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$AMZN

$AMZN · Schwab Network · 2026-11-06

AI 摘要 · Schwab Network

Amazon 为持有评级且仍有上行空间:它经受住了近期的动荡并保住了年内涨幅;数据中心扩张放缓将使其长期建设的 AWS 产能成为优势,季节性零售需求也提供支撑。突破 273 意味着突破行情,技术支撑位为 258.54 和 254。

看涨他说的是几周内
《The Big 3: APP, AMZN, MSFT》
Schwab Network发布 2026-11-06 · 5 段内容
07:03/ —打开原视频

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5 段内容

Tim,你接下来要说的名字是 Amazon。这里你面对的是巨头之一。Amazon 并没有受到我们昨天看到的抛售的太大影响。半导体板块受到的冲击比大型云计算公司严重得多。我们在周度交易中仍然实现了9%的净利润。

自年初以来,它们一直守住了涨幅。那么,你对 Amazon 在这里的预期是什么?

Your next name here, Tim, is Amazon. Here you have one of the big ones. Amazon was not greatly affected by the sales we saw yesterday. The semiconductor sector has been hit much harder than the major cloud computing companies.

We are still achieving a net profit of 9% in weekly trading . They have maintained their gains since the beginning of the year. So, what are your expectations here for Amazon?

这是上周就提过的一个反复出现的想法。我知道我经常用这个说法,但如果股票走势良好,就继续持有。我真的很喜欢我上周五分享了这个想法这一点。这只股票经受住了所有这些混乱。它干脆已经超越了这些。

我是说,它确实出现了小幅下跌,但并不算真正显著。它整周都保持坚挺。正如我提到的,接下来的想法与它非常相似。

Well, this is a recurring idea from last week . I know I use this term a lot, but if the stock is doing well, keep holding it. I really like the fact that I shared this idea last Friday.

The stock withstood all that chaos. It's simply gone beyond that. I mean, it saw a slight decline, but it wasn't really significant. He held firm throughout the week. As I mentioned, the following idea is very similar to it.

如果我们看到数据中心扩张放缓的趋势,那么,还有谁比 Amazon 更大?很明显,他们仍然需要增加容量来支撑人工智能,但 AWS 已经存在十多年了。他们到处都有数据中心。所以,如果扩张被缩减,Amazon 可以说:嘿,至少我们已经在各地拥有所有这些数据中心来运行 AWS。

过去十年,他们实际上一直在运营互联网。他们很可能拥有与其他任何公司相当的能力来满足这一需求。简而言之,随着年底临近,加上黑色星期五、圣诞节和其他事件,我们看到了这一趋势。零售商;这是最简单的交易之一,而且似乎每年秋冬,我们都会看到许多零售交易者迎来上涨趋势。

Amazon 最大的零售店是什么?所以,我把图表、过去一周我们看到的强势,以及他们在数据中心任何潜在问题面前处于稍微更安全的位置这一事实结合起来。我喜欢这个箭头,也喜欢这张图表。

If we see a trend towards reducing expansion in data centers, well, who is bigger than Amazon? It is clear that they still need to add capacity to feed artificial intelligence, but AWS has been around for more than a decade.

They have data centers everywhere. So, if the expansion is scaled back, Amazon can say: Hey, at least we already have all these data centers everywhere to run AWS. They have effectively been running the internet for the past decade.

They probably have the capacity of any other company to meet that need . Simply put, we see this trend as the end of the year approaches, with Black Friday, Christmas, and other events.

Retailers; It is one of the simplest trades, and it seems that every fall and winter, we see an upward trend for many retail traders. What is Amazon's largest retail store ? So, I'm combining the graph, the strength we've seen over the past week, and the fact that they're in a slightly more secure position from any potential problems in the data centers. I love the arrow, and I love the chart.

缺口对于尝试识别需要关注的重要价格区域非常有用。所以,我们的跳空开盘大致与我们在此处上涨至252附近后确认的新低一致。因此,这是许多人心中可能最突出的第一个区域。我们在273附近还有跳空后的高位水平。

所以,我们有一个可以观察潜在突破的常规区间。你可以在这里画一条白色的非常陡峭的上升趋势线,它仍然有效。我们也可以认为,我们可能会看到昨天形成的看跌吞没蜡烛形态,即那根大阴烛在实际烛身(也就是开盘价与收盘价之间的距离)上完全吞没了前一天较小的阳烛。

但我们今天没有看到下跌延续。所以,昨天可能很吓人,但船已经开始调整航向,因为我们没有看到之前那种剧烈下跌走势的延续。目前,我们深蓝色的5日指数移动平均线是258.54。因此,与我们的趋势线一致,突破这一水平可能打开测试21日和63日指数移动平均线在254附近汇合处的大门。

相对强弱指数似乎正在使这里红色的下降趋势线失效。这将是看涨交易者的另一个积极信号。关注它继续创出新高,以及价格也突破其近期相对高点。关于这里的成交量分布,我们近期的大部分活动都落在这个非常宽的区间内。

还有更具体、更详细的水平,但247是控制点,价格在265上方真正开始下跌,然后在约273上方进一步下跌。因此,关注这些水平上方的走势以寻找潜在突破。

Well, gaps are very useful for trying to identify important price areas that need to be monitored. So, our gap opening is roughly in line with the new low we identified after our rise here near 252.

So, this is the first area that is probably the most prominent in many people's minds. We also have elevated post-gap levels near 273. So, we have a kind of normal range to watch for potential breakouts.

You can draw a very sharp upward trend line here in white that is still standing. We can also think that we might see a bearish engulfing candle pattern that formed yesterday, where the large red candle completely engulfed the previous day’s smaller green candle in terms of the actual candle body , i.e., the distance between the opening price and the closing price.

But we are not seeing a continuation of the decline today. So, it may have been scary yesterday , but the ship has started to adjust its course because we did not see a continuation of that violent downward movement that we saw.

Right now, our 5-day exponential moving average in dark blue is 258.54. Therefore, in line with our trend line, breaking this level could open the door to testing the confluence of the 21- and 63-day exponential moving averages at around 254.

The Relative Strength Index appears to be invalidating its downward trend line in red here . This would be another positive sign for bullish traders. Watch for it to continue recording new highs, and for the price to also surpass its recent relative highs .

Regarding the size profile here, most of our recent activity falls within this very broad range. There are more specific and detailed levels, but 247 is the control point, and things really start to go down above 265, then go down further above approximately 273.

Therefore, look for moves above those levels for potential breakouts .

好,在273上方。目前,我们在263。Amazon 上涨了1.25%。

Okay, above 273. Right now, we're at 263. We're up 1.25 percent for Amazon.

这个频道对 $AMZN 的历次判断

Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 25 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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