$GOOGL · Joseph Carlson After Hours · 2026-11-02
尽管财报令人失望,Google 仍是很好的机会,公允价值 350,约有 20% 或略多的上行空间,但相比 Amazon,它在证明自身叙事上面临略多挑战:广告收入必须抵御 AI 智能体,这是未来一个较小的障碍。Google 增长更快,但 Amazon 基数更大。
逐段跳播
上周最可怕的部分是看着Google股价在盘后下跌12%。看着数万美元凭空蒸发。Google市值损失了约5000亿美元。5000亿美元正在消失。
The scariest part of last week was watching Google's stock drop 12% after trading hours. Watching tens of thousands of dollars evaporate into thin air. Google lost about $500 billion in market value . Half a trillion dollars is vanishing.
我们来看看下一家公司,也就是Google。Google的财报确实令人失望。我已经看过了,并试图解释一些背景,如果你想看的话可以看上一期节目。
Let's look at the next company here, which is Google. Google's earnings report was truly disappointing. I've reviewed it and tried to explain some of the context, so you can watch the last episode if you want to see that.
然而,当我们看Google时,我们发现它的目标价与Amazon完全相同。Google今天的目标价和公允价值是350。这与Amazon相似,但由于股价更高,Google的上涨空间更低。Google大约有20%或略多一点。
However, when we look at Google, we find that it has the exact same target price as Amazon. Google's target price and fair value today is 350. This is similar to Amazon, but because the stock price is higher, Google's upside potential is lower. Google has about 20 percent or slightly more.
如果你试图在买Google还是Amazon之类的东西之间做选择,我认为两者都是很好的机会。很难说哪个会胜出,但我目前认为,与Amazon相比,Google在证明其故事方面面临略多的挑战。
Google需要证明其广告收入能够抵御所有这些AI代理。我认为这将在未来对这个故事构成一个小障碍。
If you're trying to choose between buying something like Google or Amazon , I think both are great opportunities. It's difficult to say which will prevail, but I currently think Google faces slightly more challenges in proving its story compared to Amazon .
Google needs to prove that its advertising revenue can withstand all these AI agents. I think this will pose a minor obstacle to the story in the future.
当我观察像 Amazon 和 Google 这样的公司时,我发现它们增长得非常快。Google 显然增长得更快,但 Amazon 的基数要大得多。
When I look at companies like Amazon and Google, I find that they are growing very rapidly. Google is clearly growing faster, but Amazon is operating from a much larger base.
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