KGC的主要42根K线周期已从阻力峰值转跌;预计跌势将延续至冬季后期(12月至1月)的周期中段低点,此后的反弹尝试可能失败,最低价预计要到2027年5月才会出现。
逐段跳播
我们现在来看昨天 Discord 频道里的两只股票。Kinross Gold 是第一只。如你所见,我们有一个42根K线的大主周期,分为不同的子周期。上一个周期非常平坦,在左侧这里见顶,然后到达周期中段底部,并试图再次上涨,但未能突破那个高点,回落至周期底部支撑位。
现在,在这个周期中,我们触及了阻力区的高点,随后又回落下来。因此,我们预计这波下跌将持续到冬季晚些时候、即12月至1月期间触及周期中段低点,然后再次尝试上涨。
We will now take a look at two shares from yesterday's Discord channel . Kinross Gold stock is the first. As you can see, we have a large main cycle of 42 candles divided into distinct sub-cycles.
The previous cycle was very flat, peaking here on the left side, then reaching the mid-cycle bottom, and tried to rise again , but it could not surpass that peak, and fell back to the cycle bottom support level.
Now, in this cycle, we reached the peak of the resistance zone, and then we descended back down . Therefore, we expect this decline to continue until we reach the mid- cycle low in late winter, during the period from December to January, and then attempt to rise again.
根据这些周期的形态,这次尝试很可能会失败,随后我们将在春季看到价格进一步下跌。价格要到2027年5月才会触及最低点。
Based on the patterns of these cycles, this attempt is likely to fail, and we will then see a further decline in prices during the spring. The price will not reach its lowest point until May 2027.
在日线图上,我们观察到一个正向周期,一次良好的上涨,涨到去年5月上一个周期的高点,然后大幅下跌到这里。这是一个负向周期。接着我们看到一次小幅反弹,然后又下跌,现在又出现新一轮反弹。
所以,如果这波上涨持续下去,我们就得把这些周期稍微拉长一点,以计入这次较晚的下跌,也许延长一两根K线。注意,最近两个周期里这一趋势已经发生了变化。因此,我们可能需要改变方向,并略微拉长周期。
如果情况并非如此,如果价格失败并回到这里,那么日线周期就有一个时间窗口,在10月28日到11月5日之间,而财报正好在这段时间公布。如你所见,这里这条细的PO线表明,可能很快就会浮现出下行动能延续的信号。
On the daily chart, we observe a positive cycle, a good upward move to the peak of the previous cycle last May, and then a sharp drop to here. This was a negative cycle. Then we saw a slight rebound, then another drop , and now we are seeing a new rebound.
So, if this rise continues, we will have to widen these cycles a little to account for this late decline, perhaps by a bar or two. Note that this trend has changed in the last two cycles.
Therefore, we may need to change direction and lengthen the cycle slightly. If that doesn't happen, and if the price fails and comes back here, we have a time window for the daily cycle between October 28 and November 5, with earnings being announced during this period.
As you can see , the thin PO line here suggests the possibility of a signal of continued downward momentum emerging soon.