MDB 看涨;在支撑位附近盘整,暗示将再上一台阶。
逐段跳播
那么今天就到这里,各位,还不太行。抱歉。呃,我们今天将只专注于一笔MongoDB的交易。好的。我们首先关注这个交易形态,以及这只科技软件领域的猛兽。
So with that today, guys, um uh just not quite yet. Sorry. Uh we're going to just be focusing today on a trade MongoDB. All right. We're going to first focus on this trade setup and that tech software beast.
我有一个看涨期权,呃,一个潜在的看涨期权形态,等我们对这个标的做完一些图表分析之后,我们会接着进入那个教学环节,更深入地理解gamma,然后继续下去。
I have a call set uh potential call setup and as after we do some charting on this play, we're going to then get into that educational of a deeper understanding of gamma and then continue on.
MongoDB现在已经上涨了大约8天。好的,在从420一带跳空低开之后,呃,大幅拉升。那么,正因如此,我确实认为我们正在盘整,为再上一波做准备。
MongoDB has been up now for about 8 days. Okay, sharply pushing up after gap down uh from the 420 area. Now, with that, I do think we're consolidating for another leg higher.
随着我们一路推升,现在我们开始影线探入这个区域。这说明买方真的很喜欢这个价位。他们可能会尝试再推升一波。然后跳升。就从那里开始,我们有两次触及,三次,四次,然后是这里的价格行为。各位,我之前提到过这一点。这强化了我的趋势线。
As we've been pushing up, now we're starting to wick into this zone. This is saying buyers are really liking this level. They could try and push up for another leg higher. And jump.
And just from there, we have two hits, three, four, and then price action here. Guys, I've mentioned this before. This strengthens my trend line.
我们跌破这里,然后影线向上探入这个价位,接着又跌破,然后我们回升并重新收复它。不只是日线级别。这发,它花了几天时间,但然后看看那个。在我们恢复之后,我们本以为会跌破。我们一路投降式上涨,一路创出新高到这里。
We break below here, and then we wick up into this level and then we drop below and then we come up and reclaim it. Not just on a daily basis. This hap, it took a few days, but then look at that.
After we recovered, we thought we were going to break down. We capitulated all the way up and set new all-time highs all the way up here.
那么,既然我们正在回落,我的趋势线有点偏了,但现在我们正影线探入这条趋势线,只是轻轻触碰它。价格行为一路下来,形成一个较低的高点,然后我们跳空低开一路跌到这里。而现在我们又急速回升。
Now, since we're coming back down, my trend line's a little off, but now we're wicking into this trend line, just kissing it. Price actions coming down here, making a lower high, and then we gap down all the way down here. And now we're shooting back up.
这大致就是MongoDB现在的环境。那么,现在我在看什么?我认为这条趋势线,随着我们现在上方又多了几次触及,它从支撑位转变成了阻力位。但近期来看,我认为我们可以再有一波上涨作为支撑。
That is kind of the environment for MongoDB now. So, now what am I looking at? I think this trend line as we now have a few more hits to the upside, it switched from support, it's now resistance.
But near-term, I think we can have another leg higher for support.
呃,因为这里,这个36426的支撑平台。今天价格一直在持续试图突破它。好的。所以,我现在仍然看涨MongoDB。
Um because of this right here, this support shelf here at 36426. Price today is continuously trying to push above it. Okay. So, I'm still bullish on MongoDB right now.
所以如果我们有一个看涨形态,我就必须找出一些我认为MongoDB会停下来的阻力位。那么,关于这一点,我想让你们一路回到这里。这是2025年11月3日的高点。这根红色K线。这里有很多阻力。
正如我们所见,我们也在影线探入这个价位。在这个价位成交很密集。所以那就是38544。好的,那是一个主要的枢轴顶部阻力位。各位,把它记下来。你们之后会需要它。
So if we have a bullish setup, I have to find some resistance levels where I think MongoDB is going to stop. So with this, I want you guys to go all the way back over here. This is to the November 3rd, 2025 high.
This red bar candle here. A lot of resistance here. As we see, we're wicking into this level right here as well. heavily traded here at that level. So that is 38544. All right, that is a major pivot top resistance level. Write that down, guys. You'll need that later.
好的,最后,显眼的是我们跳空低开的位置。我们在这里的图表上留下了一个巨大的缺口,大约在410附近。我知道那并不精确,但你要锚定到那根红色K线。
All right, and lastly, glaring where we gapped down from. We left a huge gap in the charts here up roughly at about 410. I know that's not to a T, but you want to anchor to that to that red candle.
抱歉。那么,各位,关于这两点,我为什么看涨?它一直在持续上涨。我,我呃,我喜欢这里的相对强弱指数读数。这是日线上的动能读数。它现在仍然读在47。在它被认为进入超卖区域之前,仍然有充足的上行空间。
那将是70以上。所以,现在它正好就在50这个位置附近。如果我们能再稍微往上挪一点,我确实认为我们最终能重新推升回到这个价位。
Sorry about that. So, with this two guys, why am I bullish on? It's continuously putting up. I'm I'm uh I like this relative strength index reading here. This is the momentum reading on the daily.
This is still reading at 47. This still has plenty of room to push to the upside before it's considered oversold territory. That would be upwards of 70. So, right now it's sitting just about at that 50 mark.
If we can nudge a little higher, I do think we can eventually push back up into this level.
