CRWV因杠杆和融资成本担忧遭遇15%抛售后下跌9%,目前处于关键的60至65美元支撑位;若守住,技术上预计会反弹,跌破60美元则是离场信号,楔形破位指向约41美元,债务覆盖率正对股价构成压力。
逐段跳播
但让我们谈谈一个有争议的案例,即这是否适用于CoreWeave以及我们看到的走势——由于杠杆担忧、融资成本上升,以及它们的债券达到高位,出现了15%的抛售。随后,在许多人站出来之后,我们看到了反弹,比如Jensen Huang,他为其辩护。
还有Dan Ives,他说那些卖出被高估了。它们昨天反弹了。现在我再看看它们的图。今天我们下跌了9%,在“Core”上。那么,Tim,你现在怎么看“Koroev”?这对“Korweef”来说是一个决定性的时刻吗,你需要做出留下还是离开的决定吗?
But let's talk about a controversial case of whether that applies to CoreWeave and the move we saw, where a 15% sell-off occurred due to leverage concerns, rising funding costs, and their bonds reaching high levels.
Then we saw a recovery after many people came out, such as Jensen Huang, who defended them. And Dan Ives, who said that the sales were overrated. They recovered yesterday. Now I look at their graph again .
We are down 9% today in "Core". So, how do you view " Koroev" now, Tim? Is this a decisive moment for "Korweef," and will you need to make a decision to stay or leave?
比如,我当时在读Jensen的评论,我对自己说,好吧,这家伙比我聪明十亿倍,不是吗?他在为这家公司辩护。现在,你在这里看到的,我是说,这是一张彻底破碎的图。我很想知道“KG”会怎么看这个想法。
但是,你知道,你看着这东西。我是说,过去一年里有很多次它跌到这个水平,基本上就是它现在所在的位置,然后从这个位置反弹。现在,正如我提到的,风险管理是基础。好。我喜欢这张图的地方在于,这里有一个坚实的基础。
如你所知,它今天在六十出头的位置交易,我认为这是一个非常关键的时刻,要么生存,要么灭亡。我喜欢这样清晰的图,因为很明显,好吧,这只股票已经开始反转了。我有理由说,我不想在这个水平以下卷入这团乱局。
但当我看着它达到的高点时,我是说,看看四月。我是说,它又回到了这个水平。它从60涨到了140。我们在八月就在这个水平。它从60涨到了120。所以,我喜欢把这作为一种方法,你知道,作为一个交易的基准水平,它提供了一个非常清晰的止损点。
如果这只股票跌破60这一水平,能跑多快就跑多快。是的,我喜欢基于这些水平来交易。
For example, I was reading Jensen's comments and I said to myself, well, this guy is a billion times smarter than me , isn't he? He is defending the company. Now, what you're looking at here, I mean, this is a completely shattered graph.
I'm eager to see what "KG" will say about this idea. But, you know, you're looking at this thing. I mean, there have been many times during the past year where it has broken down to this level , which is basically where it is now, and then bounced off of it .
Now, as I mentioned, risk management is the foundation. Good. What I like about this chart is that you have a strong foundation here. As you know, where it's trading today in the early sixties, I think this is a very crucial moment , it's either survive or perish.
I love clear charts like these, where it's quite obvious , well, the stock has started to turn around. I have grounds from which I can say that I do not want to get involved in this mess below this level.
But when I look at the highs it has reached, I mean, look at April. I mean, he's back to this level. It has risen from 60 to 140. We were at this level in August. It went up from 60 to 120.
So, I like this as a method, you know, as a level to trade based on, it provides a very clear stop- loss point. If this stock breaks the 60 level, run away as fast as you can. And yes, I like trading based on these levels.
所以,好。那么,60是“Tim”认为突出的一个退出水平。“KG”,当你看这只股票的图时,观察它本周的表现肯定很有意思,但如果我们更广泛地看过去一年,我是说,这是一只波动很大的股票。你在技术形态上看到了什么?
So, okay. So, 60 is the level that stands out for "Tim" as a level to exit. "KG," when you look at the chart for this stock, it will certainly be interesting to watch its performance this week, but if we look more broadly over the past year, I mean, it's a volatile name. What do you see in the technical setup?
