$AVGO · Ale's World of Stocks · 2026-11-08
Broadcom 是最优秀的定制 AI 芯片设计公司之一;近期数据中心面临的政治阻力构成负担,但说话者认为这没有长期价值,并非常乐观,已在回调时买入。他援引 AI 芯片收入增长 221% 至 167 亿美元,以及 PEG 不到一半、比行业平均低逾 54%。他将其排在第二,后来又排第四。
逐段跳播
我们还有另一位科技领军者,不过这次是在人工智能芯片领域,就是 Broadcom,股票代码 AVGO,占 Pelosi 投资组合的6.5%,价值约1950万美元。
we have another technology leader, but this time in the field of artificial intelligence chips with Broadcom, ticker symbol AVGO, which makes up 6.5% of Pelosi’s portfolio, worth about $19.5 million.
现在,如果我们看股票走势图,可以看到它最近也遭受了重创,仅过去一个月就下跌超过21%,较历史高点下跌约40%。
Now, if we look at the stock chart , we can see that it has also taken a heavy hit recently, falling by more than 21% in the last month alone, and by about 40% from its all- time high.
再次说明,近期这些抛售的主要驱动因素之一,是人们对数据中心扩张面临政治反对的担忧日益加剧。而且你看,我确信短期内这会给许多人工智能硬件公司带来沉重负担,尤其是如果有项目被推迟,或者它们不得不迁往新的地点。
Once again, one of the main drivers of these recent sales has been growing concerns about political opposition to data center expansions. And look, I'm sure that in the near term, this will be a heavy burden for many AI hardware companies, especially if any projects are delayed or they have to move to new locations.
但是,从长远来看,在我看来这个论点没有多大道理。人工智能正迅速成为国家优先事项,两党都认识到,如果美国给自己的数据中心基础设施踩刹车,我们的全球竞争对手,包括中国和其他国家,会乐于填补这个空缺。
But, you know, in the long run, I don't see much merit in this argument from my point of view. Artificial intelligence is rapidly becoming a national priority, with both parties recognizing that if America applies the brakes to its data center infrastructure , our global competitors, including China and others, will happily fill the void.
正如我所说,即使是在最坏的情况下——选择某一个州禁止所有建设,而考虑到由此可能产生的税收等因素,这种情况极不可能发生。嗯,即便在这种情况下,这些公司大概率也只会迁往另一个允许它们这样做的地方。
As I said, even in the worst-case scenario of choosing one state to ban all construction, which is highly unlikely given the amount of tax revenue that could be generated from it, among other things.
Well, these companies, even in that scenario, will probably simply move to another location that allows them to do so.
顺便说一句,我不是在讨论这一切的道德问题。我只是说,看看如今对人工智能和云计算的疯狂需求,这就是我们所处环境的现实。鉴于几乎所有人都在试图获取它,尤其是所有公司以及它们都在如何竞争,这种需求不太可能减弱。
By the way, I'm not discussing the ethics of all this. I'm just saying that's the reality of our situation when you look at the insane demand for artificial intelligence and cloud computing these days .
This demand is unlikely to diminish given that almost everyone is trying to obtain it, especially all the companies and how they are all trying to compete.
嗯,时至今日,无论有没有政治逆风,Broadcom 仍然是专注于定制人工智能芯片设计的最优秀公司之一,而且我认为它确实是该领域最好的,它与其他信任它的科技巨头直接合作开发这些芯片,比如 Google、Meta、Anthropic,甚至 OpenAI。
Well, to this day, with or without political headwinds, Broadcom remains one of the best companies specializing in the design of custom AI chips, and I think it really is the best in the field, developing them in direct partnership with other tech giants who put their trust in them, such as Google, Meta, Anthropic , and even OpenAI.
这一切的结果可以从他们的财务数据中看到:上一季度 AI 芯片收入同比增长221%,达到167亿美元,而总收入接近300亿美元,由此产生了超过135亿美元的净自由现金流。
We can see the result of all this in their financial data, where AI chip revenues in the last quarter rose 221% year-over-year to $16.7 billion, while total revenues were nearly $30 billion, resulting in a net free cash flow of over $13.5 billion.
我们说的是难以想象的盈利能力,而更疯狂的是 CEO Hock Tan 的预测:到本财年结束时,他们的 AI 芯片销售额将达到580亿美元,明年翻倍至1150亿美元,到2028年再翻倍至2300亿美元,调整后每股收益预计将超过30美元。
This is unimaginable profitability we're talking about , and even more insane is CEO Hock Tan's prediction that their AI chip sales will reach $58 billion by the end of this fiscal year, then double to $115 billion next year , and double again to $230 billion by 2028, with adjusted earnings per share expected to reach more than $30.
把这种飞速增长与近期股价的回调结合起来看,现在的市盈率相对盈利增长比率(PEG)已经不到一半,比行业平均水平便宜超过54%。
When you combine this meteoric growth with the recent pullback in the share price, you get a price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio that is now less than half. It is more than 54% cheaper than the sector average.
所以,是的,我长期仍然非常看好这只股票,而且我自己已经在这轮下跌中开始买入一些股票了。因此,它们轻松占据了我们的排名第二位。
So, yes, I remain very optimistic about this stock in the long term, and I have already started buying some shares myself during this dip. Thus, they easily occupied second place in our rankings.
天哪,我简直不敢相信我不得不把 Broadcom 放在第四这么低的位置,而它是我最近在价格低的时候自己买入的股票。所以在当前这些价位上,我其实非常喜欢它。
Oh my God, I can't believe I had to put Broadcom in such a low position as fourth, when it's a stock I was recently buying myself when its price was low . So I actually like it a lot at these levels.
观察点
这个频道对 $AVGO 的历次判断
Ale's World of Stocks 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。