HPE在技术面呈看涨态势,具备上行动能,并受数据中心需求的基本面支撑,当前价位上方仍有增长空间。
逐段跳播
好,我们来谈谈 HPE,它的股价在过去一个月里出现了显著上涨,涨幅超过 20%。基础设施板块目前有大量动能支撑着它,Tim。我还注意到他们最近发布了大量电视广告;过去一周我至少看到了六条。
这是一个显著的增长。那么,你现在怎么看 Hewlett-Packard Enterprise?
Okay, let's talk about HPE, whose shares have seen a remarkable rise over the past month, by more than 20%. There is a lot of momentum in the infrastructure sector that is currently supporting it, Tim.
I've also noticed that they've been releasing a large number of television advertisements lately; I've seen at least six in the past week. This is a significant increase. So, how do you view Hewlett-Packard Enterprise now?
这个想法很简单。我在这里没有太多要说的。我的意思是,你说到点子上了。看看数据中心的建设。我知道我们看到了一些关于 OpenAI 收入的消息,但正如我所说,这些人花钱大手大脚。无论他们是否设法加快首次公开募股并按时完成,每个人都在建设基础设施。
每个人都在谈论数据中心,但里面实际发生的是什么?是 Dell,是 Intel,是 HPE,Hewlett-Packard。我喜欢它的一点是拥有这么多经典美国名字的想法。我的意思是,无论是 Intel 还是 HP,那些都是我的年轻人知道的名字——创新者、建设者等等。
它们迷失了一段时间,现在它们回来了。这些是人们知道的名字。这听起来可能有点老套,但人们会说:“HP 做得很好,我记得 HP。它已经存在很久了。”所以,他们被它的股票吸引,而简单的想法是,这些巨大的数据中心里一定装满了东西。HP 制造的就是装进去的东西。
Well, the idea is simple. I don't have much to say here. I mean, you hit the nail on the head . Look at the construction of data centers. I know we've seen some news about OpenAI's revenue, but as I said, these people spend money lavishly.
Whether or not they manage to expedite their initial public offering and complete it on time, everyone is building infrastructure. Everyone is talking about data centers, but what actually happens inside them?
It's Dell, it's Intel, it's HPE, Hewlett-Packard. What I like about it is the idea of having so many of these classic American names . I mean, whether it was Intel or HP, those were the names my young people knew—the innovators, the builders, etc. They were lost for a while , and now they have returned.
These are names that people know. This may sound a bit cliché, but people say, "HP is doing great , and I remember HP. It's been around for a long time." So, they are drawn to its stocks, and the simple idea is that these huge data centers must be full of something. HP makes what goes into it.
但是 KG,在我们看 HPE 的技术分析时,我的意思是,就动能和上行走势而言,我们确实有一张比 Atlassian 更清晰的图表,但让我们向你解释你在技术分析中看到的东西,以及哪些水平引起了你的注意。
But KG , while we look at the technical analysis of HPE, I mean, we certainly have a clearer chart in terms of its momentum and upward movement compared to Atlassian, but let us explain to you what you see in the technical analysis and what levels have caught your attention.
是的,这可能是我们今天要讨论的三张股票图表中形态最好的一个。这其实非常简单。他讲的是一个基本面很简单的逻辑。技术面上也很简单。我们有一个为期6个月的底部形态,期间价格在一个相当强的通道内运行,随后开始向上突破,创出更高的高点和更高的低点。
即使在今年6月出现小幅回落,我们看到一次回调,随后价格再度企稳,形成杯柄形态。这简单来说就是:先回调,然后盘整,再回测高点,再盘整,然后突破。而这正是我们看到的。突破20日和50日移动均线后,这些均线成为支撑区,价格在此创出更高的低点和更高的高点,目前我们正处在上升趋势线上。
即使出现短期回调至68美元或69美元附近,趋势仍然是积极的,仍然看涨。相对强弱指数(RSI)也在创出更高的低点,这是一个积极信号。MACD指标目前似乎并未处于收缩阶段。该股似乎仍处于有利位置。
我们快速看一下周线图,因为这对长线交易者非常重要。20周移动均线一直是强支撑区,今年8月有大量买家入场。尽管我们在相对强弱指数上看到看跌背离,但该背离现已被正式打破。该股似乎正在向上趋势运行。
这里的成交量相当低,但这也情有可原,因为在过去八个月发生突破之前的两三年里,我们一直在相对有限的区间内交易。
Yes, this is probably the best setup of all three stock charts we will be talking about today. This is actually very simple. He is talking about a fundamentally simple premise.
