LUMN 处于有效突破趋势中，但当前入场点位不佳；应等待其向 1050 小幅回调后企稳再介入。
逐段跳播
我想看一下Lumens的股票，原因如下。上次谈到我错过的交易时我提到过这一点，谈到我本该买入却没有买，后来决定无论如何都想买入这只股票，但也许等到周一更好。
Okay, I'd like to take a look at Lumens stock and here's why. I touched on this last time when talking about my missed deals, and how I didn't buy when I should have , and then decided that I wanted to get this stock anyway, but maybe it's better to wait until Monday.
这是件好事。我很高兴我那样做了，因为现在我们有了完全不同的视角，我想谈谈一些与交易、入场点等相关的事情。那我们来看看。这就是Lumens股票今天的状况。
Well, that's a good thing. I'm glad I did that, because now we have a completely different perspective, and I'd like to talk about some things related to trading, entry points, and things like that .
So, let's take a look. Well, here 's the status of Lumens stock today.
现在，让我们回到上周四。这是买入的完美时机。你可以看到成交量比正常水平高出约三分之一。我不知道具体的计算，但如果你很在意，可以自己去查。
Now, let's go back to last Thursday . Good. This was the perfect time to buy. You can see that the trading volume was about a third higher than normal. I don't know the exact calculations, but you can find out if you care a lot about it.
10,050这个位置是这里的阻力位。不过，它伴随着非常高的成交量，而且明确突破了千元关口。所以，这是一次非常好的走势。按百分比算，甚至没到4%。但这是一次真实可信的走势，你可以看着它说：“好，我想第二天进场。”砰，再涨一点，行吗？这很好。我喜欢这样。
Okay, the 10,050 level is the resistance level here. However, it was with very high trading volume, and it was a clear break above the thousand-dollar level here. So, it was a very good move.
In terms of percentage, it didn't even reach 4%. But it was a genuine and credible move, and you could look at it and say, " Okay, I want to get in the next day." Boom, go up a little more, okay? This is good. I love that.
我昨天，也就是周四，本该登录的，但我没有。现在是周五。我真的会在周五、一只股票突破的第二天买入吗？周一可能会发生什么？会好？会坏？会中性？灯可能会灭，我不知道，这是故意玩的双关。所以，我们还是等到周一。
I should have logged in yesterday, that is, on Thursday, but I didn't . Now, it is Friday. Would I actually buy a stock on its second day of breaking out on Friday? What might happen on Monday?
Will it be good? Will it be bad? Will he be neutral? The lights might go out , I don't know, a deliberate pun. So, we will wait until Monday instead.
那你今天做了什么？什么都没做。它小幅上涨。抱歉，它甚至没涨1%，但确实动了。不过这是一个很好的例子，说明如何分析一只股票在突破阶段所处的位置。
So what did you do today? nothing. It rose slightly. Sorry, it did n't even rise 1%, but it did move. But this is a good example of how to analyze where a stock is in the breakout phase.
你会注意到，让我把这些都给你看。我倾向于保留这些线，只是为了能识别我在某个特定时间所关注的位置。说实话，这会变得非常混乱，总有一天我会说“该死”。我就把它们全删掉。但眼下它们还在，这样你就能看到你识别出的关键点位和止损位。
You'll notice, let me show you all of this. I was inclined to keep these lines, just so I could identify the levels I was looking at at a given time . Honestly, it's going to be very confusing and one day I'll say " Damn it".
I'm just going to , you know, delete them all. But for now, it's still there so you can see the key points and stop-loss levels you've identified.
但现在，如果你看这个，你会发现动能确实放缓了。这里有很多活动，而且区间很宽。今天正在发生大范围的活动。从底部到顶部，那是11.5%的区间。第二天，周五，区间是5.25%。今天不到5%。
所以，日内区间放缓并略微收窄，但需要注意的重要一点，很多人不看这一点，就是，忽略收盘价。只看股票日内的最高和最低水平，因为边缘才是你真正识别真实强弱的地方，在边缘，而不是在中间。
But now, if you look at this, you'll find that the momentum has definitely slowed down. There's a lot of activity here, and a wide range . A wide range of activities are taking place today .
From bottom to top, that was a range of 11.5 percent. The following day, Friday, the range was 5.25 percent. Today it was less than 5 percent. So, the ranges during the day slow down and shrink a little, but the important thing to note, which many people don't look at, is, well, ignore the closing prices.
Just look at the highest and lowest levels of the stock during the day, because the periphery is where you really recognize the true strengths and weaknesses, at the periphery, not in the middle.
换句话说，股票要跌到多低，买家才会进场说：“好，我现在想买这只股票。这是个好价格。”然后股票要涨到多高，卖家或股东才会说：“你知道吗？我想卖出这只股票。这里是个好价格。我要卖了。”
而这一切都取决于共识。这不是一个人持有一组股票的问题。这是市场共识。市场在某一天何时认定价格已经跌够了？这是不是最佳买入时机？做出这个决定的是大众。显然，他们不会同时买入，但大众会就什么是公平做出决定。什么是公平价格？
In other words, how far will the stock fall before buyers step in and say, " Okay, I want to buy this stock now." This is a good price. Then how high will the stock rise before the sellers or shareholders say, "Do you know?
I want to sell this stock. This is a good price here. I will sell it. And all of this depends on consensus. It's not about one person owning a group of shares. This is the market consensus.
