$COST · Schwab Network · 2026-11-02
Costco 仍是他信任并希望持有的长期核心持仓，但他认为在10月上涨超过11%之后，近期的防御性走势走得太远太快；短期他计划下周卖出行权价1050-1055的看涨期权，价格约两美元，预期这笔交易会奏效，并称这是一笔交易，而非投资预测。
逐段跳播
让我们看看好市多（Costco），这是你的第二选择。一只更具防御性的股票，投资策略完全不同。该股自年初以来上涨了约19%。你怎么看好市多？
Let's take a look at Costco, it's your second choice. A more defensive stock, and a completely different investment strategy . The stock has risen by about 19% since the beginning of the year . What do you think of Costco?
我简直不敢相信我会这样谈论它，因为好市多是我信任并买入的股票之一。但我认为过去一周我们看到的这种防御性走势已经走得太远了。非常快。长期我仍然想持有这只股票，但在短期内，我认为应该兑现一些利润。
因此，我计划下周，也就是11月13日，卖出一个简单的看涨期权，行权价在1050-1055，以赚取约两美元的利润。再说一次，我甚至不记得上次考虑对好市多股票使用看跌卖出策略是什么时候了，因为这是我核心策略之一。但是，短期内，我认为这个策略会奏效。
I ca n't believe I'm going to talk about it this way, because Costco is one of the stocks I trust to buy. But I think this defensive move, which we have seen over the past week, has gone too far .
Very quickly. I still want to own this stock in the long term, but in this short period, I think some profits should be made. Therefore, I plan to sell a simple call option next week, on November 13, a call option at 1050-1055, to make a profit of about two dollars.
Again, I don't even remember the last time I considered using a bearish selling strategy on Costco stock, as it is one of my core strategies. But, for a short period , I think this strategy will work.
如你所知，看看好市多的股票和我们看到的走势，仅10月份动量就增加了超过11%。在这一部分还有一点需要澄清，这只是一笔交易。它不是你的投资预测，也不是你对公司的整体看法。它只是好市多股票的一个潜在短期投资机会。
As you know, momentum has increased by more than 11% during October alone, when you look at Costco's stock and the movement we've seen. It is also important to clarify during this section that this is just a deal.
It is not your investment forecast, nor is it your overall vision of the company . It is simply a potential short-term investment opportunity in Costco shares.
是的，你对这里交易活动时机的描述很好。我们已经超过了之前的这些高点。但今天的走势还没有让我们回到那个显著的高点。价格缺口从1065水平开始，与财报公布同时发生。在公布之前情况已经在恶化，但公布使情况更糟。
然而，这个水平仍然是一个重要的上行观察点。今天的最高水平达到约1028。因此，更容易识别下行趋势。我们在996附近有一个价格缺口，在980附近有一个显著的底部。连接两个底部的上升线非常陡峭。
也可以说，这形成了一个上升楔形形态，通常被认为是下行趋势的指标。因此，要观察价格是否开始跌破趋势线，以及是否会继续下跌。如果出现下跌，甚至可能开始回补价格缺口。现在，看看我们跟踪的移动平均线，5日指数移动平均线（深蓝色）接近1010。
如果我们跌破它，趋势线，即21日指数移动平均线（青绿色），目前大约在983。相对强弱指数（RSI）在这里暂停了。向上的绿色趋势线被跌破，短期向下的红色趋势线也被跌破。我们已经过了这个水平，现在暂时回到了超买区域。
70水平通常表明市场趋势明确且强劲。但我注意到这里有一个轻微的背离；虽然我们录得更高的价格峰值，但相对强弱指数（RSI）并没有跟随这一趋势。因此，这不是我们想看到的；涨幅节奏与实际价格走势之间存在背离。
现在，我们可以看到成交量给了我们一个重要的观察点。在975到1010之间有相对波动。没有显著的看涨指标值得在显著交易活动方面关注。可能在1040和1070附近，但与成交量数据中其他部分相比，这些水平非常小。
Yes, you did well in describing the timing of the trading activity here . We have already surpassed these previous high levels. But today's movement has not yet brought us back to that remarkable high point.
The price difference started at the 1065 level in conjunction with the earnings announcement. Things were already getting worse before the announcement, but the announcement made them worse.
However, this level remains an important upward point to watch. Today's highest level reached around 1028. Therefore, it is easier to identify the downward trend. We have a price difference around 996, and a notable bottom near 980.
The upward line connecting the two bottoms is very steep. It can also be said that this forms an upward wedge-like pattern, which is usually considered an indicator of a downward trend.
Therefore, watch to see if the price starts to fall below the trend line, and if it will continue to fall. It might even start to close the price gap if a drop occurs. Now, looking at the moving averages we are tracking, the five-day exponential moving average (in dark blue) is close to 1010.
If we fall below it, the trend line, the 21-day exponential moving average (in greenish-blue), is currently around 983. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has paused here. The upward green trend line was broken , as well as the short-term downward red trend line.
We have passed this level, and now we have temporarily returned to the overbought zone . The 70 level usually indicates strength in markets with a clear trend. But I notice a slight discrepancy here; while we are recording higher price peaks, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is not following this trend.
Therefore, this is not what we would like to see; there is a discrepancy between the pace of gains and the actual price movement. Now, we can see that the trading volume gives us an important point to watch.
There is relative fluctuation between 975 and 1010. There are no significant bullish indicators that warrant attention in terms of notable trading activity . Probably around 1040 and 1070, but these levels are very small compared to the rest of what we see in the trading volume data.
嗯，今天我们交易价格略低于这个区间，为102854。然而，我们仍与大盘一起向上移动。好市多股价上涨了约1.5%。
Well, today we are trading slightly below this range, at 102854. However, we are still moving upwards with the market in general. Costco's stock rose by approximately 1.5%.
这个频道对 $COST 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。