META 此前只是双向交易标的,并在 7 月财报后被做空,但 Muse AI 的发布彻底改变了叙事,使其成为 AI 领域的领跑交易。我持有 META,仍重点关注它,认为后续还有更多空间,并将下周的财报列为关键关注点。
逐段跳播
我今天的例子是 Meta。它最近获得了大幅重估,现在完全是另一番景象了。回到7月,这只是为了展示一些历史价格:你和 Kira 在600多美元中段买入 Meta,你买得更早,在夏天早些时候、600多美元低段就买了,等等,我这里只是举几个例子,656到684,28点,在 Meta 上两天之内。
所以,在7月,它是一只值得交易的股票,但两个方向都值得交易。7月财报后,Kira 和 Rick 在7月底做空了 Meta。财报后在这里抓到了20点的做空利润。所以,它当时并不是现在这样的故事。
然后 Meta 宣布了它的 Muse AI 智能体,能替你把事情办成。按照扎克伯格的说法,Meta 的 Muse 能为你做任何事、一切事。你对房间里的人说:“这改变了整个故事。
这改变了这只股票的整个叙事。”你买了看涨期权。这个公告是在9月8日。你在公告之后买了看涨期权,然后小幅减了一点仓。第二天早上,公告后它们涨了159%。那些看涨期权一夜之间从8.50美元涨到22美元,而且你还持有多头。
My example for today is Meta Meta I got a huge rerating uh recently and it's it's a completely different story now uh you know so back in July this is just to show show some some historical prices you and Kira were buying Meta in the mid600s you were buying it earlier than that earlier in the summer in the lower 600s etc but I'm just giving some examples here 656 to 684 28 points uh in a in a two-day time span on Meta All right.
So, in the in July, it was it was a it was a stock worth trading, but it was a stock worth trading both ways. Meta was being shorted by Kiara and Rick after earnings back in July at the end of July.
Uh, you know, caught a 20 point short here post earnings. So, you know, it wasn't the story that it is now. And then Meta announces its Muse AI agent uh that can get it done for you.
According to Zuckerberg, Meta could or Meta's muse could do anything and everything for you. And you said to the room, "This changes the the whole story. This changes the entire narrative for this stock."
Um, you had bought calls. So, this announcement was on September 8th. You bought calls after the announcement. Um, and you trimmed them a little bit. The next morning, they were up 159% post announcement.
$8.50 50 to $22 overnight on those calls and you were also long
所以大家知道我也持有 Meta,但我们想做的是,明白不是每个人都是七位数的账户,也不是谁都能直接出去买一千股 Meta。怎么让更多人参与到一个高信心想法里?所以我们会用 ultra 或者期权之类的工具。
so people know I also own meta too but what we're trying is knowing that not everyone's a seven figure account and not can just go out and buy a thousand shares of Meta. How can more people in a conviction idea? So, we'll we'll use an ultra or an option, etc.
当然,是为了给房间里的所有账户一个能够参与的选择,而当它奏效时,ultra 确实能奏效。所以,Meta 这只股票涨13%,在 Ultra 上就是涨26%。这效果很不错。然后 Meta Connect 大会在9月下旬、23日到24日举行,我们从扎克伯格那里得到了更多关于 Muse 的细节。
记住这里发生了什么,等你准备好,因为我能看出来,不只是 Muse 是什么,还有他们打算用 Muse 配合可穿戴 AI 的各种方式,所有这些都在他们名下,Meta。然后你又买了 Meta。
For sure to give all the accounts in the room an option to be able to participate and when it works, man, the ultra can work. And so, you know, a 13% move on the the stock on Meta is a 26% move in the Ultra.
That works out nicely. Then the Meta Connect conference came in late September 23rd through 24th and we got more details from Zuckerberg on what Muse remember what happened here when you're ready because I can tell and not just what Muse was but also what all the different ways they were going to use Muse with wearable AI and all of these things in their name Meta and then uh so you bought Metu again.
