DELL 的长期趋势向上，高点与低点均不断抬高，指标显示其可能继续上涨，但短期内可能出现回调或回落；支撑位在 545 附近，若突破 590，目标看向 610-615。鉴于估值异常偏高，一位主讲人通过 11 月看跌期权持谨慎看空立场。
逐段跳播
最后来看一下Dell的股票。从某些方面来说，它或许是这些股票中最稳定的，尽管自年初以来，其股价已从最低点上涨了五倍。
Your final look is on the Dell stock. It is perhaps the most stable of these stocks in some respects , although its performance has risen fivefold from its lowest point since the beginning of the year.
正如你指出的，Alex，说它是这些股票中最稳定的，其实意义不大。它有点疯狂，但也不算太疯狂，这么说比较简单，但这里关于Dell的逻辑是一样的，就像我们谈到的Moderna，以及Palantir也是类似。
情况已经开始有点升温，尤其是在短期内。股票估值非同寻常，估值很高，不是吗？最后，我们在这里确实遇到了一些问题，但就这个案例而言，隐含波动率已经大幅下降。所以，我采用了不同的交易结构，采取相当谨慎的看跌策略，即买入传统的11月550看跌期权，这有点超出区间，同时卖出本周550的期权，这笔交易支付了略高于20美元的权利金。
我喜欢的是，如果从现在到传统11月之间出现任何下跌，这笔交易都会有不错的表现。此外，我有5周时间来做我所谓的“砍柴”，也就是继续针对它卖出短期期权。如果我们看到隐含波动率略有上升，那也会对交易结构有利。
To say that it is the most stable of these stocks, as you pointed out, Alex, doesn't really mean much . It's a little crazy, not too crazy, that's an easy way to put it, but it's the same thesis here about Dell, as we talked about Moderna and similarly with Palantir as well.
Things have started to heat up a little, certainly in the short term. The stock valuations are out of the ordinary, high valuations, aren't they? Finally, we do encounter some problems here, but in this case, the implied volatility has decreased significantly.
So, I'm using a different trading structure, taking a rather cautious bearish approach , where I buy traditional November put options at 550, which is a little out of range, and sell this week's options at 550, paying a little over $20 for that trade.
I like that if we see any downturn between now and traditional November, this deal will perform well. In addition, I have 5 weeks for what I call "wood chopping," that is, continuing to sell short- term options against it.
If we see a slight increase in implied volatility, that will also benefit the deal structure.
我们稍微谈谈Dell。我听说你想先从长期开始。我们来看看这张Dell的图表，看起来确实很亮眼。长期来看，它看起来像半个管道。实际上，如你所知，3年周线图在某种程度上足以让我们判断这只股票在这里的方向。
不仅是短期，长期也是如此。再次，你看到这种基本形态。该股在80美元到181美元左右之间交易，之后非常强势地突破了20周移动均线、50周移动均线和200周移动均线。现在，相对强弱指数（RSI）出现了一些看跌背离。
因此，我们正在失去一点价格动能。这就是我们从6月到8月大致盘整的区域，之后我们开始看到向上突破。我们有一个阻力区，现在已转变为支撑区。所以，我们看到那条白线，也就是那条小趋势线，正在充当支撑区。
如果我们看到回调，你看到的大约545区域是该股的下一个支撑区。如果该股成功突破590水平，你看到的是610到615之间。我提出这一点的另一个原因是，MACD指标已开始略微下降。
当涉及到12周期指数移动平均线（12-EMA）时，它开始失去更多动能。所以，Dell股票可能会有小幅回调，或者无论如何都会回调，但我们正在录得更高的历史高点和更高的低点，而且这只股票在起飞向上之前成功维持了两三个月。
趋势对你有利，所以指标仍表明我们可能会看到该股继续上涨，但短期内可能会出现下跌或回调。我认为这正是Tim所说的关于交易结构和他对这家公司看法的内容。
Let's talk a little about Dell. I heard you want to start with the long term first. Let's look at this Dell chart, which looks really impressive . It looks like half a pipe in the long run. actually.
As you know, actually, a 3-year weekly chart is somewhat sufficient for us to be able to determine the direction of the stock here. Not only in the short term, but also in the long term.
Again, you see this type of basic formation. The stock was trading between $80 and around $181 before it broke very strongly above the 20-week moving average, the 50-week moving average, and the 200-week moving average.
Now, we have some bearish divergence occurring in the Relative Strength Index . Therefore, we are losing a little price momentum. This is where we roughly consolidated from June to August before we started to see a breakout to the upside.
We had a resistance zone, which has now turned into a support zone. So, we see that the white line, that small trend line there , is acting as a support zone. If we see a pullback, you are looking at approximately the 545 area as the next support zone for this stock.
If the stock manages to break above the 590 level , you are looking at between 610 and 615. The other reason I brought this up is that the MACD indicator has started to decline slightly.
It started to lose more momentum when it came to the 12-period exponential moving average (12-EMA). So, there may be a slight pullback or a pullback anyway for Dell stock, but we are recording higher record highs and higher lows, and this stock managed to hold for two or three months before it took off upwards.
The trend is in your favor , so indicators still suggest we may see the stock continue to rise, but a dip or pullback may occur in the near term here. I think this is exactly what Tim is talking about regarding the trading structure and his views on this company .
是的，由于科技板块对整个市场的影响，Dell的股票今天面临一些压力。Dell的股票下跌了约3.25%。
Yes, Dell's stock is facing some pressure today due to the impact of the technology sector on the market as a whole. Dell's stock is down by about 3.25 percent.
这个频道对 $DELL 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 9 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。