$INTC · Schwab Network · 2026-10-30
说话者认为,Intel 在一个月内下跌近 50% 后是买入机会,并预计至少未来两年会有更好的业绩。代工竞争力决定 2025 年及以后的走向:若赢得新的代工客户,将证明 18A 和 14A 的投入是值得的,不过客户端计算业务萎缩 5% 至 81 亿美元,且前景不明朗。
逐段跳播
毫无疑问,对英特尔来说,这里存在一个好坏参半的局面。当然,在数据中心方面,也就是数据中心与人工智能部门,营收同比增长78%,达到创纪录的73亿美元。
There is no doubt that there is a good news and bad news scenario here for Intel. Certainly, on the data center (DC) side, also known as the Data Center and Artificial Intelligence unit , revenues rose 78% year-over-year to a record high of $7.3 billion.
但另一方面,正如我们在客户端计算与物理人工智能集团看到的那样,它同比萎缩了5%,降至81亿美元。所以,我们接下来期待看到的是,英特尔究竟能如何应对PC端持续存在的问题。
But, on the other hand, as we saw in the client computing and physical artificial intelligence group , it shrank by 5% year-on-year to $8.1 billion. So, what we're looking forward to seeing going forward is how Intel can actually respond to the ongoing issues on the PC side.
当然,还有半导体代工业务,其营收在年度基础上正在改善。然而,这对英特尔来说仍是一笔巨大的投资,而2025年及以后的决定性因素将是,英特尔能否改善其代工业务,以证明它能够更有效地与半导体同行竞争。
And also, of course, there is the semiconductor foundry side, which is improving in terms of revenue on an annual basis. However, this is still a huge investment on Intel’s part, and the deciding factor in 2025 and beyond will be how Intel can improve its foundry business to prove it can compete more effectively with its semiconductor peers.
我不知道这在多大程度上会直接影响到英特尔。英特尔面临着与其他所有同时向消费者和数据中心销售产品的芯片行业公司一样的内部挣扎,对吧?
I don't know to what extent this actually directly affects Intel. Intel has the same internal struggle that every other company in the chip industry that sells its products to both consumers and data centers has, right?
但英特尔在消费计算领域仍然是占据主导地位的市场领导者,不是吗?我认为这是英特尔需要在内部决定的事情:他们下一代代工技术中有多少投向用于数据中心的Xeon处理器,又有多少投向面向消费者的Core处理器?
But Intel is still the dominant player and market leader in consumer computing, isn't it? This is something I believe Intel needs to determine internally; How much of their next-generation foundry technology are they directing towards Xeon processors for data centers versus Core processors for consumers?
一些分析师现在说:“看,基于你认为英特尔仍然是英特尔的观点,也许现在正是趁价格低的时候买入的时机。”
some analysts are now saying: "Look, based on your view that Intel is still Intel, maybe now is the time to buy when the price is low ."
当你看到一只股票在一个月内下跌近50%时,是的,不,我认为这绝对是一个机会。这些是一家准备充分的英特尔公司的基本面,在我看来,至少在未来两年内将证明会带来更好的业绩。
When you see a stock drop by almost 50% in one month, Yes, no, I think it's definitely an opportunity. These are the fundamentals of a well-prepared Intel company, which, in my opinion, will prove to be better results over the next two years at least.
很明显,英特尔在这一领域正在取得成功,这也说明了为什么英特尔是一项如此强劲的投资。这还伴随着一个事实:我们预计英特尔将开始为其制造(代工)业务吸引新客户。这将证明他们在18A和14A技术上所做的所有投资都将获得回报。
It is clear that Intel is succeeding in this area, and this indicates why Intel is such a strong investment . This is also coupled with the fact that we expect Intel to start attracting new customers for its manufacturing (foundry) business.
This will prove that all the investments they are making in 18A and 14A technologies will pay off.
如果你今天押注英特尔,你押注的是他们的代工业务将成为美国境内芯片生产的关键支柱,对吧?我认为很难说这一定会成为现实。
if you were to bet on Intel today, you'd bet that their foundry business would be a key pillar of chip production within the United States, right? I think it's hard to argue that this will be the case.
英特尔将成为这一领域的主导者。所以我认为,如果你今天押注英特尔,你押注的是代工业务,但没有理由他们不能同时作为计算领域的领导者在该领域蓬勃发展。
Intel will be the dominant player in this field . So I think if you're betting on Intel today, you're betting on foundries, but there's no reason why they can't also thrive in that area as a leader in computing at the same time.
我的主张是,如果你在本周之前押注英特尔,你本质上是在押注他们能维持其在计算领域所能取得的成就,并在力所能及的地方增长,但代工业务才是大引擎,而这一点今天并没有改变。所以,对我来说,这似乎并不完全合乎逻辑。
my assertion was that if you were betting on Intel before this week, you were essentially betting on them maintaining what they could achieve in computing, and growing where they could, but the foundries were the big engine and that hasn't changed today. So, to me, it doesn't seem entirely logical.
公司超出了华尔街的预期。营收超出了预期,但前景仍然有点短期,有点模糊。惠普、戴尔和英特尔的图表非常相似;它们一直上涨到9月,然后开始小幅下跌。
the company has exceeded Wall Street's expectations. Revenues exceeded expectations, but the outlook is still a bit short-term , you know, it's a bit vague. The charts of Hewlett-Packard, Dell, and Intel are very similar ; they rose until September and then started to decline slightly.
观察点
这个频道对 $INTC 的历次判断
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