Bloom 处于上升趋势但尚未突破；RSI 出现负向背离，使其在技术上弱于同类标的，不过长期指标仍偏多。
逐段跳播
好。那么，让我们继续看你的第二个选择。你有 Bloom Energy，它的消息接连不断。Jenny 和我刚才就在谈论能源需求，因为 Constellation 刚刚在这里与 Google 签署了这项新协议。
但我们看到 Bloom 继续强劲上涨。我的意思是，即使今天，我们目前也上涨了 2.75%。那么，你如何看待 Bloom，Mike？
Good. So, let's move on to your second choice here. You have Bloom Energy, whose news has been coming one after another. Jenny and I were just talking about energy needs as Constellation signed this new deal with Google right here.
But we saw "Bloom" continue to rise strongly. I mean, even today we are up 2.75% at the moment. So, how do you view "Bloom," Mike?
嗯，与 Coherent 没有太大不同。图表看起来惊人地相似。因此，要么两者都错，要么两者都对。但是，再次强调，市场上正在发生的事情是合理的，我们所在的板块也是如此。我们关注的是替代燃料，它处于待命状态，如果突破该水平，就会启动。
Well, umm, not too different from " Coherent". The graphs look suspiciously similar. Therefore, either both will be wrong or both will be right. But, again, what is happening in the market makes sense, as do the sectors we are in.
We are looking at the alternative fuel, which is in standby mode, and if it breaks through the level, it will launch.
好，KG。我们在这里看到 Bloom 和 Coherent 之间的相似之处，以及这只股票再次向上移动的可能性吗？
Okay, KG. Do we see similarities here between "Bloom" and "Coherent" and also the possibility of another upward move in this stock?
可以说，Bloom 可能比我们在 Coherent 看到的情况落后大约两个月。但它正在建立基础，并且仍处于上升轨迹中。如果你看去年，看看 12 月左右的低点，并从 12 月的低点建立一条趋势线，你可以看到我们实际上测试了 200 日移动均线，并看到一些买家真正介入。
所以，她会把这一点拉长来说，“好吧，200 日移动均线将是一个主要支撑区域。”我们看到了一种向上突破，以及今年 6 月和 7 月左右发生的这次整理，然后我们看到那次回调测试了 200 日移动均线。
现在我们正试图建立基础，然后起飞。这只股票尚未实现正式突破。你仍然需要突破 308 水平，然后突破 350 水平，才能获得“杯”形形态，然后尝试在这里突破。但相对强弱指数（RSI）是让我对这个标的有点警惕的一件事。
是的，过去一个半月的价格走势一直在向上，高点更高，低点更高。与此同时，相对强弱指数（RSI）却显示出更低的峰值。这就是所谓的负背离。所以，过去两个月里，价格动能一直在减弱，MACD 指标也变得有些平坦。
12 日指数移动均线位于 26 之上，但它没有你希望看到的强劲动能，也没有那种暗示完全向上突破的形态。但消息流可能会改变这一点。所以，Marley，这一趋势仍然向上，但我看到 Coherent 在现阶段的技术突破位置比 Bloom 略好一些。
Let's say that "Bloom" is probably about two months behind what we saw in " Coherent". But it is establishing a base and is still in an upward trajectory. If you look at last year, and look at the lows from around December and establish a trend line from the December lows, you can see that we actually tested the 200-day moving average and saw some buyers really step in .
So, she would kind of stretch that out and say, "Okay , the 200-day moving average would be a major support area ." We saw a kind of breakout to the upside, and this consolidation that occurred around June and July of this year, and then we saw that pullback that tested the 200-day moving average.
Now we are trying to build a base and then take off. This stock has not yet achieved an official breakout. You still need to get past the 308 level and then the 350 level before you get the "cup" pattern and then try to break out here.
But the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is the one thing that makes me a little wary of this name. Yes, the price movement over the past month and a half has been trending upwards, with higher highs and higher lows.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing lower peaks. This is what is called negative deviation. So , the price momentum has been waning here over the past two months , and the MACD indicator has become somewhat flat.
The 12-day exponential moving average is above 26, but it doesn't have the strong momentum you'd like to see or the kind of pattern that suggests a complete breakout to the upside.
