DELL 是 AI 领域的领导者，相对强度强劲，本季度业绩大爆发，市盈率约 20 倍，今年增长 100%——与标普持平——因此理应大幅走高；然而他上周在 583 卖出，理由是收益率、油价和战争令风险回报不利，并接受错失进一步上涨。
逐段跳播
那么，就拿 Dell 举个例子，你也可以谈谈其他股票。
So, just using Dell as an example and you can talk about other stocks as well.
还是说，就像 Dell 这样一家还不是万亿美元市值的公司，在夏季那波回调中展现出了极强的相对强度？所以，它其实已经在给你暗示，它想走高。随后又用一个炸裂的业绩数字加以印证。
Or is it like a Dell that's not a trillion-dollar company yet that showed tons of relative strength during the drawdown in the summer? So, it's already giving you hints it wanted to go higher. Backed it up with a blow away number.
你是否受到 AI 浪潮领头羊的推崇，也就是 Jensen，对吧？他会把你安排在前排吗？每次他开大会，他会不会指着你，Michael Dell？
Are you lauded by the leader of the AI parade meaning Jensen, right? Does he put you in the front seat? Every time he has a conference, does he point to you, Michael Dell?
然后你把整个图景拼起来，就会想，哦，好吧。它已经涨了，但远没有涨到它本可以涨到的程度。最后，再做点最基础的功课，比如，哦，市盈率是多少？哦，20倍？他们今年要增长100%。标普的市盈率也是20倍。
这他妈的怎么会在这儿？这还得再涨100点，对吧？这完全说不通。它的估值跟标普持平。而标普今年增长100%。
And then you put that whole picture together and you're like, oh, okay. It's moved but not nearly as much as it could. And then finally, some rudimentary work like, oh, what's the PE?
Oh, 20 times? They're going to grow 100% this year. The S&P trades at 20 times. How the F is this here? This has got to go another 100 points higher, right? Like this makes no sense.
It's trading in line with the S&P. The S&P's growing 100% this year.
所以，就像最近做 Dell 那样，我又持有了一次，在530多买的，到了583，这就是离场点。我看着它说，你知道，收益率在飙升，油价在飙升，战争没完没了，我明白。它展现出龙头地位。
它看起来依然很棒。但在这种环境下，他们会去找那些龙头股，对吧？他们也会把它们打下来。而这只现在绝对是一个顶级龙头，我不得不放弃一些上涨空间。离场是可以的，因为这不是一个高风险回报比的区域。我要出来了。所以，我上周在583卖掉了。
So, like recently with Dell, um I owned it again, 530s, and at 583, this is an exit. I looked at it and said, you know, yield's popping, oil popping, the war never-ending, I get it.
It shows leadership. It still looks great. But, in this environment, they they get to the generals, right? They shoot them, too. And this is absolutely a top general right now, and I got to miss some upside.
It's okay to get out cuz this is not a high risk reward area. I'm getting out. So, I sold it at 583 last week.
长话短说，它先跌了10到15，然后又涨了上去，接着今天，你知道，啪的一下就崩了。
Um make a long story short, it went lower by 10 or 15, then it went higher, and then today, you know, splat.
这个频道对 $DELL 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上共 5 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。