是的,如果我们实际看日线图,我会说得快一点。啊,Tim说得对。我是说,这曾是一个买入区,大约在60美元到比如说65美元这一水平,算是一个低点,我们看到一些买家试图进场。我们去年十一月几乎看到了这一点。
去年十二月我们看到了同样的情况,今年三月也发生了同样的事。肯定已经形成了一种趋势。七月,又是一个大家都感到某种焦虑的月份。我们又回到了坐在这些水平上的状态。如果你看到60美元到65美元之间这一水平被守住,技术分析师会关注反弹,而反弹可能昨天已经发生了。
我们看到了一次小幅的修正性上涨。是的,我们也收到了一些积极的反馈。但昨天我们实际看到的成交量比前一天更大或更高,而前一天我们目睹了大崩盘。我认为这实际上非常有意义。今天我们下跌了9%,但最终我们在这里看到了一些不错的成交量。
如果我们下跌9%而成交量清淡,你仍然可以说60美元这一水平可能守得住。MACD指标处于看跌形态,将在26这一水平下方被激活。但要留意相对强弱指数(RSI)。相对强弱指数昨天或前天在我们小幅反弹时进入了超卖区。
我们会在相对强弱指数上形成一个更高的低点吗?我认为这将是乐观者进场这只股票的关键。然后我们来看三年期的周线图,因为你会得到稍微更好的视角。这基本上是现在正在发生的一个下降楔形形态。
高点走低,如果你看这里下方K线的影线,你可以说可能正在形成更低的低点。这是分界线。如果我们看到向下突破,你要看的是该股在41美元附近的一个成交量节点,看它能否在那里守住。因此,这或许是一个关键的“成败”局面。
从技术上讲,你预期从这里反弹。本质上,我认为这超出了政治的范畴,债务覆盖率是一个担忧,我相信这正是给这只股票以及该板块其他股票带来压力的原因。所以,让我们看看它在接下来几天是否会有一点修正性上涨,Marilyn。
Yes, if we actually look at the daily chart, and I'll be quick on this. Ah, Tim is right. I mean, this was a buying zone around the $ 60 to let's say $65 level , which is kind of a low point, and we see some buyers trying to step in.
We saw that almost in November of last year. We saw the same thing in December of last year, and the same thing happened in March of this year. There is definitely a trend that has formed.
July, another month in which everyone felt some kind of anxiety. We are returning to sitting at these levels. If you see this level defended between $60 and $65, technical analysts will be watching for a bounce, and that may have already happened yesterday.
We have seen a slight corrective rise. Yes, we received some positive feedback as well. But yesterday we actually saw a larger or higher trading volume than the previous day, when we witnessed the great crash.
I think this is actually very meaningful. Today we are down 9%, but at the end of the day we saw some good trading volumes here. If we are down 9% and trading volume is light, you can still say that the $60 level may hold.
The MACD indicator is in a bearish formation and will be activated below the 26 level. But keep an eye on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The Relative Strength Index reached the oversold zone yesterday or the day before when we bounced back a little.
Will we form a higher bottom on the Relative Strength Index? I think this will be key for optimists to get into this stock. Then we'll move on to the three- year weekly chart because you'll get a slightly better perspective.
This is basically a descending wedge pattern that is happening now. Lower peaks, and you could say possibly lower bottoms are forming if you look at the wicks of the lower candles here.
This is the dividing line. If we see a break downwards, you are looking at a volume node at around $41 for the stock to be able to hold there. Therefore, this is perhaps a crucial "either success or failure" situation.
Technically speaking, you expect a bounce from here . Essentially , and I think this is outside the realm of politics, the debt coverage ratio is a concern, and I believe that is what is putting pressure on this stock and others in this sector.
So, let's see if it gets a bit of a corrective rise over the next couple of days, Marilyn.
Core Wave在52周低点时几乎是同样的思路。我真的相信,春季存在的那个阻力水平是一个很好的、可以据此交易的支撑水平。
It's almost the same idea with Core Wave at its 52-week lows. I truly believe that the resistance level that existed in the spring is a good support level to trade based on.
正如我关于CoreWave提到的,如果这只股票跌破这一水平,它就给了你一个清晰的信号,让你说:“好吧,它之前处于上升趋势,在过去六个月里取得了巨大涨幅,但它崩了、下跌了,所以让我们转向别的东西吧。”
As I mentioned regarding CoreWave, if the stock breaks this level, it gives you a clear indication to say: "Okay, it was on an upward trend, and made huge gains in the last six months , but it crashed and declined, so let's move on to something else ."
但如果它能在今天的抛售中守住这一水平并维持住,我们可能会在选举之前甚至之后看到所有这些股票出现积极的转折。我认为这是一个非常好的交易水平,而且我钦佩这只股票的表现。
But if it can hold at this level with today's selling and maintain it, we could see a positive turnaround in all these stocks before or even after the election. I think it's a very good level to trade, and I admire the performance of this stock.
这个频道对 $CRWV 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。