$GOOGL · Schwab Network · 2026-10-30
GOOGL在周三财报后跳空跌破7月低点、跌至317附近，288-317目前构成阻力；死亡交叉往往来得太晚，而底部常常正是在此时开始。RSI超卖与十字星暗示可能向均线反弹，但交易者或许会先观望缺口回补的速度；若缺口未回补，长期支撑可能在205附近。
逐段跳播
Google（Alphabet）股票昨天的这波走势，是它历史上表现最差的一天。我读了一些关于这件事的记录，里面说它导致了所谓的“死亡十字路口”。我很喜欢你们技术分析师在专业语言里用的这类术语。
请给我准确解释一下那到底是什么，以及它说明了我们本周在这只股票上看到的技术面损伤，还有我们在其他一些因发布报告而出现负面反应的股票上看到的情况。
I mean, that movement in Google's ( Alphabet) stock yesterday was the worst day in its history. I was reading some notes about it, where it was said that it led to what is called the "crossroads of death".
I like this type of terminology that you technicians use in your professional language. Explain to me exactly what that is, and what it tells you about the technical damage we saw in that stock this week, and what we are seeing in some other stocks that have reacted negatively to the reports they released.
但考虑到“死亡交叉”是什么，它基本上是指短期移动平均线向下穿过长期移动平均线。所以，如果我们看图表，确实可以看到，在周三发布财报之后，价格向下跳空，跌破了附近的支撑位，也就是去年7月的低点或317附近。
But considering what a "death cross" is, it basically means when the short-term moving average crosses downwards below the long-term moving average . So, if we look at the chart , we can really see that after the earnings announcement on Wednesday, the price gapped down below the nearby support level at the previous July lows or near 317.
我们看到的这整个缺口现在实际上位于288到317之间，它将构成新的阻力。通常当我们看到这些死亡交叉出现时——也就是那个缺口出现时我们所看到的——我们就会看到这种交叉。死亡交叉往往可能来得太晚，原因很简单：50日移动平均线大约相当于3个月，而200日移动平均线大约相当于9个月。
因此，往往在某一特定股票上，筑底过程实际上就已经开始了。我们看到，在对财报做出一些反应之后，价格在其年度低点附近找到了一个合理的长期支撑位，这个位置在3月的回调中曾被测试过。我们现在其实可以看到一些相似之处，因为我们已经看到相对强弱指数（RSI）和另一个动能指标确实达到了超卖水平，这正是现在发生的情况。
关于今天的价格走势，我们可以看到价格似乎正在形成一个“十字星”形态，这是一种停顿或犹豫状态，也是一种暗示可能反转的价格走势。所以，考虑到这种疲弱以及已经触及的一些长期水平，Sam，我真的不会感到意外。
如果交易者开始在这些接近疲弱的水平上买入，以博取向均线方向的潜在反弹，我不会感到意外；但我认为，正如我们在最后两张图表中看到的那样，交易者很可能在等待更多信息，看看这些缺口如果被回补会有多快，因为这会提供更多关于方向的信息。
而如果缺口没有被回补，我们可能就需要在这里拓宽对Google以及其他一些相关水平的看法，寻找长期支撑位，Google的长期支撑位可能就在205附近，Dan。
This whole gap that we have, which will act as new resistance, is actually between 288 and 317 now. Often when we see these death intersections occur, which we saw when that gap happened, we witness that intersection.
Often, death crosses can be too late, simply because a 50-day moving average is equivalent to about 3 months, and a 200-day moving average is equivalent to about 9 months. Therefore, often the bottom-forming process actually begins in a particular stock.
We have seen that after some reaction to earnings, the price has found a logical level of long-term support near its yearly lows, a level that was tested during the March correction.
We can actually see some similarities to that now, as we have seen the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and another momentum indicator really reach oversold levels, which is what is happening now.
Regarding today's price action, we can see that the price appears to be forming a "Doji" pattern, which is a pause or state of hesitation , and a type of price action that suggests a possible reversal.
So, given the weakness and some of the long-term levels that have been reached, I really wouldn't be surprised, Sam. I wouldn't be surprised if traders started buying at some of these near-weak levels for a potential bounce-off towards the average, but I think, just as we saw in the last two charts , traders are probably waiting for a little more information to see how quickly these gaps will be filled if they happen, as this will provide more information about the direction.
And if it's not filled, we may need to broaden our view here for Google and some of these other levels and look for long-term support levels , which may exist for Google at around level 205 , Dan.
这个频道对 $GOOGL 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 23 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。