周一买入 Lumentum，目标价年底达到 1500 美元，依据是已确认的突破与量度升幅。
逐段跳播
我想谈谈 Lumentum Holdings 这家公司，谈谈它的优点和缺点。我觉得这两方面我都不了解。昨天，也就是周四，这只股票出现了一次跳涨。
I would like to talk about " Lumentum Holdings" company, about its advantages and disadvantages . I don't think I know either of them . Yesterday, Thursday, this stock was making a leap,
于是我看了一下，发现这是一次急拉，我就对我的会员们说：“我通常喜欢买这种，但我不喜欢在周五买这样的急拉，因为它们通常根本不管用。”
So, I looked at it and it was a hack, and I said to my members, "I usually like to buy this, but I don't like buying hacks like this on a Friday, because they usually don't work at all."
总之，我说：“不，我们今天不做这个。”所以，我完全错过了昨天的这笔交易，看看这只股票今天干了什么。
Anyway, I said, " No, we won't do that today." So, I completely missed the deal yesterday, and look what the stock did today.
事实证明，如果我昨天做了我想做的、也是我本该做的事，我们现在就在赚钱了。但事情是这样的。今天，我认为我们有一个非常好的机会，原因如下。
It has been proven that if I had done yesterday what I wanted and what I should have done, we would be making money now. But here's the thing. Today, I think we have a very good chance, and here's why.
所以，这里是第二天。昨天，也就是周四，是一个高成交量的日子。今天是确认的一天，因为你可以看到这只股票全天的走势。
So, this is day two here. Yesterday , Thursday, was a day of high trading volume. Today was a day of confirmation, because you can see how the stock traded throughout the day.
嗯，那就是昨天的大动作。它在11点就结束了。当天剩下的时间里，这只股票横盘整理，就像股票在中午通常表现的那样。
Well, that was the big move yesterday. It ended by 11 o'clock. For the rest of the day, the stock moved sideways as stocks usually do in the middle of the day.
而今天，砰，它又涨了。箭头在10:00 启动。我不知道他前半个小时到底在干什么，但谁在乎呢？我没买。
And today, boom, it rose again. The arrow was launched at 10:00 . I don't know what the hell he was doing for the first half hour, but who cares? I didn't buy it.
无论如何，这只股票在这里上涨，然后在当天剩下的时间里横盘整理。如果这是一次失败的突破，你会看到这只股票开始跌破它的成交量加权平均价，但你没有看到。事实上，如果只看 VWAP 指标，它今天更强。它今天实际上比昨天更强。
In any case, the stock rose here and then moved sideways for the rest of the day . If this had been a failed breakout, you would have seen the stock start to fall below its volume-weighted average price , but you didn't .
In fact, it was stronger today if you only look at the VWAP index. He was actually stronger today than he was yesterday.
这里这些绿色的小点，这是 TTM 挤压指标。这只是我自己用来显示它的程序，但你在任何平台上都能得到几乎一样的东西。
These small green dots here, this is the TTM squeeze indicator. It's just my own program to display this, but you can get pretty much the same thing on any platform.
但这里有趣的是，箭头横盘移动。我们会加上盘后交易，它仍然只是横盘移动。那么，周一我们打算怎么处理这件事？嗯，这里是一个非常大的形态。它已经横盘整理了很长时间，除了7月底那次大跳涨，那次最终测试了200日移动平均线并通过了测试。
But what's interesting here is that the arrow moves sideways. We will add post- closing trades, and it is still moving only sideways. So, what are we going to do about this on Monday?
Well, that was a very big pattern here. It had been moving sideways for a long time, with the exception of that big jump in late July, which eventually tested the 200-day moving average and passed the test.
嗯，它从高点到低点下跌了44%。但它下跌了477美元。所以，在这类事情上，我倾向于做的是看一看然后说：“嗯，那就是那个形态的长度和深度。” “所以，我们现在又回到上涨了。” 好，我们现在回到这里，我要从这里开始这个测量。
让我们看看我们能涨多高。真可惜。这还不够。让我们把这个往下拉一点。477，我们保守一点，就说437%。
Well, it dropped 44% from peak to trough. But it dropped by $477. So , what I tend to do in such matters is to look and say, "Well, that was the length and depth of that pattern ."
"So, we're now back on the rise here." Okay, we're back here now and I'm going to start this measurement from here. Let's see how high we can rise. What a shame. This is not enough.
Let's pull this down a little. 477, let's be conservative and say 437%.
事情是这样的。这是我的目标。1500，我的目标是1500美元，而且是在今年年底之前。这就是我会怎么处理。我们会在周一进场做这笔交易，希望如此。即使有轻微的下跌。如果几天后这只股票回调，给我们一个更好的入场点，那就好了，但如果那没有发生，我还是会进场，并承担全部责任；这是我的错。我本该在周四就让你们所有人都进场的。
Here's the deal. This is my goal. 1500, my goal is $1500, and that's by the end of this year. This is how I will handle it. We will enter into this deal on Monday, hopefully. Even if there is a slight decline.
It would be good if, after a few days, the stock pulled back to give us a better entry point, but if that doesn't happen, I'll enter anyway and take full responsibility; it's my fault. I should have let you all in on Thursday.
这个频道对 $LITE 的历次判断
Stock Market Mentor 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。