$HCA · Schwab Network · 2026-11-05
长期看涨HCA:该股处于上升趋势,并在6月至7月形成双底,受婴儿潮一代老龄化及Medicare/Medicaid潜在资金支持。需突破511–512阻力位才能重新测试接近556的旧高点;支撑位在492和469附近,跌破20日移动均线则不利。RSI高于70符合上升趋势;低于70则更偏空。
逐段跳播
因此,你今天选择了HCA Healthcare作为首选。它实际上保持着积极势头。虽然涨幅不超过0.1%,但仍处于上涨区间,这与今天的市场趋势相悖。
Therefore, you have chosen HCA Healthcare as your first choice today. They are actually maintaining positive momentum. Although it does not exceed one-tenth of a percent, they are still in the positive range , which contradicts the market trend today.
看看HCA,这是我今天想谈的公司之一,我们看到了一个双底,从我的图表来看,这发生在6月到7月之间。但如果你把视野拉远,你会发现它处于长期上升趋势中。
Looking at HCA, one of the companies I wanted to talk about today, we saw a double bottom, and looking at my charts, that happened between June and July. But if you zoom out, you'll find that it's in a long-term upward trend.
我知道Rick会看图表,但我喜欢它的一点是,它是美国最大的医院运营商之一。想想医院的工作性质,急诊室、外科手术、住院护理,以及让这一切成为可能的设施。
I know Rick will look at the charts, but what I like about it is that it's one of the largest hospital operators in the United States . Think about the nature of the work of hospitals, emergency rooms, surgical operations, inpatient care, and the facilities that make all of that possible.
医疗保健行业正在经历一场大繁荣。也许人们普遍认为,随着民主党控制众议院和参议院,更多资金将投入医疗保健,以及Medicare和Medicaid项目。然后是婴儿潮一代老龄化的自然趋势。
他们出生的人数比历史上任何时期都多。因此,医疗保健已成为生活中不可或缺的一部分。随着我们变老,这将导致越来越多的资金投入医疗保健系统。所以,我认为这就是我对这个领域感兴趣的原因,我也认为这就是它开始上升趋势的原因。
The healthcare sector is experiencing a major boom. There is perhaps a widespread belief that with the Democrats controlling the House and Senate, more money will be poured into healthcare, and Medicare and Medicaid programs as well.
Then there is the natural trend of the baby boomer generation getting older. More of them have been born than at any other time in history. Thus, healthcare has become an integral part of life.
As we get older, this will lead to more and more money being poured into the healthcare system. So, I think that's why I'm interested in this field , and I think it's also why it started its upward trend.
好,Rick。我们来看看HCA。这是一张非常有趣的图表;它在今年上半年表现非常好。然后我们在这里看到了一次大幅抛售,但现在情况似乎在恢复。
Okay, Rick. Let's take a look at HCA here. I mean, it's a very interesting graph; it did really well during the first part of the year. Then we saw a big sell-off here, but things seem to be recovering now.
它正在回升,但我们在一个重要的点位停了下来,至少对我来说是这样。我们这里看到的是,在接近555附近形成双峰后回调期间的高点所留下的旧峰值。但我们达到的那个峰值,也就是我们第二条红线大约在511或512的水平,正是我们今天所在的位置。
到目前为止,我们未能令人信服地突破该水平上方。这也是我们昨天的收盘水平。这是相当奇怪的一天,显而易见。我们可以看到这种情况正在巩固,并继续升破该水平。但就目前而言,如果多头想再次尝试触及556附近的那些旧高点,这仍是一个需要克服的障碍。
He is recovering, but we have stopped at a significant point, at least for me. What we have here is that old peak from a high point during our pullback after we reached these double peaks near 555 or so.
But that peak we reached, which is our second red line at approximately the 511 or 512 level, is where we are today. We have so far failed to achieve a convincing breakthrough above that level.
This is the level at which we closed yesterday as well. It's a rather strange day , as is evident. We can see this situation becoming entrenched and continuing to rise above this level.
But for now, this is still an obstacle that the bulls need to overcome if they want to try again to reach those old highs near 556.
