$AAPL · Schwab Network · 2026-11-03
说话者对苹果持乐观态度:他认为市场过度关注利润率,因为内存和芯片成本上涨是可预期的,且可控程度足以让利润率回到正常区间,同时iPhone、服务业务和国际增长使生态系统保持强劲。他认为苹果的机会在于通过Siri及其设备分发其他公司的AI智能体,对利润率和AI领导力仅有轻微担忧,而AI领导力正是苹果历来薄弱的领域。
逐段跳播
我们看到 Apple 的营收和每股收益都超出了预期,并且给出了 12 月季度营收增长强于预期的指引,但我看到的却是 2.25% 的下跌。
we saw Apple beat revenue and earnings per share expectations, and provided guidance for stronger-than-expected revenue growth in the December quarter, yet I see a 2.25 percent decline.
市场是不是几乎完全把注意力放在这些利润率上了?你认为这样做对吗?我认为,看 Apple 现在的情况,是的,我觉得人们过于关注利润率了。
Is the market focusing almost entirely on these margins , and do you think this is the right thing to do? I think when we look at Apple's situation here, yes, I think people are focusing too much on the margins.
内存和芯片零部件成本上涨是意料之中的。这种情况我们已经看到持续了一段时间,但这家公司的表现依然非常好。iPhone 表现强劲,占第四季度销售额的一半以上,这非常了不起。
The rising costs of memory and chip components are to be expected. We've seen this continue for some time, but this company is still performing very well. The iPhone performed strongly, representing more than half of the fourth quarter's sales , which is fantastic.
我们看到 Apple 整体在国际范围内持续增长。所以,有很多积极因素值得肯定,这也是我对 Apple 整体上依然乐观的原因。
We see continued growth on an international scale for Apple in general. So, there are many positives to be taken, and that's why I remain optimistic about Apple more broadly.
开发 Apple 各类产品所需的投入成本上涨是意料之中的,我们只能等待并观察未来会怎样。但我相信这是可以控制的,能把利润率拉回到正常且符合预期的区间。
The rising costs of inputs for developing Apple's various products are to be expected, and we have to wait and see what the future holds here. But I believe that can be controlled to bring the margins back to a normal and expected range.
Nick,结合我们昨天从 Apple 得到的所有数据,你现在怎么看 Apple 生态系统的实力?另外,这让你对 Apple 的主要消费者有什么了解?
Nick, with all the numbers we got from Apple yesterday, how do you view the strength of Apple's ecosystem right now? Also, what does that tell you about Apple's primary consumer?
是的,你看,iPhone 的销售非常非常强劲,服务业务也非常强劲。公司的生态系统无疑处于强势地位。
Yes, well, look, iPhone sales are really, really strong . And its services are very strong as well. The company's ecosystem is undoubtedly in a strong position.
我认为,公司和市场对 Apple 的期望是它能在人工智能领域表现出色,而它过去在这一领域是落后的。我的意思是,对利润率的担忧正是由此而来。因此,我认为这对他们来说是一项必要的投资。
I think what the company and the market expect from Apple is to excel in the field of artificial intelligence , where they have lagged behind in the past. And I mean, this is where the concern about margins comes from.
Therefore, I believe this is a necessary investment for them.
有人担心,随着人工智能在世界范围内更广泛地使用、消费者对其需求增加,利润率会持续下降,因为它比过去的软件托管成本更昂贵。
There are concerns that as artificial intelligence becomes more widely used around the world and consumer demand for it increases, profit margins will continue to decline because it is more expensive than the software hosting costs of the past.
我认为这正是 Apple 应该参与竞争的领域。所以,我认为这里存在一些担忧,既在利润率方面,也有轻微的担忧,因为这位新领导正带领我们进入一个 Apple 历来薄弱的领域。所以,接下来会发生什么会很有意思。
This is an area where I believe Apple should compete. So , I think there is some concern here, both in terms of profit margins, and also a slight concern because this new person is leading us into an area where Apple has historically been weak. So, it will be interesting to see what happens.
James,Nick 刚才提到了支出这个话题。那么,我们当然得谈谈这个事实:Apple 在人工智能基础设施上的支出远低于许多大型云计算同行。我的意思是,那些百分比要低几百个百分点。
你认为这是一种战略优势,还是他们冒着在人工智能竞赛中落后的风险?因为最近关于 Apple 的许多讨论都暗示它几乎是一家反人工智能的公司?
James, Nick just brought up the topic of spending. So, of course, we have to talk about the fact that Apple spends far less than many of its giant cloud computing peers on AI infrastructure.
I mean, those percentages are hundreds of percentage points lower. Do you see this as a strategic advantage, or are they risking falling behind in the artificial intelligence race ?
Because much of the talk about Apple lately suggests that it is almost an anti-AI company?
是的,我不一定会说它是一家反人工智能的公司。我认为它是一家了解自己在最广义的人工智能生态系统中位置的公司。它有 Siri,这是它正在发展的方向,并在人工智能上做了一些边际性的投资,但我不认为 Apple 把自己看作这个更广泛生态系统中的参与者。
Yes, I wouldn't necessarily say it's an anti- AI company. It is a company that I believe understands its position within the artificial intelligence ecosystem in its broadest sense.
It has Siri, which is where it is heading and making some marginal investments in artificial intelligence, but I don't think that's where Apple sees itself as a player in this broader ecosystem.
我认为,当 Apple 审视更广泛的市场时,它说的是:“嘿,对于那些希望大规模触达消费者的人工智能公司来说,我们就是终极的部署工具,对吧?”
