$AAPL · Benzinga · 2026-11-03
Apple 跌破 335 关键支撑,现位于 324;说话者预计会先测试 320 再转为上行,随后在触底季节性规律和持续吸筹的推动下反弹,回调是通往 335-340 的买入区,但反弹能否守住尚不明确。
逐段跳播
与此同时,Apple在让投资者失望之后遭到打击。
Meanwhile, Apple is getting hit after disappointing investors.
我们确实看到Apple下跌了。
We do have Apple down.
Apple周二盘前交易下跌4.57%,尽管其公布的2026年第四季度财报超出预期,每股收益为210美元,营收为1144.848亿美元,而预期为1.99美元和1133.9亿美元。
Apple was 4.57% lower in pre-market trading on Tuesday despite reporting fourth quarter 2026 earnings that beat estimates with EPS of $210 on revenue of $114.48 48 billion versus estimates of $1.99 and 113.39 billion.
Apple一路走低。
Apple straightening down.
又一天,你知道,他们不知为何又回到Apple,至少在前四分钟是这样,然后它就惨烈地死掉了。
another day you know they go back to Apple for some reason at least for the first four minutes before it dies a gory death.
早盘最活跃的是Spies Q's、Apple、Palanteer、Celis、Life Sciences、Intel、Micron、Oracle、Tesla、SanDisk、AMD、Nvidia,毫无意外,还有SpaceX 138。
Uh, most active in the morning. Spies Q's, Apple, Palanteer, Celis, Life Sciences, Intel, Micron, Oracle, Tesla, SanDisk, AMD, Nvidia, no surprises, SpaceX 138.
收盘之后,Apple受到追捧,然后
after the close, Apple loving and then um
你知道,Apple是一只今天可能转涨,也可能再跌五个点,或者在区间里来回震荡的股票。它不会好做。这一点我可以告诉你。不会好做,而且它很可能走自己的独立行情。
you know, Apple's a stock that could go positive today or it could go down five more points or trunch [snorts] around in a range. It's not going to be easy to trade. I'll tell you that much.
Not going to be easy to trade and it probably will be in its own world.
注意,我问J.R.的时候,他并没有说他在交易Apple。
Notice when I asked J.R., he didn't say he's he's trading Apple.
看一下Apple的图表。
Take a look at a chart of Apple.
桌面上有太多东西要看了,比如Apple盘中会怎么走。
there's so much stuff on the table with how's Apple going to perform intraday.
所以我看了Apple,也看了Palunteer,然后我说,这些家伙要回落了。他们要回落了。不管他们有多好都没用。我是说,说真的,我们为什么要买Apple?呃,因为他们在AI上的支出没有别人大。又不是说他们有什么新创新。
so I looked at Apple and I looked at Palunteer and I went those guys are going to fade. They're they're going to fade. It doesn't matter how great they are. I mean, literally, why are we buying Apple?
Uh because their AI spend isn't as big as everybody else's. It's not like they've got new innovation.
当我们整体看一下市场,看看 Apple 的时候,我一看这个,第一个注意到的就是出现了技术背离,卖压正在上升。当然,它仍在吸筹,这一点毫无疑问,是正面的,但正在减弱。所以,他们在上涨过程中并没有加大买入。
现在我们跌到了 335 这个关键支撑位,我们跌破了它,现在在 324。我看不出为什么我们不会先测试 320,然后再转身回升。道理是一样的。我们买入 Apple,是因为他们不像其他公司那样疯狂花钱。
三星大概 14 年前就有翻盖手机、双屏手机了,而现在他们的 MacBook 上才有触摸屏。你看看 Steve Jobs 关于这件事的那篇文章,他说:“没人想那样做。如果你手往下放还行,但往上抬就不行了,你会手部疲劳。”
所以这不过是那种“哦,是不是挺可爱”的东西,也许你会想去追。所以其实并没有什么创新。他们有一群像我这样的人被 iPhone、iPad、MacBook 等等牢牢拴住,我们喜欢设备之间那种便捷的沟通方式。
所以我们被困住了。除此之外,这只是我个人的看法。
when we take a look at the the market in general and you know we look at Apple my thought was immediately when I took a look at this the first thing I notice is I've got technical divergence I've got uh I've got distribution that is on the rise I mean it's still accumulating no doubt about it it's positive But it's fading.
So, they aren't buying more on the way up. And here we are down at this critical support at 335. We broke it. We're now at 324. I don't see why we don't test 320 before we turn around and and move back up.
And that's the same. We're buying Apple because they're not spending wildly like everybody else. Um, you know, Samsung had a flip phone, a a dual screen phone, I don't know, 14 years ago, you know, and now they're touchscreen on their MacBooks.
You watch the Steve Jobs article about that. He was like, "Nobody wants to do that. It's okay if you're down, but not if you're up. You're going to get hand fatigue." And so, it's just sort of a Oh, isn't that cute?
kind of thing that you might want to go after. And so there's really no innovation. They've got a group of guys and gals like me hooked to the iPhone, the iPad, the MacBook, and whatever.
