$AAOI · Invest with Henry · 2026-11-02
AAOI 是高风险、高回报的长期买入标的,而非稳健型:AI 数据中心需求推动 800Gbps/1.6Gbps 光模块,第二季度营收同比增长 86%,数据中心营收增长 140%,预计到 2027 年中期需求将持续超过产能。尽管股价下跌 30%、亏损 9,000 美元,说话者仍将他的 LEAP 视为买入机会,认为若 AAOI 回到 100 美元(可能在 2027 年第一季度/第二季度)即可获利;他行权价为 80 美元的 2028 年 1 月 LEAP 属于长期持仓。
逐段跳播
好,我们来看第二只股票,Applied Optoelectronics,股票代码是 AAOI。这是一家专门从事光纤网络的公司。该公司设计并制造设备,使海量数据能够通过光纤网络以极高速率传输。
他们的产品包括激光器、光学元件和收发器,主要用于数据中心、有线宽带网络、电信网络以及家庭光纤基础设施。
Okay, let's move on to our second stock, Applied Optoelectronics , with the ticker symbol AAOI. It is a company specializing in fiber optic networks. The company designs and manufactures equipment that allows for the transmission of enormous amounts of data at extremely high speeds over fiber optic networks.
Their products include lasers, optical components, and transceivers, and are used primarily in data centers, cable broadband networks , telecommunications networks, and fiber optic infrastructure for homes.
理解 AAOI 业务性质最简单的方式是,他们从事的是数据传输加速领域。这一点正变得越来越重要,因为人工智能需要大量数据。当像 Microsoft 这样的公司建造包含数千个图形处理器(GPU)的大型人工智能数据中心、而这些 GPU 需要不断相互通信时,AAOI 就派上了用场。
图形处理器提供算力,但它们仍然需要超高速的网络基础设施把所有东西连接起来。AAOI 专门从事这些数据传输业务领域。因此,随着人工智能团队规模扩大、图形处理器(GPU)变得更强大,数据中心需要更快的连接。
The easiest way to understand the nature of AAOI's work is that they work in the field of data transfer acceleration. This is becoming increasingly important , because artificial intelligence requires large amounts of data.
When companies like Microsoft build massive AI data centers containing thousands of graphics processing units (GPUs) that need to communicate constantly with each other, this is where AAOI comes into play.
Graphics processing units provide computing power, but they still need a super-fast network infrastructure to connect everything together. AAOI specifically works in the field of these data transfer operations.
Therefore, as AI teams grow in size and graphics processing units (GPUs) become more powerful, data centers need faster connections.
这个行业正从100吉比特和400吉比特的速度向800吉比特迈进,最终将达到1.6太比特。所以,800就是指每秒800吉比特,也就是每秒最多能传输8000亿比特的数据。AAOI生产光学和激光收发器,正是这些器件让高速通信成为可能。
因此,他们既不构建人工智能模型,也不制造图形处理器。他们提供的是网络基础设施的一部分,让这些庞大的AI数据中心能够真正运转起来。
The sector has been moving from speeds of 100 gigabits and 400 gigabits towards 800 gigabits, and eventually 1.6 terabits. So, 800 simply means 800 gigabits per second, that is, the ability to transmit up to 800 billion bits of data per second.
AAOI manufactures optical and laser transceivers that help make these high-speed communications possible. Therefore, they do not build artificial intelligence models nor do they manufacture graphics processing units .
They provide a portion of the network infrastructure that allows these massive AI data centers to actually operate.
而AAOI的故事真正有意思的地方就在这里。AAOI这个名字我可能不太容易念得出来,但这家公司的增长速度惊人。第二季度,AAOI实现营收约1.92亿,同比增长86%。更令人印象深刻的是,数据中心业务贡献了近1.08亿,同比增长140%。
这一增长很大程度上来自向更快的800吉比特速度以及随后1.6光连接的迁移。上个季度,AAOI来自800Gbps产品的营收增长了一倍多,管理层表示,其800Gbps和1.6Gbps产品的需求预计将超过产能,直到2027年年中。
这大概是我最喜欢这个故事的地方。他们目前的问题不是找不到需求,而是要生产足够多的产品来满足需求。
And this is where the AAOI story becomes really interesting. It may be difficult for me to pronounce the name AAOI, but the company is growing at an incredible pace. In the second quarter , AAOI generated revenues of approximately 192 million, an increase of 86% year-on-year.
Even more impressive is that the data center business generated nearly 108 million, a 140% year-on-year increase. Much of this growth comes from the move to faster 800 gigabits speeds, and then 1.6 optical connections.
AAOI's revenue from 800Gbps units more than doubled in the last quarter, and management says demand for its 800Gbps and 1.6Gbps products is expected to outpace its production capacity until mid-2027.
