$BIDU · Steve Miller · 2026-11-06
百度是他当前最好的机会：中国因素引发的下跌已经见底，本周的上涨与他的周期时点吻合，日线图目标指向85和约90，下行风险几乎没有。周线动能尚未转向上，但两小时图已经转向；若跌破75.80，则该观点失效。
逐段跳播
当然，Baidu 是一只中国股票。
And of course, Baidu is a Chinese stock.
但看看 Baidu。在我给你的所有选项中，这可能是眼下最好的机会。这里出现大幅下跌，是因为中国遇到了很多麻烦。再看本周这里的上涨，与这个周期的节奏完美契合。这正是这里见底的时间点。
But look at Baidu. This might be the best opportunity right now out of all the options I'm offering you. Here's the big drop here because China has had a lot of trouble. And look at this rise here this week, in perfect harmony with the rhythm of this cycle. This is exactly the timing of the bottom here.
在日线图上，这里就是你的见底时间点。看看这里漂亮的节奏。而现在它才刚刚开始。你可以看到那里的缺口。这里有一些阻力，但我很容易看到它涨到 85。这里是 87。这里是 78.6 水平，大约在 90 附近。
在我看来，这像是一只几乎没有下行风险的股票。我可以说“几乎没有”吗？因为它随时可能变化。
On the daily chart, here is your bottom timing. Look at the beautiful rhythm here. And now it has just begun. You can see the gap right there. There are some resistances here, but I can easily see this going up to 85.
This is 87. This is the 78.6 level here, and it's around here at 90. This looks to me like a stock with hardly any downside risk. Can I say "hardly" because it can always change?
这里的动能已经向上转变。这里还有一个尚未发生的向上转变。所以我们在周线图上等待这一点。但同样，你可以看到这还有点早。这里是负面的“Slim Ribbon PO”柱，它在那里给出了动能略微向下的反转。
看看期权偏向指标。它让你一路保持卖出仓位，至今尚未转为向上。所以时间点是对的，交易动作也是对的，但除了那里的“反转探测器”之外，指标尚未转为向上，而它是我现在给你展示的日线和周线图上所有指标中最敏感的一个。
You have an upward shift in momentum here. You have an upward shift that hasn't happened yet here. So we are waiting for that on the weekly chart. But again, you can see that it's a little premature.
Here's the negative "Slim Ribbon PO" bar that gives you a slight downward reversal in momentum there. Look at the options bias indicator. It has kept you in the selling position all this way and has not yet turned upward.
So the timing is right, and the trading action is right, but the indicators have not yet turned upwards except for the “reversal detector” there, which is the most sensitive on this daily and weekly chart of all that I am showing you now.
所以我相信 Baidu 的两小时图在那里给出了完全不同的读数，甚至可能转为正面。这让我有动力去看这张两小时图，并把它拿到这里来给 Baidu 看。这就是两小时图。你可以看到，我一看这张图，它现在已经在这里转为向上。
这里已经变绿。这是一对动能移动平均线，它们已经交叉并转为正面。所以我想我应该给你看看那里的两小时图，让你了解 Baidu 已经转为看涨。
So I'm sure that Baidu's two-hour chart gives a completely different reading there and might even turn positive. This gives me the motivation to look at this chart for two hours and bring it here to Baidu for you to see.
So this is the two-hour chart. And you can see when I look at this that it has now turned upwards here. This has turned green. This is a pair of moving averages of momentum that have crossed over and turned positive.
So I thought I'd show you the two-hour chart there and give you an idea that Baidu has already turned bullish.
如果 Baidu 的股价跌破这个低点，我愿意在这些疲弱的日子里买入。那个日期的那个低点是 75.80 美元。这将使一切失效。我刚才告诉你的所有这些正面因素都将被证明是错的或为时过早，我们将不得不等待一个更复杂的底部形成。
因此，我认为如果价格跌破 75.80，这种极度乐观的前景就会改变。
I would like to buy, you know, during the weak days here if Baidu's stock falls below this low level. So, that low level on that date was $75.80. This will invalidate everything.
Everything I just told you about these positive things will be wrong or premature, and we will have to wait for a more complicated bottom to form. Therefore, I think the extremely optimistic outlook will change if the price falls below 75.80.
观察点
这个频道对 $BIDU 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。