META 困在 575–775 美元的区间内,除非它打破资本支出周期,或投资者确信某项新产品或服务足以支撑每年 1500 亿美元的支出,否则将一直停留其中;只有当投资者足够兴奋时,Muse 才可能将其推升至 775 美元以上。
逐段跳播
接下来我们会讨论 AMD 股票、Meta、Celsius、ELF、SoFi 和 Amazon 可能出现的各种情景。
And we'll talk about the potential scenarios for AMD stock, Meta, Celsius, ELF, SoFi, and Amazon.
他们大举投资了 Nvidia、Apple、Microsoft、Meta、Amazon、Google、McDougal 这类股票,对吧?还有 Tesla 以及所有这类股票。
They invested heavily in stocks like Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Google, McDougal, right? Tesla and all such stocks.
Meta 接下来会怎么走?说到 Meta,它最近表现相当不错。我对这只股票不太确定。我说过这只股票卡在 575 到 775 美元的区间里。这话我已经说了快整整一年了,对吧?我说它会一直待在那个区间内,直到发生什么?
我说,直到 Meta 打破资本支出的周期、摆脱扎克伯格的控制,或者投资者确信我们有一个能让这整笔投资值得的产品或服务。
Where does the meta go from here? Speaking of Meta, it has done quite well recently. I'm not so sure about this stock. I said that this stock is stuck in the range of $575 to $775.
I've been talking about this for almost a whole year, haven't I? And I said it will stay within that range, until what happens? I said, until Meta breaks the cycle of capital spending and gets out of Zuckerberg's control or investors are convinced that we have a product or service that will make this entire investment worthwhile.
所以,大家看待这件事的方式是:“扎克伯格,如果你想明年在芯片和基础设施上花 1500 亿美元,我们就让你花,因为你在市场上有一个非常重要的产品或服务。”这不仅仅是“哦,Facebook 投放了更多广告,从这些广告中赚了更多钱,收费也比以前更高,或者 Instagram 和 WhatsApp 在赚钱”。
不,不,必须是某个新产品或服务,或者多个产品和服务,让所有人都说:“好吧,这太不可思议了,对吧?”
So, the way everyone is looking at it is, "Zuckerberg, if you want to spend $150 billion on chips and infrastructure next year, we're going to let you do it because you have a product or service in the market that's very important."
It's not just, "Oh, Facebook is running more ads and making more money from those ads and charging more than before, or Instagram and WhatsApp are making money." No, no, it has to be a new product or service or multiple products and services that will make everyone say, "Okay, this is incredible, right?"
这不仅仅是“哦,Facebook 投放了更多广告,从这些广告中赚了更多钱,收费也比以前更高,或者 Instagram 和 WhatsApp 在赚钱”这么简单。不,不,它必须是一个新产品或服务,或者多个产品和服务,能让所有人都说:“好,这太不可思议了,对吧?”
It's not just , "Oh, Facebook is running more ads and making more money from those ads and charging more than before , or Instagram and WhatsApp are making money." No, no, it has to be a new product or service or multiple products and services that will make everyone say, "Okay, this is incredible, right?"
所以,听着,有一种可能。如果你想谈谈 Meta 改善的潜力,对吧?如果投资者对这款 Muse 产品非常有信心。现在,这最近引发了很多兴奋,但我们应该在电话会议上听到更多关于它的消息。
如果投资者足够兴奋,你也许能把 Meta 推上 775 以上,对吧?
So, listen, here's a possibility. If you want to talk about the potential for meta improvement, right? If investors are very confident in this Muse product. Now, this has generated a lot of excitement recently, but we should hear a lot more about it on the conference call.
If investors get excited enough, you might be able to take Meta above 775, right?
如果你想谈 Meta 改善的潜力,对吧?如果投资者对这款 Muse 产品非常有信心。最近这已经引发了大量兴奋情绪,但我们应该会在电话会议上听到更多相关信息。如果投资者足够兴奋,你也许能把 Meta 推高到 775 以上,对吧?
If you want to talk about the potential for meta improvement, right? If investors are very confident in this Muse product. Now, this has generated a lot of excitement recently , but we should hear a lot more about it on the conference call.
If investors get excited enough, you might be able to take Meta above 775, right?
所以,有几种方式可以从 Meta 的这款 Muse 上赚钱,对吧?他们有一个免费档,很多人都注册了。说实话,我现实生活中每个用过这款产品的人都称赞它。我还没遇到有人用过之后说“哦,我不喜欢它”,或者它不好之类的话。
每个人都对它印象非常深刻,使用量远超他们最初的计划。所以,这一点值得记住,对吧?
