$LUV · Schwab Network · 2026-11-03
LUV 在财报后突破通道，其均线仍在加速，因此若突破近期高点 44.77 将偏多；约 47 可能构成短期顶部，且未必能到达。极低的隐含波动率使 11 月 13/20、行权价 47 的看涨期权日历价差具有吸引力。
逐段跳播
你今天选择的第一笔交易是西南航空。你现在怎么看“西南航空”？这周我稍微放软了我们要谈的这些标的，也许是那些远离活跃交易的。而且她心里清楚，即使在我们当前所处的能源形势下也是如此。
航空股表现不错，这只股票似乎是展现出非常真实上涨潜力的好标的之一。
You have chosen Southwest Airlines as your first deal today. How do you view "Southwest" at the moment? I have somewhat softened this week the names we will be talking about, perhaps those that have been far from active trading.
And she knows, calmly, even in the current energy situation we are experiencing. Airlines are doing well, and this stock appears to be one of the good names that shows very real upside potential.
有人说“西南航空”正在悄然上行，我们可以看到它已经开始形成一个缓慢向上的通道。你在这里的技术面上看到了什么？嗯，最有趣的是，我们似乎可能向上突破你在这里注意到的这个通道。往回说一点，我们之前在53-54附近有一些前期高点。
我们把这些连续的高点连成了一条向下倾斜的趋势线。在财报公布后，我们已经突破了那条蓝线。现在我们有一条白色、斜率非常平缓的上升趋势线。如果我们把它复制并横跨这些高点放置，就形成了我们的价格通道。
但今天的价格走势刚刚开始推升到这一点之上。我们看到昨天盘中有一些涨幅越过了该水平，但并未收在该价格通道上沿之上。我们还可以在这里看到一系列更低的低点，随后是大约40.50水平上更高的低点。
因此，突破这一水平将对市场乐观者非常有吸引力。我们在这里看到一系列接近46的高点，还有一个显著高点在49.73。与此同时，下行方面，我们在42有一个显著低点，因为那是我们这轮上涨中最近的一次回调。
我们在这里还有一个低点在38.50。因此，看看我们在这里跟踪的移动平均线，我们看到它们大多按从最快到最慢排列。蓝绿色显示的21日指数移动平均线即将上穿金色代表的63日移动平均线。
目前最近的均线是5日周均线，位于43.55。这表明趋势在这里仍处于加速阶段。关注移动平均线，看它们是否开始再次相互收敛。抱歉，是寻找趋势放缓的迹象。相对强弱指数为62，我们位于50中线上方，但尚未录得任何显著的新高。
也要关注这一变化，以判断是否有进一步的看涨乐观情绪。我们还可以看到，成交量分布显示这里最密集的交易区域在40到43之间，控制点在41.39。所以，我们正在向上推升，越过一个密集交易区。
一旦我们开始进入大约47或48这个区域，情况会再次活跃起来。
It has been stated that "Southwest" is moving quietly, and we can see that we have begun to form a channel that is slowly moving upwards. What do you see in the technical aspects here?
Well, what's most interesting is that it appears we might be breaking the channel you're noticing here upwards. To go back a little, we had some previous highs around the 53-54 level.
We have connected these successive peaks with a downward-sloping trend line. We have already broken through that blue line after the earnings announcement . Now we have an upward trend line with a very slight slope here in white.
If we copy it and place it across the peaks, it forms our price channel. But today's price action has just started to push above that point here. We saw some gains during the day that went above that level yesterday, but it did not close above the price channel limit here.
We can also see here a series of lower points and then our subsequent higher points at approximately the 40.50 level. Therefore, exceeding this level would be of great interest to market optimists.
We have seen a series of highs here near 46, and another notable high at 49.73. Meanwhile, on the downside, we had a notable dip at 42, as it was our most recent pullback during our upward run here.
We also had a low point here at 38.50. Therefore, looking at the moving averages we are tracking here, we see that they are mostly ranked from fastest to slowest. The 21-day exponential moving average, shown in blue-green, is about to cross above the 63-day moving average, represented in gold.
The closest average currently is the 5-day weekly average, at 43.55. This shows that the trend is still in an acceleration phase here. Watch the moving averages to see if they start to converge again towards each other.
Sorry, looking for signs of a slowing trend here. The Relative Strength Index is at 62, we are above the 50 midline, but we have not recorded any significant new highs yet. Keep an eye on this change as well for further bullish optimism.
We can also see that the volume profile shows us the most intense trading area here between 40 and 43 with a control point at 41.39. So, we are pushing higher above a heavy trading area here.
Things pick up again once we start getting to this area, around 47 or 48.
Mike，你也预期西南航空在这里会突破吗？看起来我们看的是完全相同的图表。但是，是的。我想超越近期44.77的那些高点。
Mike, do you expect a breakthrough here as well for Southwest? It looks like we are looking at the exact same graph. But, yes. I want to surpass those recent highs at 44.77.
隐含波动率极低。所以，当它非常低时，尤其是对于一只像航空股通常那样波动的股票，以及这只“Love”股票，我会选择买入日历价差期权。我正在看11月13日对11月20日、执行价47的看涨期权日历价差。
就是我们俩都在看的同一区域。这里看起来可能代表一个短期高点。我们甚至不知道他会不会到那里，但那就是我在关注的地方。这是一个便宜的日历价差。你现在就可以买入，也许30美分。你甚至可能以更低的价格买到。
但我预期的回报是45美分。这意味着我得到1.5比1的比率。
Implied volatility is extremely low. So, when it's very low, especially with a stock that moves as airlines generally do and the "Love" stock, I would choose to calendar up buy options.
I am looking at the call options calendar for November 13th versus November 20th at an execution price of 47. The same area we were both looking at . This is where it appears that this may represent a short-term peak.
We don't even know if he'll make it there, but that's where I'm watching . It is an inexpensive calendar. You can buy it, maybe right now, for 30 cents. You might even be able to buy it for less than that.
But the return I expect is 45 cents. This means I get a ratio of one and a half to one.
现在我们看到西南航空的股票正在上行。它上涨了约0.8%，达到44.31。你们两位都同意它看起来准备好起飞了吗？
And now we see Southwest's stock moving upwards. It rose by about 0.8 percent to reach 44.31. Do you both agree that he looks ready to take off?