When does the market decide on any given day that the price has fallen enough? Is this the best time to buy? The public is the one who makes that decision. Obviously, they don't all buy at the same time, but the public makes that decision regarding what is fair. What is a fair price?
所以，我喜欢看的是相对高点和低点。换句话说，与前一日相比，低点是否更高？高点是否高于前一日的高点？你可以在这里的后面看到。
So, what I like to look at are the relative highs and lows. In other words, compared to the previous day, was the low higher? Is the peak higher than the previous day's peak ? You can see that here in the back.
总之，让我们回到正题。这里的最低水平是884。那是在上个月28日。自那以后，我们看到了更高的低点、更高的高点、更高的低点、更高的高点、更高的低点、更高的高点、更高的低点、更高的高点、更高的低点、更高的高点。
Anyway, let's get back on track. So, this was the lowest level here at 884. That was on the 28th of last month. Since then, we have seen a higher trough, a higher peak, a higher trough, a higher peak, a higher trough, a higher peak, a higher trough , a higher peak, a higher trough, and a higher peak.
我在这里看到的区别在于这一点，即收盘位置的价值。这就是收盘价相对于当日交易区间所处的位置。它在哪里？大约在底部三分之一，比如说。但在这里的前一天，这几乎位于区间的顶部。这里，我想你……
好吧，我们来看看。如你所知，如果我们把这个放在这里，我肯定得说这次收盘位于前25%。所以，我在这里谈论的是股票每天的交易相对于前一天和再前一天的情况。
The difference I see here is in this, the value of the closing position. This is where the closing price is located in relation to the daily trading range. Where is that located?
It's about , you know, the bottom third, let's say. But the day before here, this was almost at the top of the range. Here, I think you...well, let's take a look and see. As you know, if we were just to put this here , um, I would definitely have to say that this closing was in the top 25% .
So, what I'm talking about here is how the stock trades each day relative to what it was the day before and the day before that.
所以，这引出了我目前的分析。不，我今天没有加仓。我明天可能也不会加，因为事情到了这个地步，你会说，我想我可能错过了这波走势。所以，我现在、此刻买入的唯一理由，是我不知怎么觉得，持有这只股票会让我作为交易者、也许作为人，具有某种补偿性的品质。
我可以说：“是啊，看看我。”“Yebbi”。啊，当然，没有考虑到关键不在于我持有什么，而在于我买入的价格。换句话说，你以什么价格获得它？在这波走势中途现在买入，我认为你可以做得更好。
So, this leads us to my current analysis. No, I didn't add it today. I may not add it tomorrow because it gets to the point where you say, I think I may have missed this move. So, the only reason I would buy it now, at this moment, is because I somehow feel that I would have some compensatory qualities as a trader, and perhaps as a person, by owning this stock.
And I can say, "Yeah, look at me." "Yebbi". Ah , of course, without considering the fact that it's not about what I own, but the price I bought it for . In other words, at what price did you acquire it?
Buying now in the midst of this movement, um, I think you can do better.
但当你这样看它时，就像，各位先生女士，我们实话实说。这只股票已经横盘很久了。它现在上来了。我已经给了你们我的目标。我认为这东西能到1500，而且鉴于它的交易方式，我认为它能在今年年底前做到。
But when you look at it this way, like, look, guys and ladies, um, let's be honest. This stock had been drifting for a long time. He's coming up here. I have already given you my goal .
I think this thing could reach 1500 and I think it can do that by the end of this year, given the way it's trading.
但我所希望的，记住希望肯定不是好计划，也不是稳健的交易方法，而是一种我有时会屈服的感觉。我希望的是这只股票只会小幅下跌，而不是大幅下跌。因为如果它回撤太多，我会感到怀疑。但如果你能让这只股票下跌约30美元左右，更接近1050而不是1100，然后企稳，那个企稳的部分才是这里交易的关键。
如果你设法让它回落，然后你看到多头说：“好，我进场了。”这就是我想买入这只股票的时候。
But what I hope for, and remember that hope is certainly not a good plan , nor is it a sound trading approach , is that it is a feeling I sometimes give in to. What I hope is that the stock will only decline slightly, not significantly.
Because if he retreats too much, I will feel suspicious. But if you can get this stock to drop about $30 or so, to be closer to 1050 than to 1100, and then stabilize, that stabilization part is the crucial aspect of the deal here.
If you manage to make him back down and then you see the bulls saying, " Okay, I'm in." This is the time when I would want to buy this stock.
所以，要注意这就是我在说的。我说的是打破这一系列更高低点的走势。我说的是打破它的那个走势。换句话说，哦，性质改变，这似乎是走势的结束。概念？所以，事情是这样的。我不会在股票下跌时买入。
别那样做。我在观察这个，看它能走多远，现在我会重新开始追踪低点和高点，它们应该开始在这里符合同样的模式。各位会员，这就是我交易Lumintum股票的方式。
So, be aware that this is what I'm talking about. I'm talking about a move that breaks this series of higher bottoms. I'm talking about that movement that breaks it. In other words, oh, a change of character, this seems to be the end of the movement. concept?
So, here's the thing. I am not buying it while the stock is declining. Don't do that. I'm watching this, seeing how far it can go, and now I'll start again tracking the bottoms and tops, which should start to fit the same pattern here.
So, this is how I trade Lumintum stock, members.
这个频道对 $LUMN 的历次判断
Stock Market Mentor 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。