CEG 的看涨逻辑在于其核能领导地位加上与 Google 的 AI 合作；若能突破 325 美元阻力位，股价有望升至 400 美元。
逐段跳播
Constellation Energy 是其中的第一家。当然，它与 Google 签署的那笔巨额协议给它带来了显著的提振，而它的股价今天小幅下跌。
Constellation Energy is the first of them. Of course, it has that huge deal it signed with Google that gave it a significant boost, and its shares have declined slightly today.
是的，当你审视 Constellation 时，你会发现它是美国最大的电力生产商之一，具体来说是最大的核电站生产商之一。
Yes, when you look at Constellation, you find it is one of the largest producers of electricity in the United States, specifically one of the largest producers of nuclear power plants.
核电的主要优势在于它能够几乎全天候不间断地生产大量电力。当你想到风电、太阳能或其他发电方式时，你会发现它们依赖天气条件。存在可能影响它的外部因素，而核能的特点是长期可靠性。
The main advantage of nuclear power is its ability to produce enormous amounts of electricity almost around the clock without interruption. When you think about wind power, solar power, or other methods of generating energy, you find that they depend on weather conditions.
There are external factors that may affect it, while nuclear energy is characterized by long-term reliability.
这就是我钦佩它的原因。我已与 Google 达成一项为期 20 年的协议，为其 AI 设施提供兆瓦级核电输送系统或储能系统。其他设施很可能会加入这一系统并需要电力。因此，这一趋势不会很快结束。
我们都知道我们需要更多能源，而这家公司是该领域的领导者。
That's why I admire her. I have struck a deal with Google for 20 years to supply its AI facilities with a megawatt nuclear power delivery system or an energy storage system . Other facilities are likely to join this system and require power.
Therefore, this trend is not going to end anytime soon. We all know that we need more energy, and this company is a leader in this field.
从技术角度看，我知道 Kevin 会分析它，但该股已在 250 美元附近构筑了良好的底部。因此，我喜欢短期支撑的存在，至少目前如此，以及该股上涨的潜力。
From a technical standpoint, I know Kevin will analyze it , but the stock has built a good base around the $250 level. Therefore, I like the presence of short- term support, at least for the time being, and the potential for the stock to rise .
事实上，如果我们看去年这个时候，我们看到该股在 400 美元左右交易。我们有一个双顶形态。它的评级非常高，尤其是对一家能源生产公司而言。随着价格企稳，我们开始看到逐步下行的走势。
价格小幅跌破 20 日移动均线，然后是 50 日移动均线，最后是 200 日移动均线。但买家能够在 250 美元附近入场。我们在 2 月 5 日看到了这一点，当时我们试图实现小幅反弹。
我们回来了，重新测试了 250 这一水平，自那以后我们大多数时候都在录得更高的低点。
In fact, if we look at this time last year, we saw the stock trading at around $400. We had a double top pattern. Its rating was very high, especially for an energy production company.
We began to see a gradual downward movement as the price stabilized. The price fell slightly below the 20-day moving average, then the 50-day moving average, and finally the 200-day moving average .
But buyers were able to enter at around $250 . We saw that on February 5th when we tried to achieve a slight recovery. We came back, retested the 250 level, and since then we have been recording higher lows most of the time.
现在，我还不认为这是完整规则的范本。唯一的原因是，我们仍需要克服几个阻力位。307 这一水平将是我们需要能够突破并收于其上方的第一个水平。今天，我们实际上三次触及 306.99 这一水平，然后才开始注意到大量抛售。
所以，价格今天表现不佳，但让我们看看能否利用 200 日移动均线。如果我们能突破 307 这一水平，我们将到达 325，然后我们将看到实际上正在该股身上发生的完整底部效应。
Now, I don't consider this a model for a complete rule yet . The only reason is that we still need to overcome several levels of resistance. Level 307 will be the first level we need to be able to break through and close above.
Today, we actually reached the 306.99 level three times before we started to notice heavy selling. So, the price didn't perform well today, but let's see if we can take advantage of the 200-day moving average.
If we can break through the 307 level, we will reach 325, and then we will see the full base effect that is actually happening to the stock.
