$DE · StockCharts TV · 2026-10-28
DE 的18周期均线已下穿40周均线，这是与更高周期趋势相悖的反向形态，同时出现 MACD 超调、并无真正的卖方力量，ADX 仍低于25。只有当价格重新回到周线均线上方时，这才是买入机会；价格本身就是信号，且第二个突破信号优于第一个。
逐段跳播
好，我想在这里再比较点别的，就是看看 Deere 股价的下跌与这里的72周线。你可以看到18周期移动平均线向下穿过了40周期。这是一个逆势趋势形态，因为它与更高时间框架的趋势相反。
看看 MACD 指标中出现的过度延伸。目前，卖方并没有真正的力量，因为这里的 ADX 指标低于25线。好，所以当价格重新涨回这些周移动平均线上方、且 MACD 回到信号线上方时，这就是一个买入的机会，但我用价格作为我的信号，而不是 MACD。
如果你注意到这里 MACD 向上交叉，我是在寻找前一次突破的第二个信号。我不想接受出现的第一个信号。我想等第二个信号，也就是行情启动、出现一波非常漂亮的上涨的时候。
Okay, I want to compare something else here, which is looking at the decline in Deere stock with the 72-week line here. You can see that the 18-period moving average crossed down below the 40.
This is a contrarian trend pattern because it opposes the trend in the higher timeframe. Look at the overshoot that occurs in the MACD indicator. Right now, there is no real strength for the sellers because the ADX indicator is below the 25 line here.
Okay, so this is an opportunity to be a buyer when we move back up above these weekly moving averages and the MACD comes back above the signal line, but I use price as my signal, not the MACD.
If you notice the MACD crossing upwards here, I'm looking for the second signal of a previous breakout. I don't want to take this first sign that appears. I want to wait for the second signal, which is when things start and there's a really nice upward movement.
这个频道对 $DE 的历次判断
StockCharts TV 在这只股票上共 4 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。