$JNJ · Schwab Network · 2026-10-29
JNJ 是买入机会，也是长期核心持仓：财报后动能与医疗保健板块的防御性强势支撑进一步上行，周线趋势自2025年6月以来向上；突破275、继而突破278高点后，将打开290阻力位，唯一需警惕的是周线RSI出现看跌背离。
逐段跳播
我们的第二选择是 Johnson & Johnson。尽管本季度录得重大亏损，其利润仍超出预期，并且仍在上涨。它们在今天的交易时段上涨。自公布财报以来它们一直在上涨。涨幅不算巨大，但它们是上涨的。
Dan，你现在如何看待 Johnson & Johnson？
Our second choice is Johnson & Johnson. Their profits have exceeded expectations despite incurring significant losses during the quarter, and they are still rising. They rose in today's session .
They have been rising since announcing their earnings. Not a huge increase, but they are positive. How do you view Johnson & Johnson now, Dan?
是的，正如我之前提到的，今天这些商业示例明显呈现出防御性倾向，集中在被认为具有一定防御性的板块，甚至包括科技板块的 Apple。正如你指出的，Kevin，存在一种反 AI 交易。
但同时，我认为，当你观察 Johnson & Johnson 时，我们发现医疗保健板块仍显示出强势，而且正如我也指出的，它在财报公布后出现了积极反应，我认为基于技术分析，动能仍在，有进一步上行空间。
所以，再次强调，我认为这是一家防御性公司，仍有进一步增长的潜力。
Yes, as I mentioned earlier, there is a clear trend towards the defensive nature of these business examples today in sectors that are considered somewhat defensive , even Apple in the technology sector.
As you pointed out, Kevin, there is a kind of anti- AI trading. But at the same time, I think that when you look at Johnson & Johnson, we find that the healthcare sector is still showing strength, and as I also pointed out, it has seen a positive reaction after the earnings announcement, and I think the momentum is there for further upside based on technical analysis.
So, once again, I think it’s a defense company that still has the potential for further growth.
好，Katie，我们来看看 Johnson & Johnson 的图表。你看到了什么？我的意思是，该公司本月走势不错。其股价先下跌，随后反弹。那么，总体来看，当你观察过去一年以及周线图时，你在趋势方面注意到了什么？
Okay, Katie, let's take a look at the Johnson & Johnson chart. What do you see ? I mean, the company has seen good movement this month. Its shares fell, but then rebounded. Well, overall, when you look at the past year, as well as the weekly charts, what do you notice in terms of trends?
是的，我认为最好转到周线图。它向我们展示了 Johnson & Johnson 的情况，不仅是当前状况，还有我们对其未来路径的预期。我们看到过去两年有一段盘整期，大约从 2023 年 11 月开始，我们观察到在 140 水平作为支撑区和 165 水平作为阻力区之间盘整，利用 200 周移动均线作为关键阻力区。
然而，我们在 2025 年 6 月开始看到一些买家强力介入，从这里开始我们录得更高的高点和低点。目前，我们仍看到明显的上升趋势。有一个上升通道，而且我们已经到达一个支撑区。那大约是在两周前，Marley，当时你谈到了那次下滑。
股价跌至约 250 美元或 245 美元，但随着锤子线出现，买家进入市场，我们看到这次下跌在上周持续。我们看到这次下跌本周仍在持续。突破 275 美元水平将至关重要，如果我们能做到，并且这个上行区间延伸，290 美元水平将是下一个主要阻力区。
目前，关于 Johnson & Johnson，我们唯一看到的是相对强弱指数（RSI）的看跌背离。因此，我们看到相对强弱指数的高点走低，尽管该股正录得相对更高的高点。我们的 MACD 指标处于上行位置，试图让 12 日指数移动均线上穿 26 日指数移动均线，后者也处于上行位置。
再次说明，这是周线图。周线图显示出强劲的积极趋势。该股曾触及一个先前的支撑区。现在，预计将触及一个阻力区，回到 Johnson & Johnson 股票约 290 水平。
Yes, I think it's better to move on to the weekly chart. It shows us the situation of Johnson & Johnson, not only its current situation, but also our expectations for its future path.
