$CELH · Financial Education · 2026-11-09
暂无中文摘要,仅英文原句可核对。
逐段跳播
Celsius 是最赚钱的。它就像一棵摇钱树,宝贝。是的,33 以上。今天这一波就是 9,000 多美元的涨幅。这一笔赚了 55,000 多美元。Celsius 现在肯定是在积聚动能,对吧?
Celsius the wealthiest. It's a tree tree, baby. Yes, 33 plus. That's a $9,000 plus move here today. $55,000 plus on this one. Celsius is definitely catching momentum now, right?
第二,我们要谈谈 Celsius 股价接下来会怎么走。既然现在已经到了 30 多美元,接下来会奔向 40 多美元吗?还是会在当前价位附近徘徊?我会分享我对此的看法和观点。
Two, we're going to talk about where Celsius stock moves next. Are we headed to the 40s on the stock now that we're in the 30s? Is it going to linger around here? I'll share my opinion perspectives on that.
接下来,我们谈谈 Celsius 股价接下来会怎么走。好,Celsius 现在已经涨到 33 以上。Celsius 股价上涨了 23%。顺便说一句,Elsa 表现也不错,涨了 13%。
而 Q's 下跌超过 10%。所以,Celsius 的表现与大盘整体走势之间出现了巨大的分化。
Next up here, let's talk about where does Celsius stock move next. Okay. So, Celsius now up to 33 plus. Celsius stocks up 23%. Elsa had a good time by the way as well up 13%. And the Q's are down over 10%.
So you have a huge divergence going on here between what's going on with Celsius versus what's going on with the market in general.
Celsius 最近在上周公布的财报里做了一件令人兴奋的事。没错,他们的业绩大幅超出预期。每股收益超出预期 8 美分,这是相当大幅度的超预期。而且更令人印象深刻的是,眼下人们更关心 Celsius 的营收增长,而不是短期内的每股收益或利润率。
Right now Celsius just did something exciting recently in their earnings that came out last week. Right. They had big beats. They beat earnings per share by 8 cents. That was a substantial beat there.
And even more impressive because people care much more about they care much more about Celsius's revenue growth right now than their earnings per share or their margins in the short term.
为什么人们这么关心 Celsius 呢?顺便说一句,他们的营收大幅超出预期,超出将近 4,700 万美元,对 Celsius 这样的公司来说,这是巨大的超预期。
Why do people care so much about Celsius's and by the way they beat huge on revenue. They beat by you know almost $47 million and that's a huge beat for a company like Celsius.
原因如下。Celsius 仍被视为一家非常年轻的公司,就年轻公司而言,对吧?因为七年前还没人听说过 Celsius 这家公司,对吧?而现在它已经是一家非常知名的公司,Celsius、Alani 和 Rockstar 合计占据 20% 以上的市场份额,对吧?
Here's why. Celsius is still seen as a very young company when it comes to younger companies, right? Because Celsius, no one heard of this company seven years ago, right? And now it's a very famous company with 20% plus market share between Celsius, Alani, and Rockstar, right?
对 Celsius 这样的公司来说,关键就是尽可能把营收做大,对吧?利润率的事以后再操心。每股收益的事,一年后、三年后、五年后再操心,大概就是这样,对吧?
For a company like Celsius, it's really about let's grow that revenue as much as we can, right? And we will worry about margins. We will worry about earnings per share down the road, a year from now, three years from now, 5 years from now, something like that, right?
要知道,在这次财报之前,Celsius 一直处于被冷落的境地。上一个财报期,他们的每股收益大幅不及预期,营收也大幅不及预期,对吧?所以他们被打入了冷宫。而且要知道,并不只是那一个季度。
不幸的是,过去几个季度他们有一连串的不及预期。如果看过去八个季度左右,他们在营收方面有很多次不及预期,在每股收益方面更是如此。
Keep in mind, Celsius was in the penalty box going into these earnings. the previous earnings period, they missed huge on earnings per share and missed huge on revenue, right? So, they got put into the penalty box.
And keep in mind, it wasn't like it was only that one quarter. They've had a they've had a unfortunately they've had a bunch of misses over the past several quarters. If you look at the past eight quarters or so, they had a lot of misses in there on the revenue front and even more so on the earnings per share front.
对吧?所以,此时此刻,这是 Celsius 走出冷宫的一步。现在,要让 Celsius 股价进入猛涨模式,下一件必须做到的事,就是看到 Celsius 品牌的销量开始明显好转。
比如最近的数据显示,Celsius 品牌销量下降了 26%。要知道,Celsius 最近砍掉了很多 SKU 之类的东西。他们可能做得太过了。所以 Celsius 的核心业务一直不太健康。
Right? So, this is a step for Celsius getting out of the penalty box now at this point in time. Right now, the next thing to get Celsius stock to go beast mode here is we've got to see Celsius brand volume start to get in a much better place.
Like the recent numbers, Celsius brand volume was down 26%. Keep in mind Celsius got out of a lot of SKs recently and things like that. They might have took it too far. So Celsius Celsius's core business has not been healthy.
Alani 的业务则一直蓬勃发展,对吧?看看 Alani,过去四周销量猛增了 63%。
The Alani business has been booming, right? Look at Alani's surged 63% in volume in the past four weeks.
所以,这件事的关键在于:如果并且当 Celsius 品牌开始显示出健康得多的数据,比如降幅越来越小、越来越小,然后随着这个周期展开,他们能恢复增长,那么 Celsius 股价就会获得越来越多的动能,对吧?
