$DASH · Joseph Carlson After Hours · 2026-10-29
DoorDash 增长迅速(上季度订单量增长 28% 至 9.93 亿单,部分来自收购),其约 170 亿美元的 Instacart 交易是利好:它将 DASH 从占主导地位的美国餐饮外卖扩展到零售,这是一种更快但成本高昂的买份额方式,应能带来持久优势和多年增长。作为股东,说话者希望交易完成,但能否获批尚不明确,取决于市场如何界定。
逐段跳播
还有Dor Dash,它公布了财报,并表示将尝试收购Instacart。
and Dor Dash, which announced its earnings and said it will try to buy Instacart.
但其他公司,如Texas Roadhouse、穆迪、DoorDash和Uber,则小幅上涨。
but other companies such as Texas Roadhouse, Moody's, DoorDash, and Uber have risen slightly.
现在,我们还有DoorDash,这是我一个较小的投资,它也公布了财报,我知道你们很多人,实际上你们所有人,都非常有责任心。你们绝不会问“Dur Dash”。你们绝不会把钱浪费在那些费用上。
嗯,很多人确实会这么做。“Dore Dash”非常受欢迎,在非常节俭的投资者这个泡沫之外,很多人什么都在上面点。他们从餐厅点东西,点饮料,甚至从杂货店点用品。这是一项非常大的业务。
事实上,他们的订单量增长了28%。现在,其中一部分增长来自收购,但他们仅在上个季度就达到了9.93亿单。这不是过去十二个月的数字。这只是90天内的数字。所以,它受欢迎得不可思议。
Now, we also have DoorDash, a smaller investment of mine that has also announced its earnings, and I know that many of you, indeed all of you , are very responsible. You would never ask "Dur Dash".
You will never waste your money on those fees. Well, a lot of people do that. "Dore Dash" is hugely popular , and outside the bubble of very frugal investors , many people are asking for everything.
They order things from restaurants, they order drinks, and they even order supplies from the grocery store. It's a very large business. In fact, their order volume grew by 28%.
Now , part of this growth is due to acquisitions, but they have now reached 993 million orders in the last quarter alone. This is not within the last twelve months. This is within a period of only 90 days . Therefore, it is incredibly popular.
DoorDash 继续以高速增长,而现在公司已正式宣布有意收购 Instacart。这是"Dash Door"进军零售品类的一个明确举措。目前,DoorDash 是美国最大的外卖配送公司,因此他们完全主导了餐饮领域。
他们在餐饮领域非常强,现在正试图扩张,等于在说:"你好,我们并不局限于餐饮,我们在本地生活的各个方面都有布局。"我们希望所有零售商都加入我们,这样我们的顾客在购物时就有更多选择。
其设想是,当顾客打开 DoorDash 应用时,就能从身边任何本地商家购物。因此,这将是一笔巨额收购交易。他们将为此支付约170亿美元。他们将为 Instacart 支付非常高的溢价,但这是获取市场份额所必需的代价。
要么你通过收购来买下这块业务,就像 DoorDash 正试图做的那样;要么你通过吸引顾客、投入广告、发起大规模营销活动,并长期经营一项不盈利的业务,直到获得市场份额,以此付出溢价。
这只是一个更快的做法。目前,我同意 DoorDash 股东的看法,认为这是一件积极的事。现在,股价已经上涨了4%,因为投资者对此感到兴奋,但这件事在很大程度上仍不确定。目前还不完全清楚这是否能获得监管批准,因为 DoorDash 的体量已经非常庞大。
收购 Instacart 会让他们变得更大,而这确实取决于你如何界定市场。如果市场只是 DoorDash、Instacart 和 Uber 这样的配送服务,那么 DoorDash 显然已经太大,不该收购 Instacart。
但如果你开始把 Amazon 配送算作市场的一部分,把 Walmart 配送也算作市场的一部分,那么就更容易论证 DoorDash 应该能够收购 Instacart。这些就是所有律师都会提出的论点,以试图推动这笔交易通过。
DoorDash continues to grow at a high rate of speed, and now the company has officially announced its intention to buy Instacart. This is a clear move by "Dash Door" to enter the retail category.
Currently, DoorDash is the largest food delivery company in the United States. Therefore, they completely dominated the restaurant sector. They are very strong in the restaurant sector, and are trying to expand to say: "Hello, we are not limited to restaurants, we are present in everything local as well."
We want all retailers to join us. So that our customers have many more choices when they shop. The idea is that when they open the DoorDash app, they can shop from any local place around them.
Therefore, this would be a huge acquisition deal. They will pay around $17 billion for it. They will pay a very good premium for Instacart, but that is the price required to gain market share.
Either you buy the stake through acquisition, as Dur-Dash is trying to do, or you pay a premium by attracting customers, spending on advertising, launching massive campaigns , and running an unprofitable business for a long time until you gain market share.
This is simply a faster way to do it. Currently, I agree with Dur- Dash shareholders that this is a positive thing. Now, the stock has risen by 4% because investors are excited about it, but it is still largely unknown .
It is not entirely clear whether this will gain regulatory approval because Dash's role is already huge. Buying Instacart will make them bigger, and it really depends on how you define the market.
If the market is just delivery services like DoorDash, Instacart , and Uber, then DoorDash is clearly too big to buy Instacart. But, if you start saying that Amazon delivery is part of the market, and Walmart delivery is part of the market, it becomes easier to justify that Dash should be able to buy Instacart.
Those are the arguments that all the lawyers will present to try to push this deal through.
但作为 DoorDash 的投资者,我希望这笔交易能够完成。我认为扩张是必要的。尽管代价高昂,但这将赋予他们持久的优势,以及未来许多年的增长轨迹。
But I hope the deal goes through as an investor in Dash. I believe expansion is necessary. Although it comes at a high price , this will give them a lasting advantage and a growth trajectory for many years to come.
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