I think when Apple looks at the broader market, it's saying, " Hey, we're the ultimate deployment tool for all these AI companies looking to connect with consumers on a massive scale, right?"
Apple iPhone 是世界上最受欢迎的手机之一。所以,我认为他们意识到了这一点,也许他们的投资更侧重于如何让我们的手机更高效,以便我们能够支持其他从事这项人工智能工作的公司。
因此,我会说,这项投资在战略上指向了另一个方向。
The Apple iPhone is one of the most popular phones in the world. So, I think they are aware of this, and perhaps their investments are focusing more on how to make our phones more efficient so that we can support other AI companies that are doing this work.
Therefore, the investment, I would say, is strategically directed in a different direction.
Nick,你提出了一个很有意思的观点,关于独立 AI 开发者在 Siri 方面所拥有的机会。随着 Siri 能力的不断增强以及 AI 交互的普及,你认为 Apple 这家公司是否有潜力或机会打造出一个全新的、由 AI 驱动的应用和服务生态系统?
Nick, you make an interesting point about the opportunity available to independent AI developers when it comes to Siri. With Siri's increasing capabilities and the prevalence of AI interactions, do you see Apple as a company with the potential or opportunity to create an entirely new ecosystem of AI-powered applications and services ?
是的,100%。所以我认为,巨大的机会就在这里。我的意思是,很多人担心利润率,但生态系统的增长非常强劲。而且我认为,随着所有这些与商业代理相关的东西不断涌现,比如 Muse——这是本周的大事件——存在很大的机会;在硅谷,有大量这类经过 iMessage 认证的代理正在到处涌现。
Yes, 100%. So, I think this is where the great opportunity lies. I mean, there's a lot of concern about the margins, but growth in the ecosystem is very strong. And I think there’s a big opportunity with all these commercial agent-related things that are popping up, like Muse, which is the big event this week, and in Silicon Valley, there are a lot of these iMessage-certified agents that are popping up everywhere.
我相信 Apple 处于非常有利的位置,可以成为大多数这类 AI 应用的分发渠道,无论这些应用是独立开发者打造的细分应用,还是大型企业拥有的大型代理。
I believe Apple is very well positioned to be the distribution channel for most of these AI applications, whether they are niche applications built by independent developers, or larger proxies owned by major corporations.
在这两种情况下,我认为消费者大概率会通过 Apple 设备来使用他们的 AI 工具。这似乎是本季度增长中一个非常强劲的组成部分。所以,我很期待看到接下来会有什么新进展。
In both cases, I think consumers will most likely interact with their AI tools through Apple devices. This appears to be a very strong component of the growth that occurred this quarter.
So, I'm excited to see what comes next from this .
现在,我认为投入在 Siri 和 Siri 人工智能上的大部分投资,实际上都是为了确保这个生态系统继续成为一个强大的环境,让开发者能够通过它把产品提供给公众。因为光有出色的硬件还不够,还必须有出色的软件,这样人们才能在整个平台上为消费者提供最佳的体验。
Now, I think much of the investment being made in Siri and Siri's artificial intelligence is really aimed at ensuring the ecosystem continues to be a strong environment through which developers can make their products available to the public.
Because it doesn't just have to be great hardware, it has to be great software too, so that people can deliver the best experiences to consumers across the platform.
James,你如何看待 Apple 将自己定位为一个把人工智能与消费者连接起来的平台、而不必开发背后所有智能的策略?这最终是正确的举措吗?这是正确的策略吗?还是说 Apple 实际上需要拥有更多人工智能技术,才能真正掌控与消费者的这种关系?
James, how do you view Apple's strategy of positioning itself as a platform that connects artificial intelligence to the consumer, without necessarily developing all the intelligence behind it?
Is this ultimately the right step? Is this the right strategy? Or does Apple actually need to have more artificial intelligence technologies to truly control that relationship with the consumer?
我认为,正如刚才在这里讨论的,随着 Siri 与这些 AI 公司及其产品交互的能力提升,这无疑是 Apple 可以做得更好的一个领域。而且他们会继续在这方面努力。
I think, as has just been discussed here, that certainly as Siri’s ability to interact with these AI companies and their products improves, this is an area where Apple can definitely get better. And they will continue to work on that.
但我认为,正如所讨论的,构建软件来支持将要发生的所有 AI 生态系统活动是很重要的。对 Apple 来说,归根结底,正如我刚才所说,他们知道自己就是分发人工智能的平台,本质上是以过去不可能的方式将人工智能与消费者连接起来。
But I think it is important to build the software as discussed to support all the AI ecosystem activity that will take place. For Apple, ultimately, as I just said , they know they are the platform that distributes artificial intelligence, essentially to connect it with consumers in ways that were not possible before.
所以,对他们来说,关键在于确保设备的效率,以便他们能在设备上运行所有这些 AI 代理和应用,同时不会给消费者带来额外的问题,比如电池续航缩短或其他类似问题。
So, for them, it really comes down to ensuring the efficiency of their devices, so that they can run all these AI agents and applications on their devices in ways that do not cause additional problems for the consumer, such as reduced battery life or other similar issues.
他们希望确保自己的产品仍然保持标准,即 Apple 在过去几十年里一直为消费者提供的最高标准。Apple 的表现比财报公布后的盘后交易时段要好一些,但仍下跌约 2%,并拖累道琼斯指数一同走低。
They want to make sure that their product still maintains the standards, the highest standards that Apple has consistently offered consumers over the past several decades . Well, Apple's performance is better than it was in after-hours trading following the earnings announcement , but it is still down about 2% and dragging the Dow Jones index down with it.
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这个频道对 $AAPL 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 50 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。