$ASTS

ASTS 已验证其技术并锁定重要合作与授权,但仍未实现盈利,在卫星部署和收入增长目标方面面临较高的执行风险。

《4 Space Stocks That Could Be MASSIVE Winners》
The Motley Fool发布 2026-10-07 · 19 段内容
22:25/ —打开原视频

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19 段内容
22:2528:25

今天视频里我想谈的最后一只股票是“AST Space Mobile”。如果你不熟悉这家企业,它正在建设他们所称的全球首个基于卫星的蜂窝宽带网络。它被设计为直接连接普通、未经改装的智能手机。

因此,不需要特殊的卫星电话或应用程序;只需你的普通手机连接到卫星,就像连接到普通通信塔一样。

The last stock I want to talk about in today's video is "AST Space Mobile". Now, this business, if you're not familiar with it, is building what they describe as the world's first satellite-based cellular broadband network.

It is designed to connect directly to regular, unmodified smartphones. Therefore, there is no need for a special satellite phone or application; just your regular phone connects to a satellite in the same way it connects to a regular communications tower.

所以,AST的策略不是像Starlink那样的公司与互联网提供商竞争那样,与Verizon或Vodafone等移动网络运营商竞争,而是实际上与他们合作。因此,电信公司为其现有客户在地面塔无法覆盖的地方获得扩展的卫星覆盖。

AST因提供这种扩展的网络容量而获得报酬。因此,这是一种合作优先的方式,旨在让电信公司把AST Space Mobile视为盟友而非竞争对手。

So, instead of competing with mobile network operators like Verizon or Vodafone, the way a company like Starlink does with internet providers, AST's strategy is actually to partner with them.

Thus, telecommunications companies gain expanded satellite coverage for their existing customers in places that their terrestrial towers cannot reach. AST receives payment for providing that expanded network capacity.

Therefore, it was a partnership-first approach, designed to make telecom companies view AST Space Mobile as an ally rather than a competitor.

如果你一直关注这家企业,由于其在卫星直连设备网络方面的重大进展以及电信领域的重大合作,该股在过去几年里大幅上涨。

If you've been following this business at all, the stock has risen significantly over the past few years due to major advances in its satellite direct-to-device network and major partnerships in the telecommunications sector.

他们与AT&T、Verizon、T-Mobile和Rakuten等巨头签订了战略协议。这使他们获得了目标市场约30亿用户的用户群。

They have strategic agreements with giants such as AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, and Rakuten. This gave them access to a subscriber base with a target market of approximately 3 billion users.

他们还成功制造、发货并发射了“Blue Bird”卫星,以在低地球轨道构建其星座。

They also successfully manufactured, shipped, and launched their "Blue Bird" satellites to build their constellation in low Earth orbit.

当然,如你所知,市场验证越多,代表着该行业的势头以及太空经济中数百万和数十亿美元的交易,人们对这家企业的兴趣就越大。

And of course, as you know, the more market validation there is, which represents the momentum of the sector and the multi-million and multi-billion dollar deals in the space economy, the more interest there has been in this business.

但对AST Space Mobile来说,有趣的是,移动运营商控制着实际的客户关系、大多数国家的频谱权,当然还有太空公司可能不得不从头争取的监管批准。因此,通过设计真正补充而非取代这些现有通信网络的技术,AST Space Mobile将原本可能是障碍的东西转变为至关重要的分销渠道。

But for AST Space Mobile, it's interesting because mobile carriers control the actual customer relationship, spectrum rights in most countries, and, of course, regulatory approval that a space company might have to fight to obtain from scratch.

Thus, by designing technology to truly complement rather than supersede these existing communication networks, AST Space Mobile has transformed what might have been obstacles into a vital distribution channel.

因此,我提到了一些他们已签署协议的公司。AST已与全球60多家移动网络运营商合作。所以,这非常根本,而在2026年,联邦通信委员会授予AST Space Mobile在美国提供商业服务的许可,即所谓的太空补充覆盖。

Therefore, I have mentioned some of the companies with which they have signed agreements. AST has partnered with more than 60 mobile network operators worldwide. So, this was very fundamental, and in 2026 the Federal Communications Commission granted AST Space Mobile a license for commercial service in the United States under what is called supplemental coverage from space.

现在,AST Space Mobile已实现新的数据传输速度纪录,从其轨道卫星直接到未经改装的智能手机达到每秒98.9兆字节,并且正处于密集的卫星部署活动中。他们的目标是在今年年底前将45至60颗卫星送入轨道。这意味着大约每隔一两个月就会有一次发射。

Now, AST Space Mobile has achieved a new data speed record of 98.9 megabytes per second from its satellite in orbit directly to an unmodified smartphone, and is in the midst of an intensive satellite deployment campaign.

They are aiming to launch between 45 and 60 satellites into orbit by the end of this year. This means there will be launches approximately every month or two.

现在,用一些数字来说明背景,他们报告2026年第二季度收入为3200万美元。相比之下,第一季度为1470万美元。因此,他们基本上实现了季度收入翻倍。

Now, to put some numbers into context, they reported revenues of $32 million in the second quarter of 2026. This was compared to $14.7 million in the first quarter. Therefore, they have essentially doubled their revenues on a quarterly basis.

