CRWD处于强劲上升趋势且技术面位置极佳;当前超买状态表明应等待回调至21日或50日移动均线后再加仓。
逐段跳播
CrowdStrike一直是一个备受青睐的名字。总体而言,网络安全公司的股票在技术面上处于非常有利的位置。顺便说一句,CrowdStrike这张图真正有意思的地方在于,如果你看3月市场见底之后的那波上涨。
值得注意的是,CrowdStrike比标普指数更早见底。标普500指数在3月底见底。CrowdStrike在2月见底,并在3月形成一个更高的低点,但随后突破了200日移动平均线。
而从那之后,4月和5月出现了非常强劲的上涨趋势。我们看到6月、7月和8月上涨趋势放缓。注意推进的步伐略微放慢了。我们在这里多次回落到50日移动平均线。走势的动能略有减弱。相对强弱指数(RSI)两次跌破50。
但看它又如何重新出现。我想说,这次突破,抱歉。突破230这一水平非常重要。那是一次显著的上涨。随后几周出现了跟进。今天我们再次创下新纪录,首次突破280。相对强弱指数(RSI)处于超买区域。
CrowdStrike has always been a favorite name. In general, the names of cybersecurity companies were in a very good position technically. What is really interesting about the CrowdStrike chart, by the way, is if you look at the rally that followed the market low in March.
It is worth noting that CrowdStrike hit its bottom before the S&P index. The S&P 500 index reached its bottom at the end of March. CrowdStrike bottomed out in February and established a higher low in March, but then broke through the 200-day moving average.
And now, from that point on, there was a very strong upward trend in April and May. We saw a slowdown in the upward trend in June, July and August. Notice how the pace of progress has slowed down a little.
We are falling back to the 50-day moving average several times here. The momentum of the movement is decreasing slightly. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell below 50 on two occasions.
But look how it reappeared again. I would like to say that this breach, excuse me. Breaking above the 230 level was very important. That was a significant upward movement. Follow-up then came in the weeks that followed.
Today we are setting another new record, surpassing 280 for the first time. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in overbought territory.
对于像CrowdStrike这样相对强弱指数处于超买区域的图,我想说的是,处于超买区域本身并不一定是坏事。我总是告诉人们,饱和意味着价格大幅上涨。这意味着该股正处于一轮重要的上涨趋势中。
这正是我们想要的。那么,这是否意味着今天可能是加仓的理想时机?也许不是。因为如果你看之前我们处于超买区域的几次,我们往往会看到小幅回调。我们最终形成一个更高的底部,然后你就得到一个非常好的入场点,去搭乘下一波上涨。
还要记住,当一只股票变得超买时,它可能会在很长一段时间内保持超买。在5月到6月初这里,该股进入超买状态并保持了大约一个月,最终才小幅回调。因此,仅仅相对强弱指数(RSI)高于70并不一定是坏事。
当价格跌破70这一水平时,它可能会向你发出信号:“好吧,先缓一缓。”让我们期待向21日指数移动平均线、或至多50日移动平均线的回调。这些是一些潜在的回调目标,我们可以用它们来识别下一个上涨阶段。
但是,从更宏观的角度看,CrowdStrike似乎处于极佳的位置。
What I would say about a chart like CrowdStrike, where the Relative Strength Index is in overbought territory, is that being in overbought territory in itself is not necessarily a bad thing.
I always tell people that saturation means a significant price increase. This means the stock is in a major upward trend. That's kind of what we want. Now, does this mean that today might be the ideal time to increase financial position?
Maybe not. Because if you look at previous times when we were in an overbought zone, we often saw a slight pullback. We ended up forming a higher bottom, and then you get a very good entry point to ride the next upward wave.
Also remember that when a stock becomes overbought, it may remain so for a long period of time. Here in May and into early June, the stock entered an overbought state and remained so for about a month before eventually pulling back a little.
Therefore, just having the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70 is not necessarily a bad thing. When the price falls below the 70 level, it might signal to you, "Okay, hold off a bit."
Let's look forward to that pullback towards the 21-day exponential moving average, or at most the 50-day moving average. These are some potential pullback targets that we can use to identify the next upward phase.
But, from a broader perspective, CrowdStrike appears to be in an excellent position.
这个频道对 $CRWD 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。