$LLY · Ale's World of Stocks · 2026-10-29
礼来是一流的长期股息成长股:股息实现两位数增长,派息率仅20%;Zepbound与Mounjaro上季度分别增长46%和91%,占据该市场60%以上份额;PEG低于行业平均水平。分析师预计营收和利润将继续增长,不过不足1%的股息率只有长期持有者才能获益。
逐段跳播
今天,我们需要聊一聊市场上那些势不可挡的医疗保健巨头之一——礼来,其股票代码是“LLY”。从表面上看,大多数小投资者往往只关注这只股票创纪录的价格表现,而不太在意其不到1%的微薄股息率。
Today, we need to talk about one of the unstoppable healthcare giants in the market, Eli Lilly, whose ticker symbol is "LLY". On the surface, most small investors tend to focus on the stock's record price performance, without paying much attention to the meager dividend yield of less than 1%.
然而,当我们深入分析现金流时,会发现礼来正在实现两位数的股息增长,派息率仅为20%,并且在减肥药热潮中占据绝对垄断地位,每季度为其带来数十亿美元的收入。
However, when we delve deeper into the cash flows, we find that Lilly is achieving double-digit dividend growth, with a meager payout ratio of 20%, and an absolute monopoly on the weight-loss drug boom that generates billions for it every quarter.
在我们最近对BlackRock投资的高股息增长股的分析中,礼来是其最大的动作之一。今天,我们进行这项深入分析,是为了看看为什么机构在这只股票接近历史高位时仍向其投入数十亿美元,以及它是否可能成为最好的长期股息增长股之一。
In our recent analysis of the top dividend growth stocks that BlackRock invests in, Eli Lilly was one of their biggest moves. Today, we are conducting this in-depth analysis to see why institutions are pouring billions into this stock despite it approaching record levels, and whether it could be one of the best long-term dividend growth stocks.
让我们更仔细地看看礼来,BlackRock在上个季度又增持了13亿美元,使其总持仓超过800亿美元。和其他股票一样,它在股价方面是一只表现优异的股票,不断创下历史新高,但不幸的是,这导致按当前股价计算的股息率不到1%。
Let's take a closer look at Eli Lilly, of which BlackRock acquired an additional $1.3 billion in the last quarter, bringing its total stake to more than $80 billion. Like other stocks, it is a high-performing stock in terms of share price, consistently setting record levels, which unfortunately results in a dividend yield of less than 1 % based on the current share price .
但礼来在收入上的不足,显然在其他各个方面都以巨大的增长弥补了回来。首先,股息增长率和增长历史都稳稳处于两位数水平。
But what Lily lacks in revenue, it certainly makes up for with tremendous growth in every other aspect. Firstly, both the dividend growth rate and the growth history are comfortably in the double digits .
最重要的是,派息比例也很小,仅约20%,这对一家如此规模的制药巨头来说至关重要且十分罕见。
Most importantly, the distribution ratio is also small, at only about 20%, which is vital and rare for a pharmaceutical giant of this size.
这不仅使他们能够继续增加派息,还为他们留下了巨额现金流,用于投资临床试验、工厂扩建和战略收购等必要事项,礼来近年来在这方面做得非常出色。
This not only enables them to continue increasing distributions, but also leaves them with huge cash flow to invest in necessities such as clinical trials, factory expansions, and strategic acquisitions, which Lilly has done brilliantly in recent years.
我们稍后会谈到这一点,但首先,让我再给你看一下百分比计算器,这次是以礼来为例。如果你在10年前买入这只股票,其价格大约为每股67美元。
We'll get to that in a bit, but first, let me show you the percentage calculator again, this time from Lilly. If you had bought the stock 10 years ago, its price would have been around $67 per share.
当你计算以67美元买入后如今能获得的每股股息时,你会得到大约每股7美元的股息,这意味着超过10%的回报率。现在,你能想象今天持有礼来的股票吗?
When you calculate the current dividend per share that you could have received for $67 , you would get approximately $7 in dividends per share, which translates to a return of over 10%.
Now, can you imagine owning shares of Eli Lilly today?
这是制药板块最大的增长怪兽之一,不是吗?制药板块的每一位投资者都想持有礼来的股票,因为它正在实现巨大的增长。你能想象它还能以超过10%的回报率派发利润吗?
This is one of the biggest growth monsters in the pharmaceutical sector, isn't it? Every investor in the pharmaceutical sector wants to own Lilly shares because of the tremendous growth it is achieving.
Can you imagine that it also distributes profits with a return of more than 10%?
