweight rating. They have a price target of $1,540, saying the company delivered a strong quarter that exceeded expectations and raised its targets.

They prefer their updated view on the tightness of supply and demand. They say they have confirmed a near-certain shift in capital returns . They say they have a strong story of profitability for several years from now on.

Morgan Stanley says that over the past three quarters , the company has beaten consensus estimates for earnings per share by 20 to 40%, but last night it beat only 5% and exceeded expectations by 6%, which may be the new normal for Micron's vision of the future.

They maintain a relative overweight rating and a price target of $1200.

Gabelli Funds issued a note this morning saying that the results were once again strong and exceeded expectations, but noted that at this stage I have not heard any negative data that would suggest the memory cycle is reversing toward decline anytime soon in the foreseeable future.

So, there are a lot of questions about the visibility, and about the sustainability of this memory request cycle, which seems to be holding up pretty well if you look at the analysts' comments, Sam.

Yes, of course. The stock is currently trading down 2.3. I really appreciate these details, Molly, and the analysts' reactions. What a fantastic report. A really good review from Molly.

Fantastic profits, and a fantastic company. Up 500 % since the beginning of the year, an amazing performance. But I think that some of those easy profits have already been realized in the company .

Don't expect another 500% return at this time next year. I'm thinking more about a gradual and continuous return. So, just because it has achieved a great return recently does not mean that it cannot reach record levels.

I just wouldn't bet on its growth accelerating at the same recent pace. So, a great company, and a great future.

Based on that, I believe that Micron is affected by the market today despite its amazing profits. I believe that once oil prices calm down and interest rates stop rising, the market will begin to recover.

Specifically, large companies like Micron will see increased demand. Therefore, I will wait for it to return to its normal course and I will take advantage of this drop to buy.

I will do this by selling a long-term call option until March. I will sell the call option at a price of 1400 in March. Currently, we are at approximately 1040 or 1030 in the " micron" range.

So there is a lot of room for growth, and I'm looking to capture more than 30% here. I will receive a premium to mitigate the risk of a downturn during that time .

We see Micron recovering from its lows now. We see this across the memory sector as well. So, let's see what happens.

What this channel has said about $MU

Schwab Network has 18 calls on this stock; only the adjacent ones are shown.

2026-10-01
We begin the new quarter, of course, with a strong "Micron" report . I have achieved amazing results. But the stock fell by 3%. I don't know what the expectations are regarding today's reaction.
Quote at 02:03 ›
2026-10-01BullishThis one
Let's focus on the Micron stock chart. Given that we received the earnings results yesterday, they were amazing. However, we are down 2.5 percent now.
2026-10-01
Let's talk about some good news at Micron. They are working at full capacity there.
Quote at 06:44 ›
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