How Parkev Tatevosian, CFA’s view on $NBIS changed

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2026-10-25Bullish
“Massive Update for Nebius Stock Investors | NBIS STock Analysis”
NBIS is upgraded to a buy, after a roughly 35% fall from above $209 to below $160 since the prior hold. Rental prices per megawatt have risen from about 10-15 million to 40 million with demand still exceeding constrained supply; a discounted cash flow shows a low valuation, and long-term debt of $10 billion is below a competitor's $51 billion. Only for high risk tolerance, among the riskiest investments you can buy.

Nebius Group is trying to differentiate itself from other modern cloud service providers, pointing out that its integrated offerings give it a competitive advantage and better profit margins.

Regardless, the company is classified in the same category as other cloud companies, which has led to a collapse in its stock price. Of course, October 14th was the last time I assessed the Nebios Group, and I warned investors at the time that although the price had fallen up to that date, it did not look like a buying opportunity.

2026-10-17
“Why Is Nebius Stock Falling, and is it a Buying Opportunity? | NBIS Stock Analysis”
NBIS stays a Hold, not a buying opportunity: the $225 DCF fair value versus the $186 price leaves only 21% upside, below the 10-20% margin of safety he requires for one of the riskiest stocks, amid negative free cash flow, a $250 billion capital need with dilution risk, and spot-market exposure.

Nebios has an ambitious goal of reaching a capacity of 5 gigawatts by 2030. On the other hand, the management team has indicated that they need $250 billion to achieve this goal.

Therefore, I wanted to discuss some of these developments and what they might mean for investors in the Nebios Group, my opinion on the group's stock at current market prices, and whether this is a buying opportunity when the price drops by more than 10% today.