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$AMD

$AMD · Schwab Network · 2026-11-04

AI 摘要 · Schwab Network

AMD 在关键环节超预期,构成看涨理由:数据中心营收同比增长97%至85亿美元,高于预期的82亿美元;每股收益2.09美元超出预期;第四季度指引约170亿美元,比平均预期高出约10亿美元,尽管PC客户端营收29亿美元未达30亿美元目标。说话者认为短期有上行空间,并相信即便大盘下跌,AMD 也能承受抛售压力;若市场企稳,AMD 有望领涨AI板块。

看涨他说的是几周内
《AMD Rallies After Chipmaker "Beat Where It Mattered" in Earnings》
Schwab Network发布 2026-11-04 · 27 段内容
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27 段内容
0:086:21

AMD 的股价在昨晚一份稳健的财报发布后上涨。由于这份财报,AMD 是今早交易的主要焦点。所以,市场反应相当不错。

AMD's stock price rose after a solid earnings report last night. AMD is the main focus of this morning's trading due to this earnings report. So, there is a pretty good response.

从最初的市场反应可以清楚看出,投资者愿意忽略部分缺口,因为他们在最关键的领域表现良好。他们在营收和利润方面都超出了预期,并且在他们需要重点关注的领域取得了成功。

it was clear in the initial market reaction that investors were willing to overlook some of the shortfall because they did well in the areas that mattered most. I mean, they did better than expected in terms of revenue and profit and they succeeded where they needed to be focused.

数据中心营收同比增长97%。这是一个非常重要的指标。不过,在某些具体方面他们未能达到目标。不过,每股收益不在其中。他们以2.09美元超出了预期。

Data center revenue increased 97 percent year-on-year. This was a very important metric here. However, in some specific cases they could not meet the targets. However, EPS was not among them. They exceeded expectations with $2.09.

总营收为133.8亿美元。这也是一个不错的结果,并且比去年有所改善。他们的数据中心部门报告营收为85亿美元,抱歉,这远高于82亿美元的预测,几乎是一年前的两倍。

Total revenue was $13.38 billion. This is also a good result and an improvement over last year. Their data center division reported revenue of $8.5 billion, sorry, which is much higher than the forecast of $8.2 billion , which is almost double what it was a year ago.

CEO Lisa Su 表示,AMD 有能力满足对 AI 芯片日益增长的需求。所以,这与那些说无法满足需求的其他公司略有不同。他说他们可以。他们会满足需求。他们会找到办法。

And CEO Lisa Su says AMD is capable of meeting the growing demand for AI chips. So, it's a slightly different story than other companies who are saying they ca n't meet demand.

He says they can. They will meet the demand. They will find a way.

他在电话会议上表示,他预计2027年服务器营收将同比翻倍。数据中心 AI 的增长将快于公司90天前的估计。公司预计数据中心将推动其大部分营收和盈利增长。

He said on the call that he expects server revenue to double year-on-year in 2027. Data center AI growth will be faster than the company estimated 90 days ago. The company expects data centers to drive the bulk of their revenue and earnings growth.

他们的客户业务营收(包括 PC 销售)达到29亿美元。这是一个未能达到目标的领域。华尔街此前预计这里会超过30亿美元。

Their client business revenue, which includes PC sales, reached $2.9 billion. This was an area of failure to achieve the target. Wall Street expected more than $3 billion here.

不过,他们的 PC 业务不像 Intel 那样脆弱。这仅占 AMD 业务的约四分之一,而且严重偏向 AI 数据中心营收,因此在其业务中的占比正变得越来越小。

However, their PC business is not as vulnerable as Intel's. This is only about a quarter of AMD's business and it is heavily skewed towards AI data center revenue and therefore becoming a smaller part of their business.

所以,他们并没有因为 PC 市场而出现如此显著的下降,但在这项指标上略微落后。但正如你指出的,市场对此比较宽容,因为他们在关键的地方取得了成功。我们上涨了约2%。

So, they didn't see such a significant decline because of the PC market, but they were a little behind in that measure. But, as you point out, the market is forgiving of this because they have succeeded where it matters. We are about 2% up.

他们表示,预计第四季度将产生约170亿美元的收入。这比平均预期高出约10亿美元。本季度的毛利率预计约为55%,这与市场预期非常一致。

And in the fourth quarter , they're saying they expect to generate about $17 billion in revenue. This was about a billion dollars more than the average estimate. And their gross margin for this quarter is expected to be around 55%, which is very much in line with market expectations.

包括高盛在内的分析师维持买入评级,目标价为700美元。作为参考,即便有这波上涨趋势,我们现在的股价是492美元。

Analysts, including Goldman Sachs, are maintaining their buy rating. They have a price target of $700. For reference, we are now at $492 , even with this upward trend.

公司表示,在强劲的业绩和指引之后,预计股价会进一步上涨。

The company said it expects the stock price to rise further following strong results and guidance.