And we like the the easy way we communicate between devices. And so we're trapped. Other than that, I mean, but that's just me.
对我来说,让我这样做。我得把这个形态保存下来,因为我在这里犯了个错误。对我来说,我在看一些盘后的走势变化。所以我想看看 Apple 会怎么表现,它会不会从底部抬升?V 正在减弱。
它正在从底部抬升,所以它守住了这个十字星形态。所以如果我们自己想,嘿,他们会逢低买入,那也没问题。它确实有吸筹,它在吸筹。动能是负的,但仍高于零。所以,他们在寻找支撑。
For me, um, let me do this. Uh, I got to save this setup because I made a mistake here. Uh for me I am looking at some post starting shifts. So I want to see how does Apple behave.
Does it lift off of the floor? V is you know ball is fading. Um it is lifting up off of the floor. So it's holding this dogee action. And so if we're thinking to ourselves, hey, they're gonna buy the dip, then, you know, that's that's okay.
I mean, it does have accumulation. It is accumulating. The momentum is negative, but still above zero. So, they're looking for support.
所以对我来说,我可能会看看卖看跌价差,作为最后一个。我们做一个 jade lizard,但不完全是 jade lizard。我们做点像这样的。我们看看。给它……好吧,vault 的衰减在哪里?
V 在第 11 日左右衰减得相当厉害。所以,我们做一个 jade lizard。其实不完全是 jade lizard,因为我还要给它下行保护。所以,我们要卖出一个看跌价差,它会给我们 1 美元。
我们卖出 11 月 11 日 320/315 的看跌价差,收 1 美元。然后我们买入……V 在哪里?让我回看这张图。我们预期它去哪里?335。我们可以做 335 到 340,那是 120。
所以最终,如果它直线上涨,我们白赚 500 美元,因为空头价差为多头价差买单。我们最多亏损这里的 500 美元,除了几分钱,因为本质上一个是另一个的买单。所以我们要么亏掉全部 500,要么赚 500,如果我们预期价格走势反弹,这真的很好,我得告诉你我确实这么预期,因为从百分比角度看,还有季节性——说实话季节性让我失望了不少——季节性表明这处于筑底过程中,这里会有反弹动作。
它能不能守住是另一回事,但我个人真的很喜欢它。所以这就是我会关注的。这确实就是我会关注的。我会关注价格走势开始守在 ledge 上方。就在这里,它守在 ledge 上方。回调将是买入区,然后它会直接轮动上涨。
你会注意到,盘中相对最近 20 根 K 线、最近 30 根 K 线,抱歉,图表上这里正在吸筹。所以,他们在这里试图逢低买入。所以我喜欢这个。我认为这个会向上转变,给 Palanteer 带来向上的漂浮走势。
So, for me, I would look at maybe a short put spread for the last. Let's do a jade lizard, but not quite the jade lizard. Let's do um let's do something like this. Let's take a look.
Let's give it Okay, where's the vault dampen? The V gets pretty damp at about the 11th. So, let's do a jade lizard. And so, at not really a jade lizard because I'm going to give it downside protection as well.
So, we are going to sell a put spread. It's going to give us a dollar. We're going to sell the November 11th 320 315 put spread for a dollar. And then we're going to buy Where is the V sitting?
And let me look back at this chart. Where do we expect it to go? 335. We could do 335 to 340 and that's 120. And so ultimately, if it moves straight up, we get free $500 because this the short spread pays for the long spread.
And the maximum we lose is our um $500 here with the exception of a few pennies because one pays for the other essentially. So, we lose the whole 500 or we make 500, which is really nice if we're expecting the price action to bounce, which I have to tell you I am because from a percentage perspective and seasonality, which has let me down quite a bit to be fair, seasonality suggests that this is in a bottoming flow and there is going to be a bounce action here.
Whether it holds is another story or not, but I for one really like it. And so that's that's what I would be looking at. That's really what I would be looking at. I would be looking for price action to start holding above the ledge.
And here it is right here. It's holding above the ledge. Pullbacks will be buy zones and then it'll rotate right up. You'll notice intra morning, intraday relative to the last 20 candles, the last 30 candles, excuse me, accumulation is occurring here in the chart.
So, they are trying to buy the dips here. So, I like that one. I think this one sort of shifts to the upside and gives us a floating motion upward for Palanteer.
哦,看看 Apple 和 Palunteer 的情况怎么样了。很好。喜欢。完全按照我认为的走。真的真的很好。有点走平了。所以盘中走势,如果你想的话,可以减掉一些。335 是我认为它会去的位置,现在已经几乎到了。
所以现在我们升一个时间周期,看看能不能多守一会儿。
Oh, let's see how the Apple and Palunteer things are going. Great. Love it. Doing exactly Doing exactly what I think it's going to. That's really really nice. Flattening out a little bit.
So intraday motion. if you want to you want to sort of trim some of that. 335 is where I thought it would head to and you know it's almost right there. And so now we go up a time frame to see if we can hold it a little bit longer.
这个频道对 $AAPL 的历次判断
Benzinga 在这只股票上共 10 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。