CLX出现动能背离及MACD买入信号,暗示可能向上反转;值得在10月初关注以寻找初步交易机会。
逐段跳播
最后,Clorox。Clorox是眼下你能找到的少数几只在上行动能上出现背离的股票之一。这种情况发生在价格下跌时。看整个9月的低点,10月初创下52周最低点,但看动能的向上偏向。
所以,我们有了更低的价格低点和更高的动能(RSI)低点。这是一个向上反转。我应该说,一个可能的向上反转,你不觉得吗?在价格创下更低低点的同时动能改善,表明我们可能已经到达了下跌趋势的衰竭点。
这是我很少放进投资组合的那类图,因为我更愿意耐心等待趋势转为向上,但上行动能的背离可能表明我们想小仓位开始,押注一次可能的反转。那么,我们怎样才能以更保守的方式处理这件事呢?如果你仍然不信服,这正是看一个叫MACD或PPO的指标的最佳时机。
我给你看看它是什么样子。我们会更换底部面板,选择“MACD”指标,好吗?这个指标是趋势跟踪指标之一。它的设计是在趋势开始略微反转时发生交叉。如果你看,就在今天,或者也许是昨天,我们在日线MACD指标上得到了一个买入信号。
这可能确认从底部水平的强劲反弹。这种关系就是:股票处于向下方向,上行动能出现背离,随后是MACD指标的买入信号。这个(1-2-3)序列是我在主要市场的最低水平多次见过的。证据就在价格里。
我们将需要看到上涨趋势的延续来确认那次突破,也许还要继续积累并完成建仓。但作为基于那次背离和MACD买入信号的初始交易,这是10月初值得关注的事情。
Finally, Clorox. Clorox is one of the few stocks you can find right now that is showing divergence in upward momentum. This happens when the price drops. Look at the low lows throughout September, with the lowest point in 52 weeks at the start of October, but look at the upward bias of momentum.
So, we have lower price lows and higher momentum (RSI) lows. This is an upward reversal. A possible upward reversal, I should say, wouldn't you say? The improvement in momentum while the price is recording lower lows suggests that we may have reached a point of exhaustion for the downtrend.
This is the type of chart I rarely put in my investment portfolios, because I prefer to wait patiently for the trend to turn upward, but the divergence of upward momentum may indicate our desire to start small and bet on a possible reversal.
Now, how can we approach this matter in a more conservative way? If you are still not convinced, this is the perfect time to look at an indicator called the MACD or PPO. I'll show you what that looks like.
We will change the bottom panel and select the "MACD" indicator, okay? This indicator is one of the trend-following indicators. It was designed to intersect when the trend begins to reverse slightly.
If you look, just today, or maybe yesterday, we have a buy signal on the daily MACD indicator. This may confirm a strong rebound from the bottom level. This relationship is where the stock is in a downward direction, with a divergence in upward momentum, followed by a buy signal from the MACD indicator.
This (1-2-3) sequence is one I've seen many times at the lowest levels of the major markets. The proof is in the price. We will need to see a continuation of the upward trend to confirm that breakout, and perhaps to accumulate more and complete the financial position.
But as an initial trade based on that divergence and the MACD buy signal, it is something worth watching at the beginning of October.
观察点
这个频道对 $CLX 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。