你肯定没想到会从礼来这样的公司身上看到这一点。但话说回来,这就是投资股息增长的力量。你只需要尽早入场,然后长期投资。
You certainly wouldn't have expected to see that from a company like Eli Lilly. But again, this is the power of investing in dividend growth . You just need to get in early, then invest for the long term.
你能想象Eli Lilly的股价表现有多强劲吗?按市值算,它现在确实是制药板块里最大的巨头,因为股价涨了这么多。
Can you imagine how strong Eli Lilly's stock performance is? It is literally the biggest giant in the pharmaceutical sector right now in terms of market capitalization because the share price has risen so much.
不过,你也能从中获得很高的股息收益率。但话说回来,要实现这一点,你得是长期投资者。话虽如此,再说一次,Eli Lilly几乎完美地执行了那些你通常期待制药巨头去做的策略。
However , you can also get a huge dividend yield from it. But again, you need to be a long-term investor to make that happen. Well, saying that, once again, Eli Lilly was executing those strategies you would normally expect from pharmaceutical giants almost perfectly.
他们那些极为成功的注射类药物,用于治疗肥胖和糖尿病的Zipbound和Mongaro,已成为他们巨大的收入来源,仅上个季度就分别实现了46%和91%的增长,带来了数十亿美元的销售额。
Their hugely successful injectable drugs , Zipbound and Mongaro for treating obesity and diabetes , have become a massive source of income for them, generating billions of dollars in sales with growth of 46% and 91% respectively in the last quarter alone.
这些产品合起来帮助Lilly拿下了整个市场60%以上的份额。他们还在通过推出新品来扩张,这些新品正展现出非常强劲的业绩。
Together, these products helped Lilly capture more than 60% of that total market. They are also expanding with new releases that are showing very strong results.
他们已经完成了多项新的收购。其中一些涉及将人工智能技术整合到他们的工作中。
They have made several new acquisitions. Some of them involve integrating artificial intelligence technologies into their work.
他们还宣布了人工智能领域的合作。他们甚至已经建成了新的超级计算机“Lilypad”,它现在被认为是全球最强大的生物技术超级计算机,由一千多块Nvidia“Blackwell”图形处理器驱动。
They also announced partnerships in the field of artificial intelligence. They have even completed the construction of their new supercomputer, "Lilypad," which is now considered the most powerful biotechnology supercomputer in the world, powered by more than a thousand Nvidia "Blackwell" graphics processing units .
这将大大增强他们的产品线、药物研发平台以及诸如此类的东西。所以未来也有很多值得期待的地方。正因为这一切,分析师预计其收入和利润将继续实现惊人的增长,而凭借其庞大的规模,这些收入和利润已经被视为行业领先。
This will greatly enhance their product line, their drug discovery platform, and everything like that. So there is a lot to look forward to in the future as well. Because of all this, analysts expect amazing growth that will continue in their revenues and profits, which are already considered industry leaders given their huge size.
要说增长,Lilly符合所有标准,完全契合股息增长型投资者在这一类别中所寻找的东西。就连这只股票的估值也受益于所有这些增长,因为它把市盈率相对盈利增长比率(PEG)推低到了低于行业平均的水平,你信吗。
I mean, do you want to talk about growth? Lilly meets all the criteria and is a perfect fit for what a dividend growth investor is looking for in this type of category. Even the stock's valuation benefits from all that growth, because it has pushed the price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio to levels below the sector average, if you can believe it.
这正是BlackRock持续增持Eli Lilly股份的原因。当一家公司掌控着GLP-1市场60%以上的份额、建成了全球最强大的生物技术超级计算机,市盈率(PE)却仍低于行业水平,它确实就是所谓的顶级累积增长机器。
This is precisely why BlackRock continues to increase its stake in Eli Lilly. When a company controls more than 60% of the GLP-1 market, builds the world's most powerful biotechnology supercomputer , and yet still trades at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio cheaper than the sector.
It truly is what you would call a first-rate cumulative growth machine .
但请记住,Lilly只是BlackRock上个季度买入的五家股息增长型公司之一。
But remember, Lilly was just one of five companies with growing dividends that BlackRock acquired in the last quarter.
如果你想看另外四家巨头,包括我们在榜单上排名更高的半导体和云计算相关标的,请务必查看完整的周末分析,链接就在屏幕上和下方简介中。
And if you'd like to see the other four giants, including the semiconductor options and cloud computing names that we ranked higher on our list, be sure to check out the full weekend analysis linked here on screen and below in the description.
但就目前而言,请务必在下方评论区分享你对Lily这只股票的看法,我们下一段再见。
But for now, be sure to share your thoughts on Lily's stock in the comments below, and I'll see you in the next segment.
观察点
这个频道对 $LLY 的历次判断
Ale's World of Stocks 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。