CVX 应会因强劲的图表、油价跳空走高以及地缘政治避险需求而继续上涨，但涨幅不应很大。在约 232 美元，它相对 20 周均线已过度延伸：要么继续上涨直到该均线追上，要么回调，支撑位依次约为 200 美元、再是 185 美元；若崩跌，很可能意味着能源板块也在崩跌。
逐段跳播
好，让我们看看你这里的最后一个选项。你有 Chevron，而且在我们看到油价高于 100 美元的情况下，能源是今天的主导板块，但 Tim，你一直是 Chevron 的长期粉丝。那么，你现在如何看待 Chevron？
Okay, let's take a look at your last option here. You have Chevron, and we have energy as the dominant sector today as we look at oil prices above $100, but you've been a longtime fan of Chevron, Tim. So, how do you view Chevron now?
是的，我想我大概是在委内瑞拉遭袭后的那个周五第一次提出这个想法的。你可以回去把它和你的图表对照一下，从那时起这就是一个惊人的趋势。确实，今年夏天有一些波动，但回到委内瑞拉那次袭击的时候，那里的交易增加了。
你知道，当时的想法是解除对委内瑞拉石油的限制。如你所知，当你回顾在这个市场中寻找强劲图表形态的想法时，它持续上涨真是令人惊叹。我曾希望，你知道，我们能不再谈论这些石油和天然气股票，但你要去图表强劲的地方，跟随主流趋势。
正如我之前提到的，这让我感到沮丧，但有所有这些传言，而且我经常读“X”。你需要非常小心，有很多关于周末可能升级的传言。这意味着什么？石油的上涨存在一个显著的缺口，这意味着 Chevron 很可能会继续上涨。
这是一种安全投资，有强劲的图表、石油和天然气，以及地缘政治局势。不要指望这能产生巨额利润，但回到在波动市场中寻找强劲图表形态，我认为 Chevron 就是其中之一。
Yes, I think I first came up with this idea probably on the Friday following the raid on Venezuela. Learn, you can go back and match that to your chart, it's been an amazing trend from there.
Indeed, there has been some volatility this summer, but going back to the time of that raid in Venezuela, trading there has increased. You know, the idea was to lift the restrictions on Venezuelan oil .
As you know, when you look back at the idea of trying to find strong chart patterns in this market, it's truly amazing that this continues to rise. I had hoped, you know, that we would be done talking about these oil and gas stocks, but you go where the charts are strong, and you follow the prevailing trend.
As I mentioned earlier, it frustrates me, but there are all these rumors, and I read "X" a lot . You need to be very careful, there are a lot of rumors about things possibly escalating over the weekend.
What does that mean ? There is a significant gap in the rise of oil, and this means that Chevron will likely continue to rise. It is a type of safe investment, with a strong chart , oil and gas, and a geopolitical situation.
Don't expect this to generate huge profits, but going back to looking for strong chart patterns in a volatile market, I think Chevron is one of them .
好，那么 AKG，你在这里看到了什么？因为它自年初以来已经上涨了52%，这和我们看全年时的涨幅差不多，但从技术角度看，目前它似乎正以相当直的直线向上运行。
Okay, so AKG, what do you see here? Because they're up 52% since the start of the year, which is about the same amount if we look at the whole year, but from a technical standpoint, it looks like we're moving upwards in a fairly straight line at the moment .
好，我尽量只谈技术面，但你是了解我的，我总体上很喜欢能源板块，也喜欢聊它。从三年周线图的技术角度看，这只股票在真正突破之前经历了很长时间的盘整，这一点我们能看出来。起初支撑位大约在135到137。
阻力区大约在167左右，然后我们看到了这次突破。当然，突破发生在今年年初，绕过了地缘政治风险，因为那是在今年1月。直到2月底我们才看到袭击，但我们确实看到了一波强劲上涨，在215美元附近遇到了一些阻力。
我们有过一份谅解备忘录，它被短暂遵守了一段时间。我们目睹了一次下跌。该股试图在20周移动均线处盘整。遗憾的是，它没能守住。接下来它去了哪里？去了50周移动均线。我们看到一些买家进场，20周移动均线再次被突破，盘整，然后继续上涨。
215这一水平是一个关键阻力区。我们又试了一次，现在我们正看到这次向上突破，该股目前交易价约为232美元。有一点让人有些担心。如果你回顾这只股票的历史，雪佛龙很长时间以来一直没有远离其20周移动均线。
因此，它要么继续上涨直到追上20周移动均线，要么我们会看到一次下跌。如果出现回调，第一支撑区大约在200美元，然后是185美元作为下一个支撑区。相对强弱指数（RSI）在这里正试图达到超买水平。
你能看到它有些向上弯曲。MACD指标处于看涨形态，12线位于26指数移动均线上方。从技术上讲，这张图不错。嗯，你得看看历史，然后说总得有些变化。要么移动均线快速向上移动，要么我们看到这只股票崩跌，而这很可能也意味着整个能源板块的崩跌。
Okay, I'll try to stick to the technical aspects only, but you know me, I love the energy sector in general and I love talking about it. From a technical perspective on the 3-year weekly chart , the stock was in a consolidation phase for a very long time before it actually broke out, and we can see that.
Initially, the support level was around 135 to 137. The resistance area was around 167 or so, and then we saw this breakout . The breakthrough, of course, occurred at the beginning of this year, bypassing the geopolitical risks because it was in January of this year.
We didn't see strikes until the end of February, but we did see a strong upward move, with some resistance around $215. We had that memorandum of understanding which was adhered to for a brief period .
We witnessed a decline. The stock attempted to consolidate at the 20-week moving average. Unfortunately , he failed at that. Where did he go next? To the 50-week moving average.
We saw some buyers step in, the 20-week moving average broke through again, consolidated, and continued to rise. The 215 level was a key resistance area. We tried again, and now we are witnessing that upward breakout as the stock trades at approximately $232.
Here's something that's a little worrying. If you look back at the history of this stock, Chevron has n't been trading far from its 20-week moving average for a long time. Therefore, it will either continue to rise until it catches up with the 20-week moving average , or we will see a decline.
If a pullback occurs, you are looking at around $200 as the first support zone, and then $185 as the next support zone . The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is attempting to reach overbought levels here.
You can see it bending upwards somewhat. The MACD indicator is in a bullish formation, with the 12 line above the 26 exponential moving average. Technically speaking, this chart is good.
Well, you have to look at history and say that something has to change. Either the moving average moves rapidly upwards, or we see a collapse in the stock, and this would likely also indicate a collapse in the energy sector as a whole.
好。看看雪佛龙，它今天上涨了2.8%，但我强烈感觉，在收盘行情（Market on Close）的收盘讨论环节，我们还会再聊到能源。所以，你会有另一次机会来聊你最喜欢的板块之一。
Good. As we look at Chevron, it's up 2.8% today, but I have a strong feeling we'll be talking about energy again during the Market on Close closing panel. So, you'll get another chance to talk about one of your favorite sectors.
这个频道对 $CVX 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。