$AMD · Schwab Network · 2026-11-03
AMD 今日盘后公布财报,技术面偏弱——股价低于其 5 日、21 日和 63 日均线(EMA),RSI 低于 50——尽管过去一年涨幅接近 80%,并跑赢 SMH 和 XLK。说话者预计股价将呈区间震荡反应,幅度约 11%,倾向在本周到期日采用中性铁鹰策略,盈亏平衡点约在 431.85 和 533.15。
逐段跳播
在财报方面,AMD 定于今天收盘后公布季度业绩。华尔街预期营收超过131亿,每股收益1.94美元。指引将是关键,因为投资者希望看到第四季度继续增长,营收超过160亿,每股收益2.55美元。
On the earnings front, AMD set to report quarterly results after the close of trading today. Wall Street is looking for revenue of more than 13.1 billion on EPS of a buck 94. Guidance will be key as investors want to see continued growth in Q4 with revenue north of 16 billion, EPS of 255.
这里可以看到,AMD 虽然显示为红色,但仍明显跑赢 SMH 半导体 ETF 和 XLK 科技板块 ETF,后两者分别显示为紫色和青色。截至昨天收盘,AMD 过去一年上涨了近80%。
Here we can see that AMD in red here still significantly outperforming both the SMH semiconductor ETF and the XLK tech sector ETF in purple and teal respectively here. AMD up almost 80% during the past year as of yesterday's close.
所以,我们在盘前也上涨得相当明显。我们还可以看到,在 CPU 和 GPU 制造商中,AMD 排在第二位,落后于 Marll,但最近 Intel、AMD 和 Marll 都出现了非常明显的下滑。
所以,对这几家芯片制造商来说,眼下确实是一段艰难的时期。
So, we are up pretty notably in the in the pre-market as well. We can see too that uh AMD of our kind of CPU and GPU makers uh second place uh behind Marll but a very noticeable slide here recently for Intel, AMD and Marll.
So uh a difficult time to be sure for uh several of these chipmaker names.
当我们更仔细地看 AMD 时,它一两个月前在这里见顶于65852。随后价格沿着这个通道形态下行,连接到这里这个显著的高点。你可以复制这条线并把它画到低点上,形成这个通道边界。那大约就是我们昨天触及低点的位置。
但我上次查看时,我们在盘前上涨了略高于4%。所以,在我们迎来这次财报之际,这可能算是一次反弹。
When we do look at uh AMD more closely, we topped out here 65852 uh a couple a month or two ago. Uh then we have traveled down in this channel type shape here connecting at this notable high point here.
You could duplicate the line and put it across the lows to give this channel type boundary here. That's around where we hit our lows yesterday. But when I checked last, we were up a little bit more than 4% in the pre-market here.
So that could be uh uh a bit of a bounce here as we uh head into this earnings.
现在我们可以看到一些值得关注的横向水平位。这里有一个缺口,随后的低点昨天被跌破,为479,但这大约就是我们盘前到目前为止回升到的位置。所以,这也成为一个值得关注的支撑区域。这里还有另一个缺口以及随后的低点,从收盘价来看这些低点基本守住了。
我们确实有一次异常下探跌破该水平,但那个水平大约在451。与此同时,在上方,财报后的高点与随后的高点和低点相吻合,大约在528附近。
So now we can see here as well some horizontal levels to follow here. a gap here and a subsequent low was breached yesterday, 479, but that's around where we've recovered to in the pre-market so far.
So, this also stands out as a supportive area. Another gap here and subsequent lows which mostly held on in terms of our closing prices. We did have one anomalous push below that level here, but that level was about 451.
Meanwhile, to the upside, highs after earnings match up with subsequent highs and lows near about 528 as well.
如果我们继续往下看,在我们跟踪的移动平均线中,价格已经跌破了三条较短期的均线:5日、21日、63日指数移动平均线。目前最近的是周线5日均线,截至昨天收盘为51557。RSI 在走低。
我们位于代表超卖区域的30线之上,但位于50中轴线之下。所以,更偏空一些。最后,我们的成交量分布研究显示,在约470到528之间有一个节点。那是一个成交密集区。
If we were to keep moving on here, our moving averages that we follow, price has uh fallen below three of our shorter term ones. 5day, 21day, 63-day exponential moving averages here.
The closest now is our weekly 5day at 51557 as of yesterday's close. RSI moving lower. We are above that 30 line here that represents the oversold area, but we are below the 50 midline here.
So, more of a bearish lean. Finally, our volume profile study shows we have a node here between about 470 to to uh 528. So that was a a heavy trading concentration area.
对。鉴于目前前景有些不稳,或许可以做一个更中性的交易,瞄准本周到期、围绕这次财报,期间波动约正负11%。所以是铁鹰式组合:卖出11月6日530/540看涨期权、4354/425看跌期权的铁鹰式组合,权利金为315,距到期3天,315是我们的最大利润,即我们收到的权利金,最大亏损为685,风险回报比大约2:1。
盈亏平衡点为43185和53315,分别相距约11%和10%。预期波动约11%,使这些非常接近盈亏平衡点。所以是希望价格保持在这些边界之内。
Right. Given the kind of shaky outlook so far, perhaps a more neutral trade targeting this week's expiration focused on earnings here plus or minus about 11% during that time. So in iron condor minus one November 6th 530 540 4354 425 iron condor at a 315 credit here 3 days out 315 is our max profit our credit received uh our max loss 685 roughly a 2:1 in terms of uh uh risk-to-reward here.
Um but our break evens 43185 53315 are about 11 and 10% uh away here. are expected move about 11% puts those very close to those break evens here. So looking for this to stay within those boundaries.
观察点
这个频道对 $AMD 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 24 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。