我们这里有一个470到492之间的缺口水平,以及另一个显著低点,是我们在上次财报后于440附近建立的。今天的价格走势似乎使我们稳定在在这里建立的通道形态上方。因此,这现在作为一个潜在支撑区凸显出来,它也是我们通道的上限。
We have a gap level here between 470 and 492, and another notable low point that we established after the last earnings report near 440. Today's price action seems to be keeping us stable above the channel shape that we established here.
So this now stands out as a potential support zone , and it is also the upper limit of our channel.
然后考虑移动平均线,我们的深蓝色5日指数移动平均线目前大约在492。它正在接近昨天的低点,也开始接近这里的趋势线边界。尽管今天出现下跌,相对强弱指数(RSI)仍处于超买区域。在上升趋势的市场中,70水平通常表明还有更多上涨动能。
如果这个动量指标跌破70水平,那将是更偏空的信号。
When we then consider moving averages , our 5-day exponential moving average in dark blue is currently around 492 . It is approaching yesterday's lows , and is also starting to approach the trend line limits here .
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in overbought territory despite the declines we are seeing today. The 70 level usually indicates more strength to come in a market that is trending upwards.
It would be a more bearish signal if we fell below the 70 level on this momentum indicator.
然后,我们的成交量分布研究显示,这里和这里各有一个节点。也就是说,大约在530到540和495到505之间。我们有几个10点的区间,在这些区间里我们看到了非常密集的交易活动。但最密集的区域位于这里,大约在469附近。
那是我们的控制点。因此,如果我们再次开始下跌,这将是一个需要关注的关键支撑区。
Then, our size profile study shows that we have a node here and here . That is, around 530 to 540 and 495 to 505. We have a few 10-point ranges here where we have seen very heavy trading activity.
But the most densely populated area of all is located here, near approximately 469. That is our point of control. Therefore, this will be a key support area to watch if we start to fall again.
首先,趋势是你的朋友,而这是标普500指数中为数不多的上升趋势之一。所以我对长期持乐观态度,但问题是。尽管趋势是你的朋友,作为期权交易者和投资者,你应该始终考虑如何最小化风险。因此,我对长期持乐观态度。
First and foremost, the trend is your friend, and this is one of the few upward trends in the S&P 500 index. So I'm optimistic in the long run, but here's the thing. Although the trend is your friend, as an options trader and investor, you should always think about how to minimize risk. Therefore, I am optimistic in the long term.
我正在考虑2027年6月17日执行价为500的期权。我想持有它。你可以以大约67的价格买到;它在盘前交易中就是这个价格。既然所有东西都略有下跌,你现在也许能买到稍微便宜一点。然后我会通过卖出580价外的期权来对冲。
你得想,如果你以500买入,你的盈亏平衡点是567。如果我们再进一步卖出580的期权,我们可以赚32美元。所以,我们的净成本是35美元。因此,整体盈亏平衡点是535。如果我们涨到580,我们显然会盈利,而且我们仍会持有那部分外在价值或时间价值。
I am looking at an execution price of 500 on June 17, 2027. I want to own that. You can get it for around 67; it was trading at that price before the market opened. You might be able to get it for a little cheaper now that everything has dropped slightly.
Then I will hedge myself by selling an option outside the price range at 580. You have to think that if you buy at 500, your breakeven point is 567. If we go a little further and sell the 580 option, we can make $32.
So, our net cost is $35. Therefore, the overall breakeven point is 535. If we rise to 580, we will obviously make a profit, and we will still hold that external or time value.
我在这里看图表时想关注的另一件事是,我不想看到价格回落并跌破20日移动平均线。我们刚刚看到移动平均线上穿200水平,然后它又升到20和10水平之上。如果股票回调,它可能会从那里反弹,但我不想看到它跌破那个水平。
The other thing I want to pay attention to in this chart while I'm looking here is that I don't want to see the price go back down and break below the 20-day moving average. We just saw the moving average cross above the 200 level, and then it rose above the 20 and 10 levels.
If the stock pulls back, it could bounce back from there , but I don't want to see it break that level.
好。但看看今天,该股已经失去了正收益。我们下跌了约0.25%,但没有我们看到许多其他下跌股票那么多。
Good. But looking at today, the stock has lost its positive gains. We are down by about a quarter of a percent, but not as much as we see in many other names that are declining.