This is also technically simple. We have a 6-month base formation where we traded in a fairly strong channel here, and then we started to see an upward breakout, recording higher highs and lows.
Even when we saw a slight dip in June of this year, we saw a pullback, and then the price stabilized again, forming a cup and handle pattern. This simply means that we have a pullback, then consolidation, then a retest of the peaks, then another consolidation, then a breakout.
And that is exactly what we see. The breakout above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages acted as a support zone, where it made higher lows and highs, and we are now on the upward trend line.
Even if we see a short- term pullback to around $68 or $69, the trend is still positive, and still bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also recording higher lows, which is a positive indicator .
The MACD indicator does not appear to be in a contraction phase at this stage. The stock appears to still be in a good position. Let's take a quick look at the weekly chart, as it is very important for long-term traders.
The 20-week moving average has been a strong support zone, with a large number of buyers entering in August of this year. Although we saw a bearish divergence on the Relative Strength Index, it has now been officially broken.
The stock appears to be trending upwards. Trading volume is rather low here, but that's also understandable because we had been trading within a relatively limited range for the past two or three years prior to the breakout that occurred during the past eight months.
Tim,我知道我们在这里不和你做具体交易,但HPE股票上有没有你特别关注的价位,可能会促使你采取行动?
Tim, I know we're not doing specific trades with you here, but are there any levels you're specifically watching on HPE stock that might prompt you to take action ?
是的,当然。好,让我快速看一下上升图表。我喜欢KG的分析,但如你所知,我们现在正向上反弹至72附近。看看几个月前的前一个突破阻力位,然后是几周前大约65的位置。所以,我倾向于把65这个价位作为起点或止损点。
我总是先确定风险水平。如你所知,市场上有句常话:犯错没关系,但不要向错误妥协。始终选择一个你已建立假设的价位,结合基本面和技术面分析,但市场表明你错了。不要与市场对抗。因此,我喜欢把65作为上行与下行的分界线。
以该股当前的走势形态,我们可能会看到一些回调,也许会从70这一重要支撑位反弹,70是守住该股的重要价位。但到目前为止,该股的交易区间并不宽。例如,如果你在70-72区间买入该股,你承担的风险位是65。
正如KG提到的,该股趋势向上,这也是移动均线所显示的。我认为该股有上涨空间,能为你承担的风险带来可观的回报,同时价格有可能跌至65附近。
Yes, of course. Okay, let me quickly review the upward chart. I like KG's analysis, but as you know, we're bouncing upwards towards the 72 level around now. Look at the previous breakout resistance level a few months ago, and then a few weeks ago, around 65.
So, I prefer to use the 65 level as a starting or stopping point. I always make sure to determine the level of risk first. As you know, there is a common saying in the market: It's okay to make a mistake, but don't give in to it.
Always choose a level where you feel you have built a hypothesis, combining fundamental and technical analysis, but the market is indicating that you are wrong. Don't fight the market.
Therefore, I like the 65 level to be the dividing line between upward and downward movement. With the stock's current trading pattern , we might expect some pullbacks, and perhaps a bounce off the 70 level, which is an important level to hold the stock.
But so far, the stock does not have a wide trading range . For example, if you buy a stock in the 70-72 range, you risk a level of 65. As KG mentioned, the stock's trend is upward, and this is what the moving averages indicate.
I think this stock has room to grow to give you a rewarding return for the risk, with the potential for the price to drop to around 65.
好。那么,我们将关注65这一价位。目前我们在7183,上涨1%。
Okay. So, we will be watching the 65 level. Currently, we are at 7183, up 1 %.
观察点
这个频道对 $HPE 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。