HOOD 处于最后机会式的即时看涨形态，理想情况下需周四低点守住；关键支撑在 92。若跌破 92，下一个真正的支撑在 48，但 48 不是目标位。他本周已加仓，即便跌破也愿意买入，因为一旦奏效，赔率很高。
逐段跳播
Pump 挺有意思的。我认为，这个代币在 Twitter 圈和 DeFi 圈里一直让动物精神被激发起来，我自己当然也参与其中，但我不太会去追那种 FOMO。现在它已经走完了五浪，对我来说终于有意思了。
所以这一浪二的最终支撑位是 001800 Z18。那是什么？1.18 美分是支撑位。看起来我们正在完成二浪的 A，或者一个更大 A 浪的 A。修正就是这样运行的。所以，走着瞧吧。
在它跌到 O34 之前，我不太想买，最好是在我看到一个做多形态之前都不买，不过当它进入那个区域时，我可能会建一点现货仓位，不加杠杆。所以，这对我来说就是买入区。这是它第一次让我觉得有意思。
再说一次，我不知道它会不会奏效。这些 DeFi 币、meme 币，随便你怎么叫，这些形态，艾略特波浪在它们身上失效得更频繁。它们更常以三浪走势见顶。所以我会说这是低概率，但当它们奏效时，收益是超大的，就像我说的，差不多是我 2025 年的税。
我在 meme 币上的胜率是 10% 或 11% 左右，但它贡献了我 2025 年的大部分回报，这有点疯狂。所以你不必拥有高胜率。你只需要让其中几个奏效，它们就疯狂了。你只是不想在其中一个上过度加码。
你至少得有，对我来说，我得有一系列这样的币，并尽可能低地在支撑位买入，这样它们就不会在进场途中把我干掉，因为大多数可能都会归零。所以这是一个我在观察的形态。它还需要在未来几个月里发展，我才会感兴趣。但它现在确实引起了我的兴趣。
Uh pump is interesting. I think pump is a uh you know I think that this has been you know kind of the animal spirits have been excited about this token out there in the Twitter space and the DeFi space and all that which I'm certainly involved in but don't tend to participate in all the all the all the FOMO.
It's finally interesting to me now that it has completed five waves. So um so ultimate support for this wave two is 001800 Z18. So what is that 1.18 of a cent uh is support. Um, it looks like we're finishing either A of two or A of a larger A.
Um, that's the way corrections work. So, we'll see. Um, I don't really want to buy it until it gets down into O34 and preferably not until I see a long setup, although I might take on a little bit of spots, no leverage um, as it gets into that zone.
So, this is this is the buy zone to me. It's for the first time interesting. Again, I don't know if it's going to work. These these mean these DeFi coins, meme coins, whatever you want to call them, uh, setups.
Elliot wave breaks in them more often. They more often top in three-wave moves. So, I would just call it low probability, but when they work, they the gains are outsized, like I said, about my 2025 taxes.
Uh, my win rate in meme coins was 10% or 11% or something like that, but it provided most of my return 2025, which is kind of insane. So, um, so you don't have to have a high win rate.
You just need to get a couple to work and they are insane. Uh you just don't want to over over uh over push into one of them to on one of them. You got to have a kind of a at least for me you got I got to have a a range of them and buy them as low and possible into the support level as possible so that they don't don't kill me on the way in as most of them will probably go to dust.
So this is a setup I'm watching. It's going to have to develop over the next few months before I'm interested in it. But just uh has my interest now.
Hood 简单说一下，这是立即看涨的最后机会，现在理想情况下周四低点能守住。这没给它多少空间，这个形态的关键支撑在 92。如果 92 破了，那么我下一个真正的支撑在下面 48。
那不是目标位。我只是说那是下一个支撑。它总是可能找到区间低点。有可能它会在中间某个位置找到支撑，但除了区间低点和下面这个水平，我在那里看不到任何可靠的东西，不过有时候市场就是会找到一些位置来筑底。
所以在这个形态里，这周又加仓了，再说一次，我喜欢在多头最后挣扎的位置买入。所以即使它跌破，我也能安心买入。我就是这么操作的。但因为如果它奏效，偏度真的很高，不过情况就是这样。再说一次，支撑是 92。
Um hood real quick uh is the last call for immediate bullishness with a now ideally the Thursday low holds. doesn't give it much room to key support for this setup at 92. If 92 goes, then the next real support I have is down here at 48.
That's not a target. I'm just saying that's the next support. It can always find maybe the range low. Um it's possible that it finds something in here, but um I don't see anything reliable in there other than the range low and this level down here, but sometimes markets just find levels to to um put a base in.
So in this setup added this week again it's um again I like buying you know at the sort of the last stitch effort for bulls. So you know I'm comfortable buying even if it breaks.
That's just the way I operate. But um because the skew is really high if it works but that's where we're at. Again support is 92.
这个频道对 $HOOD 的历次判断
ElliottWaveTrader 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。