现在，相对强弱指数（RSI）处于良好的上行区间，反映出积极的价格动能。MACD 指标或许是该股最看涨的指标。至少日线图上将观察到其显著升破 26 日指数移动均线。
Now, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was in a good upward range, reflecting positive price momentum. The MACD indicator is perhaps the most bullish indicator for this stock. A significant rise above the 26-day exponential moving average will be observed, at least on the daily chart.
在周线图上，我们可以观察到与过去三年所发生的情况类似的形态。我们见证了一个强劲的上行形态。这意味着存在积极趋势，但我们会看到股价出现一些波动。这正是我们已经观察到的。我们目前正经历一次小幅回调，价格正在测试 50 周移动均线。
周线图上的 MACD 指标仍显示 12 日指数移动均线位于 26 日指数移动均线之上，这是一个积极指标。价格最好升破零线以实现进一步上涨。但我认为，如果这一水平被突破，且该股达到约 30325，那么股价很可能在未来两个月内达到 400 美元。
On the weekly chart, we can observe a pattern similar to what has happened over the past three years. We have witnessed a strong upward pattern . This means there is a positive trend, but we will see some fluctuations in the stock price .
This is what we have already observed. We are currently experiencing a slight pullback, with the price testing the 50-week moving average. The MACD indicator on the weekly chart still shows the 12-day exponential moving average above the 26-day exponential moving average, which is a positive indicator.
It is best for the price to rise above the zero line to achieve further gains . But I think that if this level is broken and the stock reaches approximately 30325, it is likely that the stock price will reach $400 within the next two months.
是的，当然。325 这一水平代表一个明确的阻力位。如果我们能突破它，我们很可能到达 400。但作为一名交易者，我不喜欢让利润取决于股价的波动。因此，我更愿意从看涨看涨期权卖出策略的角度来看待这个期权。
如果你买入一份执行价格为 240 的期权，你将承担约两美元的损失。如果你卖出一份执行价格为 250 的期权，两者均于 11 月 20 日到期，即 43 天，你将获得 1.50 美元的利润。
1.50 美元从数学上看似乎不是一笔大数目，但当你仔细想想，冒着 10 美元的风险去博取潜在的 1.50 美元利润，意味着可能获得 10% 的回报。股价下跌 50 美元的可能性也应被考虑在内。
因此，在 KG 谈到的那种波动情况下，股价可能在接近亏损区之前下跌 50 美元。你有 43 天、50 美元的安全边际，你冒着 10 美元的风险去在 43 天内实现 10% 的回报。
股价可能上涨、保持不变，甚至下跌 50 点，而你仍可能获利。这就是我在这种情况下将遵循的方法。
Yes, of course. The 325 level represents a clear resistance. If we can break through it, we will likely reach 400. But as a trader, I don't like to have profit dependent on the fluctuations of the stock price.
Therefore, I prefer to look at this option from the perspective of a bullish call option selling strategy. If you buy an option with an execution price of 240, you will incur a loss of approximately two dollars.
If you sell an option with an execution price of 250, both of which expire on November 20, i.e., for 43 days, you will receive a profit of $1.50. $1.50 may not seem like a large sum mathematically, but when you think about it, risking $10 for a potential $1.50 profit means a possible return of 10%.
The possibility of the stock price dropping by $50 should also be considered. Therefore , in the event of the fluctuations that KG talked about, the stock price may drop $50 before approaching the loss zone.
You have 43 days , a $50 safety margin , and you risk $10 to achieve a 10 % return within 43 days. The stock price may rise, remain the same, or even fall 50 points, yet you may still be able to make a profit. This is the method I will follow in this case.
好的，我们在这段时期有一个财报公布事件。我们在 11 月 9 日有财报，但在报告发布之前，我们也有略高于 90% 覆盖 Constellation 的分析师目前持积极展望，给出买入评级或同等评级。
Okay, we have an earnings announcement event during this period. We have the earnings report on November 9, but we also have just over 90% of the analysts covering Constellation currently have a positive outlook , with a buy recommendation or equivalent before the report is released.
观察点
这个频道对 $CEG 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。