And so, there are a few ways to make money from this muse of meta, right? So, they have a free tier that many people have signed up for. And to be honest, everyone who has used this product in my real life has praised it.
I haven't had anyone use it yet and say, "Oh, I didn't like it." Or it's not good or something like that. Everyone was very impressed with it and gave it a lot more use than they initially planned. So, it's worth keeping in mind, right?
所以,他们有一个免费档,但也有每月 20 美元和每月 100 美元这样的月度订阅档,对吧?所以,这绝对是一种赚钱的方式。
So, they have a free tier, but they also have monthly subscription tiers like $20 a month and $100 a month, right? So, this is definitely a way to make money.
另外还有基于交易的费用。当 Muse 通过 Expedia 完成旅行预订、通过 Instacart 完成生鲜购物、通过 PayPal 完成零售整合等合作伙伴渠道自动完成购买或服务预订时,Meta 计划从交易费用中赚取一部分收入。
Also, transaction-based fees. Meta plans to earn a portion of its revenue from transaction fees when Muse automatically completes purchases or service bookings through partners like travel through Expedia, grocery shopping through Instacart, and retail integration through PayPal.
这很可能是最大的机会,我觉得人们并没有理解这一点,对吧?这真的很棒。这很可能是最大的机会,对吧?与那些可能被迫直接在 AI 聊天推理中投放广告的纯 AI 竞争对手不同,Muse 的界面干净且没有广告。
相反,Meta 会根据 Muse 活动中的信息,在其 Facebook、Instagram 和 WhatsApp 等应用家族中投放高度相关且有针对性的广告。
Now, this is probably the biggest opportunity that I don't think people understand, right? This is really great. This is probably the biggest opportunity, right? Unlike pure AI competitors that may be forced to place ads directly within AI chat inference , Muse's interface is clean and ad-free.
Instead, Meta serves highly relevant and targeted ads across its family of apps, such as Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, based on information from Muse's activities.
听着,我们知道 Meta 是怎么赚钱的。他们靠获取所有这些数据来赚钱,对吧?Meta 能收集的数据越多,就能向你展示越相关的广告。当你打开 Facebook、Instagram、WhatsApp,或他们的任何产品比如 Threads 时,他们就能向你展示更相关的广告,对吧?
这会帮助他们赚更多钱,因为你会更有可能看到那些广告、点击它们,并从他们那里买东西,对吧?所以,当你把所有这些数据交给 Muse 时,它难道不是给了你更多数据吗?这最终会让 Meta 通过向你展示更相关的广告赚得多得多,对吧?而这正是 Meta 业务的核心战略。
Listen, we know how Meta makes money. They make money by getting all this data , right? And the more data Meta can collect, the more relevant ads they can show you. When you go to Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, or any of their products like Threads , they can show you more relevant ads, right?
This will help them make more money because you'll be more likely to see those ads , click on them, and buy something from them , right ? So, when you're giving Muse all this data, isn't it giving you even more data?
This would ultimately allow Meta to make a lot more money by showing you more relevant ads , right? And this is the core strategy of Meta's business.
所以,如果你思考 Meta 的股价会走向哪里,这完全取决于投资者对这款 Muse 产品的信心。这重新点燃了人们对这款产品的兴奋,但如果我们说的是突破我讨论过的那个 775 美元门槛,所有人都必须相信这是一个改变游戏规则的产品。
这是一个价值超过一万亿美元的机会。如果这是一个万亿美元的机会,大家都可以忽略每年 1500 亿美元的成本,对吧?
So, if you think where Meta's share price is going, it depends entirely on investor confidence in this Muse product. This has brought back excitement for the product, but if we're talking about going above that $775 threshold that I discussed, everyone has to believe that this is a game-changer.
This is an opportunity worth more than a trillion dollars. If it's a trillion- dollar opportunity, everyone can skip the $150 billion a year cost , right?
因为 AMD 显然最大,然后是 Meta。
Because AMD is clearly the biggest and then Meta.
Meta,这样我们就能谈论许多名单了,对吧?
Meta, this way we can talk about many of the lists , right?
所以,如果你认为我在推动一只市值 2 万亿美元的 Meta 股票的股价,我并没有。
So, if you think I'm moving the price of a $2 trillion market cap Meta stock , I'm not.
观察点
这个频道对 $META 的历次判断
Financial Education 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。