展望2026年全年,管理层预计收入最高可达2亿美元。所以,他们正在快速扩张,而这再次主要由两件事驱动:移动网络运营商合作伙伴,以及美国政府合同。

Looking ahead to the entire year of 2026, management anticipates revenues of up to $200 million. So, they are expanding rapidly, and this is again driven primarily by two things: mobile network operators' partners, and US government contracts.

现在,他们的累计业务量约为10亿美元。因此,这也为未来增长提供了很大的清晰度。而如今,与许多在太空经济领域运营的公司一样,按照公认会计原则,这仍是一家高度不盈利的企业。其营业利润率极度为负。

他们持有非常庞大的现金头寸,但同样,你看到的并不是一家盈利的企业,而且它可能至少在未来几年内都不会盈利。

Now, their accumulated business volume is approximately one billion dollars. Therefore, this also provides a lot of clarity regarding future growth. And now, like many of these companies operating in the space economy, this remains a highly unprofitable enterprise according to generally accepted accounting principles.

Their operating margins were extremely negative. They maintain a very large cash position, but again, you are not looking at a profitable business and it probably won't be for at least a few more years.

你指出,管理层预计2026年营收将达到数亿美元。他们此前曾表示,希望在2027年实现10亿美元的年营收,届时他们将从初步商业运营过渡到更广泛的商业服务。

Now, you pointed out how management is projecting revenues in the hundreds of millions for 2026. They have previously stated that they want to reach $1 billion in annual revenue by 2027 as they transition from initial commercial operation to a broader commercial service.

这与当前水平相比是一个巨大的飞跃,完全取决于他们能否扩大卫星部署,并将其庞大的合作伙伴网络转化为持续付费的订户群体。

It is a huge leap from current levels and depends entirely on their ability to expand the deployment of satellites and transform their large network of partners into a continuous, paying subscriber movement.

我提到过的、涉及美国三大移动运营商——AT&T、T-Mobile和Verizon——的拟议合资企业,如果能够实现,将是对该公司所需的一次重要而持久的信心投票,同时也是其增长故事的关键。

Now, the planned joint venture involving the three largest US mobile carriers, which I mentioned—AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon—if it comes to fruition, would be an important and sustained vote of confidence that the company needs, as well as being key to its growth story.

因此,它已经克服了这类公司所面临的许多最大的非财务障碍,其中当然包括让电信公司签约、从联邦通信委员会(FCC)等主要监管机构获得营业执照,当然还包括证明底层技术能够在轨道上以可行的数据传输速度运行。

这些在几年前都毫无保证。所以,仅仅在过去两年里,我们就看到了业务上的许多变化。

So, it has overcome many of the biggest non-financial hurdles a company like this faces, which of course include getting telecom companies to sign on, obtaining a business license from a major regulatory body such as the Federal Communications Commission (FCC), and of course proving that the underlying technology is working in orbit at viable data speeds.

None of this was guaranteed even a few years ago. So, we have seen a lot of changes in business in just the last two years.

投资者会想要密切关注。当然,这仍是一项基本上未经证实的业务。你看到的季度营收远未达到公司的长期目标。他们有着通过稀释股权来为其资本密集型扩张融资的长期历史。很明显,该公司正在亏损经营,而且一如既往,技术执行仍然是一项风险。建造和维护大型复杂卫星星座是一项挑战。

Now, investors will want to watch. Of course, this is still a largely unproven business. You are looking at quarterly revenues that are far from the company's long-term goals. They have a long history of diluting equity to finance their capital-intensive expansion.

It is clear that the company is operating at a loss, and as always, technical execution remains a risk. Building and maintaining constellations of large and complex satellites is a challenge.

但我认为,这是一项将真正全新的想法——让普通手机直接连接卫星——变成了我们现在所看到的东西的业务:已签署的合作伙伴关系覆盖数十亿潜在用户,以及一张足以支撑其持续扩张的强劲资产负债表。

But I think this is a business that has turned a really new idea—connecting regular phones directly to satellites—into what we now see: signed partnerships covering billions of potential subscribers, and a balance sheet strong enough to fund its continued expansion.

这就是AST Space Mobile,或许可以加入你的关注列表。是的,是我,它确实在关注列表上。由于种种原因,它不在我的购物清单上,但也许我们会在另一个视频里讨论这个问题。

So, this is AST Space Mobile, perhaps one to add to your watchlist. Yes, it's me, it's definitely on the watch list. It's not on my shopping list for various reasons, but maybe we'll talk about that in another video.

这个频道对 $ASTS 的历次判断

The Motley Fool 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。

2026-10-07本条
今天视频里我想谈的最后一只股票是“AST Space Mobile”。如果你不熟悉这家企业,它正在建设他们所称的全球首个基于卫星的蜂窝宽带网络。它被设计为直接连接普通、未经改装的智能手机。因此,不需要特殊的卫星电话或应用程序;只需你的普通手机连接到卫星,就像连接到普通通信塔一样。
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