好的。那么,现在我们位于368。这是一个我会寻找行权价或目标的交易,大约在365、360,抱歉,360到365到370之间。大致在那个区间,就是我为MongoDB寻找看涨期权交易的地方。
All right. So, right now, we're sitting at 368. This is a play where I'm going to look for a strike or my target from anywhere from about 365 360, excuse me, 360 to 365 to 370. kind of in that range is where I'm looking for a play a call on MongoDB.
太好了。那么,正如Jake所说,我们现在为看涨期权交易寻找360、365到370。
Awesome. So, as Jake said it, we are now looking for 360 365 to 370 for a call play.
所以,如果我们的目标比如说在MongoDB的370,而我们现在在368。gamma会高得多,或者说高得多。所以这里价格的小幅变动,gamma会放大得更多一些。
So, if our target say is at 370 on MongoDB, right now we're at 368. gamma is going to be much more high or much much more uh high. So small price changes here, gamma is going to amplify a little more.
让我们深入期权链。看看我们能否把这笔MongoDB看涨期权转化成一个交易形态。好,现在Jake要打开IBKR,我们用它来看期权链,看看,我们把所有数字都调出来了。我们拿到了360、365和370,我们会在那条期权链上看这些。
Let's dive into the options chain. See if we can translate this MongoDB call into a setup. All right, as Jake is now going to be pulling up IBKR, which is what we use to look at our options chain and looking see, we got all of our numbers down.
We got our 360, 365, and 370 that we will be looking at on that chain.
好了,各位。我这里打开了MongoDB,代码MDB,还有八天到期。Tabby,我要看这个八天后到期的合约吗?对我来说不是。今天不,各位。我看的是2026年11月20日的看涨期权。
这给我们43天的时间。所以,假设我们往上推,我们现在正在大约那个支撑位附近盘整,就像我刚才说的,大约在364。我认为43天足够让一个逻辑有时间兑现。
All right, guys. I have MongoDB MDB up here and well eight days out. Tabby, am I going to look at this 8 day out contract? Not for me. Not Not here today, guys. I'm looking at this November 20th, 2026 call.
This gives us 43 days out. So, say we push um we're consolidating now right about at that support level, as I was saying, at about 364. Um, I think 43 days is good enough for time uh for a thesis to play out.
所以,就在这里,Tabby,这只是快速回顾一下昨天,各位。好。那么,360,delta在601。
So, right here, Tabby, this is just a quick recall from yesterday, guys. Okay. So, 360, the delta is at 601.
想想看。我要为确定性付钱吗?确定性带来什么?是信念吗?是成本吗?信念。对。信念。对。还有成本。还有成本。用更高delta的操作,成本会高一点。所以,我会找,我更喜欢0.5的delta,稍微好一点。这就是为什么我喜欢这里的370行权价。
Think about it. Am I going to pay for certainty? What comes with certainty? Is it um conviction? Is it cost? Conviction. Yes. Conviction. Yes. And cost. And cost. That with a higher delta play, it's going to cost a little more.
So, I'm gonna look for I like a 0.5 delta a a little better. That's why I like this 370 strike right here.
所以,我们略微处于价内。嗯。而这正好就在我们的目标位上。所以,如果我们只是往上走,我们今天在MongoDB上已经触及了那个位置。我们推到了372。我们现在回落到大约368,但如果我们收在更高位置,我打赌我们会突破那条趋势线并继续走高。
So, we're slightly in the money. Mhm. And this is right sitting at our target. So, if we just move up, we already hit that today on MongoDB. We pushed up to 372. We're coming in a little bit about 368, but if we look to close above, I bet we break that trend line and push higher.
对。所以用这个操作,基于期权环境,我看的是370行权价。我不喜欢逆势而为。我在看看跌看涨比率,现在它是看涨的。这意味着大资金有点,他们买的看涨期权比看跌期权多。这就是为什么这个比率低于1.0。所以我不逆势而为。
Yeah. So with this play, I'm looking at the 370 strike based on the options environment. I don't like fighting the trend. I'm looking at the put call ratio, which is bullish right now.
This means big money has kind of um they're buying more calls than they are puts. That's why the ratio is under 1.0. So I'm not fighting the trend.
而这个环境,这是一个便宜的环境。52的IV rank现在是20%。之后我们会深入讲隐含波动率弧线,但现在,这个环境说明便宜,便宜。所以,我们顺势而为。
And the environment, this is a cheap environment. The 52 IV rank is coming in at 20%. Now, we'll dive into our implied volatility arc down the road, but right now, this environment says cheap, cheap. So, we're going with the trend.
我们只需要小幅波动就能让我们的看涨期权进入价内。我们还有43天到期,所以我们给交易一些时间兑现。而且我们的delta略微处于价内。对,这就是我今天在考虑的操作。
We just need a slight move to get in the money for our options call. We're 43 days out, so we give our trade some time to play out. And we have a delta slightly in the money. Yes, this is the play that I'm thinking for today.
对,我非常喜欢这个操作。对MDB来说这是个肯定,用那个370的看涨期权,因为delta在0.57,正好在我们的黄金区间。IV rank是20,意味着我们拿到了便宜的期权费。行权价位于一条支撑线上。
所以这对我们也非常好。而且资金流通过PC比率表示认同。那个P,看跌看涨比率,非常有利于我们。所以这是一个非常非常好的看涨期权。
Yeah, I'm liking this play a lot. this is a yes on MDB with that $370 call because that delta is at a 0.57 which is right in our golden zone. The IV rank is 20 which means we got cheap premiums.
The strike sits on a support line. So that is really good for us as well. And the flow agrees via the PC ratio. That P that put call ratio is really in our favor. So this is a really really good call.
这个频道对 $MDB 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 7 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。