We have seen a period of consolidation over the past two years, starting from approximately November 2023, where we have observed consolidation between the 140 level as a support zone and the 165 level as a resistance zone, taking advantage of the 200-week moving average as a key resistance zone.
However, we began to see some buyers step in strongly in June 2025, and from here we began to record higher highs and lows. Right now, we are still seeing a clear upward trend .
There is an upward channel, and we have already reached a support zone. That was about two weeks ago, Marley, when you talked about that downward slide. The stock price reached around $250 or $245, but buyers entered the market as the hammer candle appeared, and we saw this decline continue last week.
We are still seeing this decline continue this week. Breaking through the $275 level will be critical, and if we can do that, and this upward range extends, the $290 level will be the next major resistance area .
Right now, the only thing we're seeing regarding Johnson & Johnson is a bearish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Therefore, we are seeing lower peaks on the Relative Strength Index even though the stock is recording relatively higher peaks.
Our MACD indicator is in an upward position, attempting to cross over the 12-day exponential moving average above the 26-day exponential moving average, which is also in an upward position.
Again, this is the weekly chart. The weekly chart shows a strong positive trend. The stock reached a previous support zone . Now, it is expected to reach a resistance zone, returning to approximately the 290 level for Johnson & Johnson stock.
好，Dan。Kevin KG 认为这只防御性股票有更多上行潜力。请用一个示例向我们解释你的交易。
Okay, Dan. Kevin KG sees more upside potential in this defensively oriented stock. Explain your deal to us with an example.
是的，我想我指的是我们在9月初看到的近期高点，大约在278这一水平，今天早盘我们似乎小幅上涨，随后在该水平企稳。但正如Kevin所指出的，我认为突破275、并显著突破278，无疑将表明存在进一步上行的可能，因为这突破了过去两个月形成的区间。
所以，日内交易的例子就是参与这波上涨，而我看这只股票时，把它视为长期投资，甚至视为投资组合的核心部分。因此，这是一个买入机会。简单说，就是买入这只股票，然后卖出1月到期、行权价300美元的看涨期权，价格约4.55美元。
如果价格突破，这能带来约10%的利润空间。它还能把平仓可能产生的税务影响推迟到明年1月。即使到1月期权到期时我们没能达到300美元或更高，你仍然能够参与。我相信这只股票适合长期投资，无论是未来一年还是更长远。
Yes, and I think I referred to the recent highs we saw in early September, which were around the 278 level, and it appears we rose a little this morning before settling at that level.
But , as Kevin pointed out, I think a break above 275, and a significant break above 278, would certainly indicate the possibility of further upside, as it breaks out of the range that has formed over the past two months.
So, the example of day trading is participating in the rise, and when I look at this stock, I see it as a long-term investment , and even as a core part of the portfolio. Therefore, it is a buying opportunity.
Simply put, buy the stock and then sell the January call option at $300 for about $4.55. This provides a profit margin of approximately 10% in the event of a price breakout. It also postpones the potential tax implications of closing the deal until January of next year.
Even if we don't reach $300 or higher by the time the deal expires in January, you will still be able to participate. I believe this stock is suitable for long-term investment, whether in the coming year or in the future .
嗯，正如我们现在看到的，股价是27533。今天早些时候我们曾攀升至278区间，目前价格仍比今年高点低约10美元，但盘中上涨了1.5%。所以，我们又一次逆着大盘趋势走，
Well, as we can see now, the stock price is 27533. We climbed to the 278 range earlier today, and the price is still about $10 below its highs this year, but we're up 1.5% during the session.
So, once again, we're going against the general market trend,
这个频道对 $JNJ 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。