But the flow of news could change that. So, Marley, this trend is still upward, but I see that Coherent has a slightly better technical position to break out than Bloom does at this stage.
如果我们把图表缩短到三年，Bloom 的趋势线是否也保持完好？
If we reduce the chart to three years, does the trend line remain intact for " Bloom" as well?
是的，无论向上还是向下，它都保持完好。我们看到的是“扩音器”或喇叭形。这仅仅意味着我们处于上升形态中，但可以说，价格走势仍然经历着很大的波动。如果你正确调整其角度，我们大致处于该通道的中间。
但你可以说，是的，价格可能会继续上涨。你可能会说，大约 400 美元的水平将是主要阻力区。如果我们看到回调，那条蓝线，即 20 周移动均线，将作为你的支撑区，大约在 252 美元水平。
在这里，你对上升趋势变得更加乐观。你的 MACD 指标处于看涨形态，12 周指数移动均线位于 26 周移动均线之上。再次强调，我们可以在那里看到一些连续性。但尽管如此，Marley，我们仍然看到 RSI 上更低的峰值，一种已经自我修正的负背离，如果它成功突破 RSI 的 65 水平，这一修正将得到确认。
这里的情况看起来仍然非常看涨，你大致处于该区间的中间，但你可以说，是的，这个东西可能在未来几个月继续上涨。
Yes, it remains so, whether upwards or downwards. What we see is a type of "megaphone" or horn style. This simply means that we are in an upward formation, but the price action is still experiencing a lot of volatility, so to speak.
We are kind of in the middle of that channel, if you adjust its angles correctly. But you could say that yes, the price could continue to rise. You might say that the $400 level, approximately, will be the main resistance zone.
If we see a pullback, that blue line, the 20- week moving average, will act as a support zone for you, at around the $252 level. Here you become more optimistic about the upward trend.
You have the MACD indicator in a bullish formation with the 12-week exponential moving average above the 26-week moving average. Once again, we can see some continuity there. But despite that, Marley, we are still seeing lower peaks on the RSI, a negative divergence that has corrected itself, and this correction will be confirmed if it manages to break above the 65 level on the RSI.
The situation still looks very bullish here, and you're kind of in the middle of that range, but you can say yes, this thing could continue to rise over the next couple of months.
好，Mike。所以，你对此也持乐观态度。Bloom Energy 将如何交易？好，这里我会换一种稍微不同的做法，但思路与我操作“Coherent”时类似。我不做破损蝶式策略，而是做一个相对蝶式，也就是一比三比二。
这是基础仓位。所以，我会买入一份、卖出三份、再买入两份。也就是说，我想突破302.35。如果突破了，我会看10月23日到期、行权价320和335的期权。所以，前端会稍微宽一些，但中间我有三个卖出头寸，然后我只用5美元买回。
因此，这个蝶式策略是买入行权价320、335、340的期权。如果我没记错的话，如果价格到了那里，我们应该能以大约1.90买入。因此，我们的最大回报将是8.10美元。我们承担的风险是1.90美元。这意味着风险回报比为4.26比1。
Okay, Mike. So, you're optimistic about this too. How will Bloom Energy trade? Okay, I'm going to play it a little differently here, but in a similar way to what I did with "Coherent" .
Instead of a broken butterfly strategy, I would do a relative butterfly, meaning one to three to two. It's for the foundation. So, I will buy one, sell three, and buy two. So, I want to go beyond 302.35.
If we do that, I'll look at the October 23 options at 320 and 335. So, it's a little wider up front, but I have three sell positions in the middle, and then I only have $5 up back.
So, the butterfly strategy is a buy option at 320, 335, 340. We should be able to buy it at around 1.90 if we get there, if I remember correctly. Therefore, our maximum return will be $8.10.
We risk $1.90. This means a risk- to-reward ratio of 4.26 to 1.
嗯，我们现在距离那个盈亏平衡点大约还有30美元。我们目前的交易价约为224.87。我们因“Bloom Energy”上涨了2.75%。所以，对他们来说又是美好的一天。
Well, we are now about $30 away from that break-even point. We are trading at around 224.87. We have risen by 2.75% for “ Bloom Energy”. So, another good day to them.
观察点
这个频道对 $BE 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 5 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。