$GOOGL · Schwab Network · 2026-10-28
GOOGL 是财报后的看涨交易，尽管其 2026 年表现疲弱（上涨约 2.6%，较 5 月高点低约 21%），且 50/200 均线死叉临近；320-325 的底部区间和接近 39 的 RSI 支撑其反弹至 341.87-358，而 325/350 的 11 月看涨价差需约 2.5% 的上涨才能达到盈亏平衡。
逐段跳播
Alphabet（Google）定于今天收盘后公布季度业绩。华尔街预计本季度调整后每股收益为2.94美元，营收约为1120亿美元。
Alphabet (Google) is scheduled to announce its quarterly results after the market closes today. Wall Street is expecting earnings per share of $2.94 on an adjusted basis, and revenue of approximately $112 billion for this quarter.
本月股市承压。不过，该股同比仍上涨超过19%。我们先来谈谈图表，在讨论与Alphabet（Google）相关的趋势之前，然后再进入交易模型。
Stocks have come under pressure this month. However, the stock is still up more than 19% year-on-year. let's talk about the chart first, before the trends related to Alphabet (Google), before we move on to a trading model.
我认为，如果你更仔细地看看Alphabet正在发生的情况，不是吗？该股2026年迄今已上涨2%，对吧？
I think if you take a closer look at what's happening at Alphabet, don't you ? The stock has risen 2% so far in 2026, hasn't it?
因此，其表现一直低于许多其他大型科技公司，尤其是一些云计算巨头公司。本周我们看到了小幅上涨。但如果你看过去3年的表现，该股在此期间仍上涨约164%。
Therefore, its performance has been lower than that of many other major technology companies, especially some of the giant cloud computing companies. We have seen a slight increase this week.
But if you look at it over the past 3 years, I mean the stock is still up about 164% during that period.
所以，尽管我们近期没有看到与其他大型科技公司相同的涨幅，但它在过去三年表现非常出色。这里提供的是Google（Alphabet）一年期的单日图表。
So, although we haven't seen the same gains as other big technology companies recently , it has performed brilliantly over the past three years. A one-day chart for one year is available here for Google (Alphabet).
你提到它今年迄今只上涨了2.6%。它比5月份创下的历史高点低了21%，对吧？这只股票距离创下历史高点已经过去5个月了。所以，它的表现很差，
You mentioned that it has only risen by 2.6% so far this year. It's 21 % lower than its all-time high, which was in May, isn't it? It has been 5 months since this stock reached its all-time high . So, his performance was poor,
但你可以在这里看到两个关键水平。这是你可以重点关注的50日简单移动平均线和200日简单移动平均线。它们正在靠近。随着该股表现不佳，我们看到50日简单移动平均线向下倾斜，而下方蓝色的200日移动平均线已开始略微走平。所以，我们看到了这种收敛。
but you can see two key levels here. These are the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages that you can focus on. They are getting closer . We have seen the 50-day simple moving average trend downwards as the stock underperforms, while the 200-day moving average below in blue has started to flatten out a little. So, we have witnessed that convergence.
在业绩公布前，可能存在大幅且不成比例的波动风险。这是你应该关注的事情之一。现在，在这张图表的底部，Diane，你会看到相对强弱指数（RSI），尽管过去两天它略有上升，但仍处于约39的低位。
所以，任何低于30的水平在技术上都被视为“超卖”区域。我们开始看到一点上行动能，但距离该指数50的中位水平仍然很远。
There may be a risk of a large and disproportionate movement before earnings are announced. This is one of the things you should take a look at. Now, at the bottom of this chart, Diane , you will see the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and although it has risen slightly in the last two days, it is still at a low level of around 39.
So, any level below 30 is technically considered an "oversold" zone . Well , we are starting to see a little upward momentum, but it is still very far from the midpoint level of 50 on this index.
如果50日简单移动平均线跌破200日移动平均线，就会出现“死叉”。这是交易者必须关注的背景区域，上行方面，我关注的水平大约在341.87。下行方面，这里已经形成了一个良好的基础。
记住，去年7月我们曾到过320-325这一区域。随着业绩公布临近，它还会再次守住吗？所以，密切关注这个区域，它可能会在320附近触底，我们或许会看到一些支撑。
If the 50-day simple moving average falls below the 200-day moving average, we will get a "death cross" . This is the context area that traders will have to watch, and around 341.87 are the levels I'm watching for the upside .
On the downside, we have a good base that has formed here. Remember, we visited this area around 320-325 last July. Will it hold up again as the earnings announcement approaches ?
So, keep an eye on this area, which may bottom out around 320, where we might see some support.
上行方面，谈不上有什么重大阻力。358区域可能构成一定阻力，还有你提到的340至342附近的接触点。由于这里表现不佳，加上可用时间有限，我对此采取了略微更激进的看法。这不仅仅是押注盈利的问题。
如你所知，财报将在今晚收盘后发布。我没有使用10月30日当周的周期。我已经转向11月的月度周期。因此，在这笔看涨交易中，我给自己3.5周的时间。
On the upside, there are no major headwinds to speak of. The 358 area might be a zone that creates some resistance, along with the contact point you mentioned around 340 to 342.
I took a slightly more aggressive view of this due to the poor performance here, and the limited time available . This is not simply a matter of betting on profits. As you know, earnings will be released tonight after the close.
I did not use the October 30th weekly course. I have moved on to my November monthly cycle. Therefore, I am giving myself 3.5 weeks in this bullish trading deal.
如果你认为该股会反弹，或许是为了赶上该领域其他云计算公司。在11月20日到期、还有23天的11月期权中，我们将买入行权价为325的看涨期权，并卖出行权价为350的看涨期权以补偿部分风险。
所以，这是一个价差为25美元的垂直看涨交易，你大约需要支付8美元的成本。这就是你的风险，每份合约800美元，这也决定了盈亏平衡点。你可以从风险图中看到，未来三个半周内将升至333。
If you think the stock will bounce back, perhaps to catch up with other cloud computing companies in this field. In the November options expiring on November 20th, after 23 days, we will buy the call option at a strike price of 325, and in return for compensating for some of the risk, we will sell the call option at a strike price of 350.
So, a vertical call trade with a range of $25, you will pay an approximate cost of $8. That is your risk, $800 per contract, and that determines the breakeven point. You can see that here from the risk profile, going up to 333 over the next three and a half weeks.
如果Alphabet Google股票以324左右开盘，这仅代表较当前价格上涨2.5%。
This represents a rise of only 2.5% from the current price of Alphabet Google shares , if it opened at around 324.
现在，11月系列合约的期权市场——也就是你买入这个“垂直看涨期权”的市场——正在定价32美元的上行或下行波动。那么，与这32美元的预期波动相对应的是什么？大约是350。
Now, the options market for the November series of contracts, in which you buy this "vertical call", is pricing in an upward or downward move of $32. Okay, so what corresponds to this expected move of $32? Around 350.
所以，如果你看好这只股票在财报后的表现，用800美元的风险去博取1700美元的潜在利润，是非常好的风险回报比。
So, risking $800 for a potential profit of $1700 is a very good risk-to-reward ratio if you are optimistic about this stock post-earnings.
观察点
这个频道对 $GOOGL 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 23 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。