That's probably the most I like about this story. Their problem at the moment is not finding demand, but manufacturing enough products to meet that demand.
AAOI表示,其产能正接近每月20万件,并预计到2026年底,每月能生产约65万件800Gb和1.6Gb类别的产品。他们还在大幅扩建得克萨斯州的制造基地,新增近40万平方英尺的产能,专门用于帮助扩大这些下一代光学产品的生产规模。
AAOI says it is approaching a production capacity of 200,000 units per month and expects to be able to produce around 650,000 units of the 800Gb and 1.6Gb categories per month by the end of 2026.
They are also significantly expanding their manufacturing in Texas, adding nearly 400,000 square feet of production capacity specifically to help scale up production of these next-generation optical products.
我们已经看到大型客户下了非常大的订单。今年早些时候,AAOI宣布获得一位超大规模领域长期客户价值超过2亿的1.6产品订单。他们还宣布了800G产品系列的大额订单。
We are already seeing large consumers placing very large orders. Earlier this year, AAOI announced an order for a 1.6 product worth over 200 million from a long- term customer in the hyperband field.
They also announced large orders for their 800G product range.
因此,我现在想打开AAOI Electronics的数据。我给大家看看过去一个月发生了什么,这只股票下跌了大约30%。我在自己持有的一个当前头寸上亏了9000美元,那是我个人买入的几份看涨期权。
这些期权现在处于价外,也就是说它们不再盈利,因为股价低于我的行权价。
Therefore, I want to open the data for AAOI Electronics now. I'll show you what happened during the last month, where the stock fell by approximately 30% . I lost $9,000 in a current financial position I own, which is a few buy options that I personally purchased, okay?
These options are now out of price range, which means they are no longer profitable because the stock price is lower than my execution price.
不过,尽管我在这个头寸上亏损了,我仍然认为这个头寸本身还是一个买入机会。我期待做的是采用平均成本法,买入更多我的LEAP期权,因为我认为它们最终会盈利,尤其是如果AAOI股价能回到100美元的话。这或许会在2027年第一季度或第二季度发生。
However, despite my loss in this position, I believe that this particular position is still a buying opportunity. What I'm looking forward to doing is using the average dollar cost and buying more of my LEAP options, because I think they will eventually become profitable, especially if AAOI stock manages to return to $100.
This could happen perhaps in the first or second quarter of 2027.
别忘了股价变化能有多快。股票崩盘时,跌得很猛。而股票上涨时,也能涨得同样快。所以,一个月里我们跌了30%,三个月里也是一样,但在一年期的图表上,这只股票实际上翻了一倍。因此,这会是一只波动性很高的股票,绝不是我的投资组合里那种关键的稳定资产。
它更接近一笔高风险、高回报的交易,而我现在是通过“LIB”期权来看待它的。
Don't forget how quickly stock prices can change . When stocks crash, they crash hard. And when stocks rise, they can rise just as quickly. So, in one month we dropped by 30%, and the same in three months, but on the one-year chart , the stock actually doubled, okay?
Therefore, this would be a highly volatile name, and by no means a key stable asset in my investment portfolio. This is closer to being a high-risk, high-reward deal that I am now looking at through the "LIB" option.
所以,如果我在这里没有任何头寸,我大概会以80的行权价建立一个“lip”头寸,也就是我目前持有的这个。这个80的行权价到期日是2028年。对我来说这是一个非常长期的头寸。你可以看到我在这里持有的头寸,日期是2028年1月21日,行权价80。
我有充足的时间,这不是一个需要我每天或每周去管理的头寸。我不做日内交易。我也不做波段交易。Henry大叔在这里教你们的是持续被动收入和增长。我使用的增长策略是我自己深入的个性化策略。
这里的这个头寸在技术上不会被视为“深度”,因为它不在价内。这只是一个行权价处于价外的长期看涨期权,因为Applied Opto Electronics的股价是70,而行权价是80,而我仍然有兴趣持有它。
So, if I didn't have any position here, I would probably start with a "lip" position at an execution price of 80, which is what I currently have. This execution price of 80 expires until 2028.
It's a very long-term position for me. You can see the position I own here, dated January 21, 2028, with an execution price of 80. I have plenty of time, and this is not a position that I need to manage on a daily or weekly basis.
I do not day trade. I do not practice swing trading. Uncle Henry is here to teach you about continuous passive income and growth. The growth strategy I use is my own deep personal strategy.
This position here will not be considered technically "deep" because it is not within the price range. This would simply be a long-term buy option with an out-of-range execution price, because Applied Opto Electronics' stock price is at 70 and this execution price is 80, which is what I'm still interested in owning.
观察点
这个频道对 $AAOI 的历次判断
Invest with Henry 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。