$META

META 在当前价位很划算、价格合适:它已失去 Muse 带来的热度,目前处于 200 日均线位置;传闻其将在 3 至 6 个月内(可能更早)通过股权/债务融资 500 亿至 1000 亿美元,加上伯克希尔可能买入可转换债券,或可验证其 AI 支出,不过这仍属传闻。

看涨他说的是几个月内
《PREPARE: The Bailout is Coming.》
Meet Kevin发布 2026-10-23 · 14 段内容
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14 段内容
0:5525:10

昨天,它是七巨头中唯一收涨的,因为其他所有公司预计都不得不一再融资、融资、再融资,包括 Meta。有没有可能他们现在要开始出手,像当初救助 Google 那样救助 Meta?

Yesterday was the only mag 7 to be green because all of the others are expected to have to raise, raise, raise, including Meta. Is it possible that now they're going to start swooping in, bailing out Meta just like they did with Google?

所以围绕“AI 交易是否可持续”有很多担忧,AI 领域正在酝酿什么,这促使 Barons 实际提出,Meta 也许会推出某种与 Berkshire Hathaway 特别合作形式的股权融资交易。

So a lot of concern around hey is the AI trade sustainable? what's cooking in AI and that is leading Barons to actually say maybe Meta is going to come uh out with some form of special partnered equity raise deal with Berkshire Hathaway.

有意思的是,文中谈到 Meta 最终可能会效仿 Google 在优先股上的做法来设计自己的融资。

Now what's interesting is in this they talk about how the Meta could end up modeling their race after what Google did with their preferred.

而 Barren 认为 Meta 实际上可能会效仿这一做法。现在的传闻是,他们要把这一策略用在 Meta 身上。谁知道呢,这只是传闻,但这一点非常有意思。

And Barren thinks that Meta might actually model after this. Now the rumoring is they're going to take this strategy and go for meta. Now who knows it's rumor mill but it's very interesting here.

所以这篇 Barons 文章的前提是:Meta 着眼于为其 AI 资金储备进行一笔早期股权交易,而 Berkshire 可能是买家。

And so the premise of this Barons piece here is Meta eyes an early equity deal for its AI war chest and Birkshire could be a buyer.

所以 Barren 认为 Meta 也可能做同样的事。Meta 的债务目前收益率为 7%,但这又是普通收入。所以这是高税率,而且 Meta 的 CDS 正在上升。

So Meta Barren thinks could do the same thing. Meta's debt right now yields 7% but again that's ordinary income. So you know that's high tax and CDS's for Meta are going up.

事实上,Bloomberg 有一整篇文章,我想现在就在 Bloomberg 头版,讲的是这些 AI 支出大户中一些公司的信用违约互换正在飙升。

People are uh in fact there was a whole Bloomberg piece I think front page of Bloomberg right now is talking about how credit default swaps on some of these AI spenders is skyrocketing.

有分析师告诉 Barren,Meta 可能在未来 3 到 6 个月内寻求 500 亿到 1000 亿美元,形式是股权与债务的组合。

ever analysts told Barren that Meta could seek 50 billion to 100 billion in the next 3 to 6 months in a mix of equity and debt.

JP Morgan 在一份报告中写道,股权交易可能来得更早,而 Meta 股价近期的疲软可能会增加这种紧迫性。

JP Morgan wrote in a note that an equity deal could come even sooner and that recent weakness in Meta shares could add some urgency to that.

Meta 基本上已经放弃了所有围绕 Muse 的热情。所以 Meta 股价现在正好在 200 日均线处。

Meta's basically given up all of their Muse uh uh like enthusiasm. So Meta stock is right here at the 200 DMA.

但不管怎样,Meta 股价以及其它 AI 相关科技股近期的疲软,可能会增加这件事的紧迫性。

But anyway, the recent weakness in meta shares and other AI related tech stock talks could add some urgency to this.

但具体回到那篇 Barons 文章,Berkshire Hathaway 可能介入并买入 Meta 的可转换债券,这确实会向市场发出信号:不仅 Berkshire Hathaway 在审视这些市盈率并认为这是个便宜货,而且他们基本上是在成为这个一直让人紧张的 AI 交易的承销方。

But going back specifically to that Barons piece that this potential for Berkshire Hathaway coming in and buying uh Meta's convertible would really send this signal to markets that hey not only are you know is Berkshire Hathaway looking at these PE ratios and saying there's a steel but they're basically then becoming underwriters in the very AI trade that make that has been making people nervous.

那么,我们回到这篇 Barons 文章一会儿。Meta 及其他 AI 相关股票近期的疲软可能会增加这件事的紧迫性。是的。所以,Meta 又处在 200 日均线,所有关于 Muse 的东西、Muse 带来的兴奋都消失了。

你现在基本上是免费买入 Meta,或者说你现在是免费买入 Muse。以这个估值买入 Meta 股票,我认为这是个便宜货。

So, let's go back to the Barons piece here for a moment. Recent weakness in Meta shares and other AI related shares could add urgency to that. Yeah. So, Meta again being at the 200 DMA, all of the Muse stuff, the Muse excitement gone.

You are basically buying Meta for free now or or you're buying Muse for free now. buying Meta stocks at this value. I I think it is a steal.

但如果 Buffett 参与这笔 Meta 交易——我总是说 Buffett,我们知道现在是 Berkshire 和 Greg Abel 了,但拜托,我们都喜欢 Buffett,我们都怀念 Buffett。

但不管怎样,Meta 最终可能发行 200 亿美元的股权,或 A 类股权与可转换债券的组合,并同意再出售 200 亿无投票权股份,这些股票将在 1 月分配。在 Buffett 治下,Berkshire 长期以来一直避开科技,但十年前投资 Apple、最近投资 Alphabet,表明只要价格合适,它对科技有健康的胃口。

这很有意思。那么,现在的价格对 Meta 来说合适吗?我认为合适。所以,我们拭目以待。但看到 Berkshire 这样做非常令人兴奋。

But if Buffett gets in on this meta deal, and I always say Buffett, we know it's Birkshire and Greg Ael now, but come on, you know, we all like Buffett and we all miss Buffett.

But anyway, uh Meta could end up issuing $20 billion of equity or a mix of class A equity and convertibles and agree to sell another 20 of non voting and uh that the stock is being that's being distributed in January.

Bergkshire has stayed clear of tech for a long time under Buffett, but a decade ago with Apple and more recently with Alphabet, it has shown a healthy appetite for tech when the price is right.

That's interesting. So, is the price is the price right now for Meta? Me thinks so. So, we shall see. But that's very exciting to see this from Bergkshire.

观察点

META 是否宣布传闻中的股权/债务融资,或 Berkshire 的可转换投资
宣布 Berkshire 的可转换投资,或 500 亿至 1000 亿的融资
未来 3 至 6 个月META 的融资公告
支持看涨观点

这个频道对 $META 的历次判断

Meet Kevin 在这只股票上共 24 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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