这周也有看涨期权。所以 Meta 已经成为一个焦点,但没错,说说 Connect 之后发生了什么,因为那确实是……
there's also calls that from this week as well. So meta has become a focus but yeah talk about what happened after connect because it was
其实是在 Connect 之前。我喜欢的是,因为我不是小孩,我经历过大约800万场大会,我知道预期会变高。你经常会看到抛售。所以我实际上把这场大会看作大概率买入这只股票的机会。
不是好消息,而是可能随之而来的下跌。如果没有,那也没关系,因为我们 Meta 仓位很轻,或者是平仓,我记不清了。果然,经典的卖消息。对。对。就是那种经典的卖消息,我说这里情况很好。
比如,这是一波大得多的行情的开始。我们要买它。我只是想说,我们确实是围绕事件来规划的。不只是财报。你要知道什么可能成为抛售的催化剂,而不只是上涨。对我们来说,那场大会不是关于炒作、不是“天哪它要涨了”。
而是我们大概率会抛售,这给我们提供了买入机会。我只是想提一下这一点。
well it's actually going into connect. So what I like is since I'm not a kid and I've been around 8 million conferences I know expectations get high. You often see a selloff. So I actually pointed to the conference being the opportunity to probably buy the stock.
Not the good news but the downdraft that might ensue and if not not because we're very light meta or flat I can't remember. Sure enough classic sell the news. Right. Right. There was the classic sell the news that I said things are great here.
Like this is the beginning of a much bigger move. We're going to buy it. And that I I just like to say we really plan around events. It's not just about earnings. You know what's a catalyst for a potential selloff, not just a move higher.
And on that that conference for us wasn't about hype and oh my god it's going to go higher. It's we'll probably sell off and offer us an opportunity to buy. I just wanted to mention that.
是的。所以那场大会从23日开始,你说得对,股价在23日全天都在下跌,到了24日,24日早上,你可以看到你在盘前6:52买入,你说:“这对我来说够了。这是一次不错的回调。我要在这里再次做多。”
你确实这么做了。开盘一小时后,你在 Meta 上减仓,涨了10%。从那以后你在 Meta 上做了很多操作,但它仍然是一个焦点,你整个周末都持有这些看涨期权。所以,你上周五买入,这周一早上卖出。
你买入的价格是8美元多、不到9美元,8.99美元。然后它们在周一早上、上午晚些时候最高触及大约16美元。你可以看到聊天里的截图。对 Meta 的高度关注。感谢 Meta。为房间里的人带来了惊人的布局。
所以再次对你说,围绕 Meta 和 AI 领域的整个故事都变了,它成了 AI 的领涨交易。而且你向房间里的人非常清楚地表明,这就是我们需要继续关注的地方。
Yeah. And so that conference with the it started on the 23rd and you're right the stock went down uh throughout the day on the 23rd and by the 24th, the morning of the 24th, you can see you were buying 6:52 a.m. premarket, you said, "This is enough for me.
It's a good pullback. I'm going to get long here again." And you did. And by an hour after the open, you were trimming up 10% uh on the Metu. You've done a lot with Meta since then, but it's still been a focus that you were long these calls over the weekend.
So, you bought them last Friday, you got out of them this Monday morning. You bought them at8 under $9, $8.99. And um they hit a high of basically $16 Monday morning, later in the morning.
And you can see the screenshots from the chat there. Great focus on MetaDP. Thank you for Meta. Amazing positioning for the room. So again to you, the entire story had changed around Meta and the AI space and it became the AI leading trade.
Um, and you made that very clear to the room that this is where we need to continue to focus.
Meta 毫无疑问是另一个重估故事,对吧。就像之前没人真的相信,花出去的这么多钱会累积成什么有实质内容的东西,能让你指出来说人们真的在用,结果转眼间所有人都在谈论他们用 Muse 做的事,以及它如何真正影响了他们的日常生活,这改变了一切。
Meta is without a doubt another rerating story, right. like no one really had any faith that all this money that was being spent would add up to something that had any meat on the bone that you could point to that people were using and next thing you know everyone was talking about what they were doing with Muse and how it was actually affecting their life dayto day and that changed everything.
好。关于 Meta 还有很多要说的。下周是财报,那将会是……你知道,我稍后会讲到接下来会发生什么,但先预告一下,Meta 的财报要来了,你可以打赌核心圈和 David 会重点关注。
All right. Um and there's a lot to come up with Meta. Next week is earnings and that's going to be um you know I I'll get into that in a bit on on what's coming but just preview there meta earnings are coming up and you can bet the inner circle and David will be focused
这个频道对 $META 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上共 12 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。