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$GOOGL

$GOOGL · Financial Education · 2026-10-28

AI 摘要 · Financial Education

GOOGL 被显著低估,是绝佳的买入机会:前瞻市盈率约19,而历史约为23,营收增长25%,云业务活动翻倍,盈利能力增长两倍以上,尽管自由现金流正在下降并已转负,因创纪录的经营现金流被投入资本开支。说话者长期持有并在下跌时买入,不过该股已较高点下跌约30%,短期仍可能再跌40-50%。

看涨他说的是几年内
《I F’d up‼️》
Financial Education发布 2026-10-28 · 5 段内容
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5 段内容

有足够的资金可以投入到 Nvidia、AMD,甚至 Intel,而且像 Google 这样的公司肯定也有能力赚取大量利润。

There is enough money to spend on Nvidia, AMD and even Intel, and certainly companies like Google are in a position to make a lot of profit as well.

而芯片的最大受益者之一最终也会是 Google,不是吗?但我真正想重点谈的是这里的这张 Google 图表。因为这张图是基于过去十二个月的数据。它确实能让你看清 Google 正在发生什么,不是吗?

自由现金流持续下降。如果你看季度数据,情况真的很糟糕,不是吗?现在已经变成负值了。但公司的经营现金流仍在持续累积。而这里就出现了像 Google 这样的股票目前存在的这种奇怪的矛盾,你会说:嗯,他们的经营现金流比以往任何时候都高。

它在持续上升,不是吗?但最终,他们把所有的钱都花在了房产、工厂和设备上。

And one of the biggest beneficiaries of chips will end up being Google too, won't it? But what I really wanted to focus on was this Google graph here. Because this chart is based on the past twelve months.

It really shows you what's going on with Google, doesn't it? Free cash flow continues to decline. If you look at the quarterly data, the situation is really bad, isn't it? It has become negative now.

But the company's operating cash flow continues to accumulate. And here's where this strange discrepancy occurs with a stock like Google right now, where you say: Well, their operating cash flow is higher than ever.

It's on a continuous rise, isn't it? But ultimately, they spend all they have on property, factories, and equipment.

现在,关键点在这里。你想知道 Google 股票是否值得买入。你想看一些东西。当然,我们可以回顾所有的增长率。我们实现了25%的营收增长,云计算业务翻了一番,盈利能力增长了两倍多。

我是说,这简直难以置信,不是吗?但你付出的是什么价格?按1000倍来说,我们有长期估值,对吧?Google 历史平均四年市盈率大约在23倍左右,对吧?现在,根据 Google 的盘后股价走势和明年的盈利预测,我会说该股目前的远期市盈率大约在19倍,而历史上大约在23倍,所以我可以这么说,这只股票甚至在财报发布之前就已经被显著低估了。

但现在业绩已经公布,股价明显暴跌,我会说它实际上被显著低估了,这代表着一个绝佳的买入机会。

Now, here's the important point. You want to know if Google stock is a buy. You want to look at something. Of course, we can review all the growth rates. We achieved 25% revenue growth, our cloud computing activity doubled, and profitability more than tripled.

I mean, it's unbelievable, isn't it? But what price are you paying? At 1000x, we have the evaluation over time, right? Google's average historical four-year price-to-earnings ratio is around 23, right?

Now, based on Google's after-hours stock movement and next year's earnings forecast, I would say the stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio is currently around 19, while historically it's around 23, so I can say that this stock was significantly undervalued even before the earnings release.

But now that the results are out and the stock has clearly collapsed, I would say that it is in fact significantly undervalued, and this represents a great buying opportunity.

就我个人而言,我清楚地看到股价下跌,我的第一个念头是:“天哪,我本该把剩下的股票卖掉。”但在看完业绩之后,我说:“实际上,这只股票是一个买入机会。”它不卖。尽管股价下跌,我很感激能成为这家公司的股东。

我看了所有板块的数据,毫无疑问,Google 是一只你想持有的股票。我把任何股价下跌都视为长期买入机会。这并不意味着它在短期内不会进一步下跌。你必须理解大型科技股的本质;这只股票已从最高点下跌了约30%。

它可能下跌40%或50%。没人知道,不是吗?对于这类股票。因此,这是需要牢记的事情。

Personally, I clearly saw the stock price decline and my first thought was: "Oh dear, I should have sold the rest of my shares." But after reviewing the results, I said: "In fact, this stock is a buying opportunity."

It is not for sale. I am grateful to be a shareholder in the company despite the stock's decline. I looked at the numbers across all sectors, and there's no doubt that Google is a stock you'd want to hold.

I view any drop in the stock as a long-term buying opportunity. This does not mean that it cannot fall further in the short term. You must understand the nature of big technology stocks; this stock has fallen by about 30% from its highest levels.

It could decrease by 40 or 50%. Nobody knows, does he? With this type of stock. Therefore, it is something to keep in mind.

我不是说 Google 会下跌70%,但应该认识到,即使是这些科技巨头,下跌30%、40%或50%也是可能的。这种事会发生。事实上,它一直在发生。甚至就在几年前,Google 也发生过。

因此,这是必须考虑的事情。不过,这只股票绝对是一个买入机会。

I'm not saying Google will drop by 70%, but it should be recognized that drops of 30, 40 or 50% are possible even for these giant tech companies. This happens. In fact, it happens all the time.

It even happened to Google just a few years ago. Therefore, this is something that must be taken into consideration. However, this stock is definitely a buying opportunity.

这个频道对 $GOOGL 的历次判断

Financial Education 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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