$BIDU · Steve Miller · 2026-11-08
百度是这些抄底交易中最好的一只：在经历一轮由中国因素驱动的巨幅下跌后，其日线图本周触及周期性底部，并刚刚开始反弹；说话者能看到85，且认为下行风险几乎没有，不过情况仍可能变化。周线的向上转变和期权偏向指标尚未转向上行，一项动量指标略微为负，而两小时图已转为正面。若跌破75.80，将推翻这一看多论点，并需要等待一个更复杂的底部。
逐段跳播
我们将看看 CAT、WIN 和百度这几只股票。
We will look at CAT, WIN and Baidu stocks.
当然，百度是一只中国股票。这三只股票我认为都处在可以考虑买入的时间框架内，而且它们的下行风险可能低于你可能选择投机的其他股票。这些股票已经大幅下跌，并且处在我将向你展示的周期形态中，这表明它们可能触底并有所上涨。这些股票下跌中最糟糕的阶段很可能已经过去了。
And of course, Baidu is a Chinese stock . These are three stocks that I believe are within timeframes that allow for consideration of buying deals, and their downside risks are probably lower than others that you might choose to speculate on.
These stocks have fallen significantly and are within cyclical patterns that I will show you, indicating that they may reach the bottom and make some gains. Most likely, the worst of the downturn is over for these stocks.
但看看百度。这可能是我目前向你提供的所有选项里最好的机会。这里我们看到了一次大幅下跌，因为中国经历了很多困难，而看本周这里的向上转变，与这个周期节奏完美契合。这就是我们在这里触底的时刻。
在日线图上，这就是触底的时间点。看看这里这个漂亮的节奏。而现在它才刚刚开始。你看到那里的缺口了吗？这里有一些阻力位，但我很容易就能看到价格到达85。那是87这一水平。而这里是78.6水平，大约在90附近。
在我看来，这看起来是一只几乎没有下行风险的股票。我能说“几乎”吗？因为情况总是会变。我这里看到了向上的反转和动能。这里的向上转变还没有出现，所以我们在周线图上等待它。但还是那句话，你能看到这还有点早。
这里，“Salim”柱有一个负面指标，给出了动能上轻微的向下反转。看看期权偏向指标。它一路让你保持空头仓位，而且还没有转为向上。所以时机是对的，交易走势也是对的，但指标还没有转为向上，除了那里的Scott反转，它在我现在给你展示的所有日线和周线图中是最敏感的。
所以，我确信百度的两小时图在那里给出了完全不同的读数，它可能会转为正面。这给了我动力去看这张两小时图，并在这里展示给你看。这就是两小时图。你能看到，我一看它，它在这里已经转为向上。
它变绿了。这是一对已经交叉并转为正面的移动平均线。所以，我想我应该给你看一张两小时图，让你了解百度的股票确实已经上涨了。我想在这里的弱势日买入，如果百度股票跌破这个低点的话。那么，那天的那个低点是75.80美元。
这会推翻那个判断。我刚才告诉你的所有这些正面因素都会是错的或为时过早，我们将不得不等待一个更复杂的底部形成。所以，我认为这非常正面。跌破75.80就会改变局面。
but look at Baidu. This might be the best opportunity right now out of all the options I'm offering you. Here we see the huge drop because China has had a lot of trouble, and look at this upward shift here this week in perfect harmony with this cyclical rhythm.
This is when we hit rock bottom here. On the daily chart, this is the timing of reaching the bottom. Look at this beautiful rhythm here. And now it has just begun . Do you see the gap there?
Here are some resistances, but I can easily see the price reaching 85. That's the 87 level. And that 's the 78.6 level here, which is around 90. To me, this looks like a stock with hardly any downside risk.
Can I say " hardly" because things can always change? I've got an upward turnaround and momentum here. The upward shift has not yet occurred here, so we are waiting for that on the weekly chart.
But again , you can see that it's a little premature . Here, the "Salim" bar has a negative indicator and gives you a slight downward reversal in momentum there. Look at the options bias indicator.
It has kept you in a short position all this way and has not yet turned upward. So the timing is right, and the trading movement is right, but the indicators have not yet turned upwards, with the exception of the Scott reversal there, which is the most sensitive on this daily and weekly chart among all that I am showing you now.
So, I'm sure that the two-hour chart for " Baidu" gives a completely different reading there, and it might turn positive. This gives me the motivation to look at this graph for two hours and display it here on Baidu for you to see.
Here is the two-hour chart. And you can see when I look at it that it has turned upwards here. It has turned green. This is a pair of moving averages that have crossed over and turned positive.
So, I thought I'd show you a two-hour chart to give you an idea that Baidu's stock has indeed gone up. I want to buy on weak days here if Baidu stock falls below this low level.
So, that low level on that date was $75.80. This will cancel that. Everything I just told you about these positive things will be wrong or premature, and we will have to wait for a more complicated bottom to form.
So, I think it's very positive. A drop below 75.80 changes the picture.
这个频道对 $BIDU 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。