所以他们得让 Celsius 品牌销量从下降 26%,变成下降 13% 左右,然后下降 7% 左右,再下降 5% 左右,再下降 1% 左右,然后恢复增长,对吧?在整个这个周期中,随着人们信心增强,股价会持续重估,越走越高、越走越高。
So the moral of the story is here if and when Celsius brand starts to show much healthier numbers like the drops get less and less and less and then they can get back to growth as that cycle plays out Celsius stock will see more and more momentum right so they got to go from Celsius brand volume down 26% to down like 13%. then down like 7%, then down like 5%, then down like 1% and then growth, right?
Throughout that cycle, the stock will continue to rerate and go higher and higher and higher as people get more confidence.
好吗?所以要知道,这整个局面还有待展开,对吧?现在,Celsius 真正有吸引力的一点是,它的远期市盈率较低。
Okay? So, keep in mind like that's a whole game that still has to play out here, right? Now, the thing that's really attractive about Celsius, this is a lower forward P stock.
现在,这就是它与 Nvidia 之类公司的不同之处。Nvidia 的业务目前以及未来一年已经好到不能再好了,对吧?简直好得离谱。而像 Celsius 这样的公司,业务还没有好到极致。
所以,它是在最大业务表现不佳的情况下以低估值交易。而它的另一项业务 Alani 正处于大规模增长模式。
Now, here's where it differs versus something like Nvidia. Nvidia's business is as good as it can possibly get right now and over the next year, right? Like it's it's insane. With a business like Celsius, their business is not as good as it gets.
So, it's trading cheap with their biggest business not doing well. And their other business, Alani, is in massive growth mode.
当你有一项业务短期内表现不佳,而另一项业务处于高得离谱的增长中,你眼下根本不会关注每股收益。所以,如果你现在的远期市盈率不到 20 倍,而你的大品牌表现糟糕、小品牌增长惊人,那么如果并且当大品牌重回正轨、快速增长的小品牌开始进一步成熟、你可以更多地关注利润率和盈利能力时,你认为远期市盈率会是多少?你认为那时的每股收益会是多少?
When when you got a business that's not doing well in the short term and you have another business that's high, you know, insane growth, you're not even focused on earnings per share right now.
So, if you're trading at a Ford P under 20, when your big brand's doing bad and your smaller brand is insane growth, what do you think's going to happen if and when the big brand gets back on the right track and the fast growing brand starts to mature more and you can worry more about margins and profitability, what do you think's the forward P is going to be at or what do you think the the earnings per share is going to be at then?
对吧?所以这正是这类事情非常重要的地方,因为总的来说,利润率以及每股收益目前确实不是 Celsius 的关注重点,对吧?所以要知道,Celsius 是一个在未来 5 年实现大规模营收增长、利润率增长和每股收益增长的机会,而且幅度非常非常大。
Right? So this is where something like that matters significantly because you know just overall like the margins and earnings per share is just not the focus really for for you know Celsius at the particular moment right so keep in mind like Celsius is a opportunity of massive revenue growth over the next 5 years margin growth in earnings per share growth over the next 5 years and very very substantial right
所以,我对 Celsius 股价短期和长期的看法是这样的:短期内,我认为股价会在 30 多美元,对吧。如果下一份 Neielson 数据出来,显示 Celsius 品牌大幅改善,我认为我们会奔向 40 多美元。
40 多美元,对吧?然后我们今年年底实际上会收在 40 以上,就这么说吧,好吗?
so my view on Celsius stock in the shorter term in the longer term is this shorter term I think the stock's in the 30s Right. If the next Neielson data comes out and it shows a big improvement for Celsius brand, I think we're headed to the 40s. 40s, right?
And then we'll actually exit this year. 40 plus, let's just call it, okay?
但我们必须让 Neielson 数据表现良好,因为下一次财报大概要到 1 月底或 2 月初才会公布。所以财报还早。因此,短期内,也就是未来一两个月,真正决定 Celsius 股价的,其实就是那份 Neielson 数据。
如果我们看到正面的 Neielson 数据,Alani 依然表现强劲,而 Celsius 也处于重回正轨的状态,那么我们就会继续走高。
But we've got to get that Neielson data to come in good cuz we're not going to the next earnings aren't going to come out till probably, you know, very late January or early February.
So earnings are still out there. So really the thing that's going to account for Celsius stock in the shorter term meaning the next month or two it's really about that Neielson data.
We see positive Neielson data where Alani is still beasting and then Celsius is in a situation where it's getting back on the right track then we'll then we'll roll higher.
但关于像 Celsius 这样的股票,你要记住的最重要的一点是——这对我来说是一笔大投资,接近30万美元,而且我在其他组合里也持有很大的仓位。不要过于纠结短期的东西,比如 Alani 这个季度比上季度增长了多少,Celsius 又增长了多少——要记住,他们是在打造两个庞大的品牌,为的是在未来十年甚至几十年里取得成功。
所以关键在于用正确的方式去做,他们想让 Celsius 成为未来20年成功的品牌,让 Alani 在未来20年也成功。所以你不要太纠结于所有短期的东西,不管是坏消息还是好消息,只要确保长期走势朝着你想要的方向发展就行。
But the main thing you got to remember about stocks like Celsius right is and this is a big investment for me nearly $300,000 like you know and I own it huge in other portfolios.
Don't get so caught up in the short-term stuff like oh how much did Alani grow this quarter versus last quarter and how much did Celsius like remember they're building two massive brands to be successful for the next 10 you know decade plus or multi-deades right and so it's really about doing it the right way and so they want to make Celsius a successful brand for the next 20 years Alani successful the for the next 20 years so you don't want to get too caught up in all the short-term stuff and the bad stuff and the good stuff and just make sure the long-term trajectory is going the way you want it to go.
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