由于英特尔的影响,投资者的预期被明显下调。不过,他们认为关键亮点在于数据中心的强劲表现、好于预期的毛利率结果,以及符合预期的运营支出展望。

And investor expectations were significantly lowered due to Intel. However, the key things they felt were the strength of the data center, better-than-expected gross margin results, and their in-line OPEX outlook.

BOFA将目标价从720美元下调至650美元,但仍意味着相当大的上涨空间。他们维持了买入评级。他们表示,按照原话,AMD满足了我们在财报电话会议前预期的每一项条件。

BOFA lowered their price target from 720 to 650, but it still suggests a fair bit of upside. They maintained their buy rating. They said that AMD, according to the quote, met every condition we expected before the earnings call.

他们将2027和2028自然年的每股收益预期上调了4%。不过,他们下调了该目标价,以反映该板块估值倍数近期的收缩。

And they have increased their EPS estimates by 4% for calendar years 27 and 28. However, they have lowered that price target to reflect the recent contraction in the sector's multiples.

Wells Fargo也将目标价从700美元下调至650美元,但维持了增持评级。这再次表明这里有显著的上涨空间。

Wells Fargo also lowered their target from 700 to 650, but they maintained an overweight rating. Once again, there are indications of significant upside here.

UBS将目标价下调了约30美元至700美元,同时也维持了买入评级。因此,市场对AMD普遍存在看涨情绪和看涨反应。

UBS lowered their target by about $30 to $700. They also maintained a buy rating. Therefore, there is widespread bullish sentiment and bullish reaction towards AMD.

Sam,我们一直在寻找那家能改变这些芯片制造商和AI交易中那些大牌公司格局的科技公司,而AMD今天似乎正在做到这一点。

Sam, we were looking for the tech company that would change the game for these chipmakers and the big names in the AI trade , and AMD seems to be doing that today.

是的,AMD大概率是在改变它自己的处境,而不是所有人的。但这不是那种能托起所有船的潮水。

Yes, AMD is probably changing its own situation , not everyone's. But this is not a tide that lifts all boats.

我们只能拭目以待,但没错,这绝对是一个亮点。今天是非常有意思的一天,但我认为这是AMD自己的故事,因为其他半导体股票都在下跌。

We'll have to wait and see, but yeah, that's definitely a bright side. Today is quite an interesting day, but I think it's an AMD story, as the rest of the semiconductor stocks are down.

是的,我认为基于英特尔的财报,市场此前对AMD有很多负面预期,尤其是在数据中心收入和基础设施建设这些关键问题上。

Yes, I think there were a lot of negative expectations about AMD based on Intel's report , especially on the key issues related to data center revenue and building out its infrastructure.

我们确实看到AMD大力投入数据中心和AI基础设施的建设,而那些数据非常强劲。他们甚至在一些指标上让华尔街感到意外,最重要的是,今天我们看到许多目标价被上调。

We've certainly seen AMD lean heavily into building data center and AI infrastructure , and those numbers were very strong. They even surprised Wall Street on some indicators and most importantly, we saw many price targets upgraded today.

所以在我看来,这是一只能够承受这种抛售压力、或者承受蔓延到AI板块的负面影响的股票,即使市场下跌也是如此。今天早上我们看到,AMD处于相对有利的位置。

So in my opinion, this is a stock that can withstand this selling pressure or the negative impact that spreads to the AI sector even if the market falls. We are seeing this morning that AMD is in a relatively good position.

所以短期内,我看到了上涨潜力。我看好一个看涨策略,针对11月13日到期的合约,在470处做空看跌价差,在460处做多看跌价差。我预期能获得4美元或更多的权利金收入。

So in the short term, I see upside potential. I am looking at a bullish strategy with a short put spread at 470 and a long put spread at 460 for the November 13th contract. I'm expecting $4 or more in credit.

它目前小幅下跌,因为它已从最低点略有反弹。我不想承担太多风险。我们的目标是75%的收益,只承担50%的风险。我相信在这段时间内是可以实现的。

It is now trading slightly lower as it has rebounded slightly from its lowest level. I don't want to take too many risks. We are aiming for 75 percent profit with only 50 percent risk.

I am sure that it is possible to achieve this within this time.

再者,如果市场企稳,我们看到市场从最低点反弹,AMD可能会发挥积极作用,引领AI板块,而在这个板块里,像Nvidia这样的公司通常处于领先地位。

And again, if the market stabilizes and we see the market rebound from its lowest point, AMD could play a dynamic role in leading the AI sector , where companies like Nvidia are usually ahead.

好,我明白了。今天对AMD股票来说是美好的一天。它目前上涨1.7%。

Okay, I understand. It's a good day for AMD shares. It is currently trading up 1.7 percent.

这个频道对 $AMD 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 25 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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