美国银行是财报前一个看跌、风险有限的交易想法：该股已跑输大盘，且过去三个月下跌，这通常预示财报将带来坏消息，是做空金融股中风险回报比最佳的选择；摩根士丹利的走软表明较弱的银行股可能进一步下跌。
逐段跳播
Wells Fargo、US Bancorp、Citigroup、First Fifth Third、M&T、Goldman Sachs、Bank of America、Citizens、PNC。
正如你在下面看到的，几乎每一只股票都是如此。看看金融板块中有多少只股票在财报公布前跑输大盘、表现相对疲弱。
Wells Fargo, US Bancorp, Citigroup, First Fifth Third, M&T, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citizens, PNC. Almost every stock, as you can see here below. Look at the number of stocks in the financial sector that underperform the market and have a relatively weak performance before earnings announcements.
现在，如你所见，有“US Bancorp”、“Bank of America”、“JP Morgan”。JPMorgan今早刚刚公布了业绩，所以这里不适用。还有Progressive、BNG、Wells Fargo、Citigroup、Interactive Brokers。
我的下跌名单上有很多名字，对吧？这些都是相对疲弱的股票。它在过去三个月表现很差。所以，当你持有一只表现不佳、且在上一个季度持续下跌的股票时，这在财报季来临前不是好兆头。这并不是说股票一定会下跌，但从统计上看，如果一只股票表现不佳、业绩又差，这通常意味着随着财报季临近，前方可能存在一些潜在的坏消息。
所以，如你所见，US Bancorp和Bank of America排在名单最前面，这给了我一些机会，可以在财报公布前以有限的风险采取主要看空的立场。
Now, as you can see, "US Bancorp", "Bank of America", "JP Morgan". JPMorgan just announced its results this morning, so that doesn't apply here. Progressive, BNG, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Interactive Brokers.
There are a lot of names on my downward list, aren't there? These are stocks with relatively weak strength. Its performance has been poor over the past three months. So, when you have a poorly performing stock that has continued to decline over the previous quarter, that's not a good sign ahead of earnings season.
It is not a guarantee that the stock will decline, but statistically, if a stock is underperforming and its results are poor, this is usually a sign that there is some potentially bad news ahead as the earnings season approaches.
So, as you can see, US Bancorp and Bank of America are at the top of the list, giving me some opportunity to take a primarily bearish view with limited risk ahead of earnings.
看看Bank of America。我冒1000美元的风险去赚2000美元。
Look at Bank of America. I risk $1000 to earn $2000.
这个系统会在几秒钟内一次性替你完成所有工作，告诉你：如果你看空金融板块、担心这些银行可能表现不佳，那么US Bancorp和Bank of America会给你最佳的风险回报比。
This system does all the work for you at once in a few seconds, telling you that US Bancorp and Bank of America will give you the best risk-to-reward ratio if you are pessimistic about the financial sector and worried that these banks may perform poorly.
我认为JPMorgan今早的财报证实了金融板块已不再是几个季度前那个蓬勃发展的板块。固定收益交易下滑，尽管JPMorgan的业绩略好于预期。它们仍然是我们认为该领域最优秀的。所以，如果JPMorgan是它们当中最好的，而我们开始看到它出现下滑迹象，那么一些较弱的公司，比如US Bancorp、Bank of America和Wells Fargo，可能会开始出现更多下跌，对吧？
I think JPMorgan's earnings report this morning confirms that the financial sector is not the booming sector it was a few quarters ago. Fixed income trading declined, even though JPMorgan's results came in slightly better than expected.
They are still what we consider the best in this field. So, if JPMorgan is the best of them all, and we start to see signs of a decline in it, then some of the weaker names, such as US Bancorp, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo, might start to see more declines, right?