$META · Joseph Carlson After Hours · 2026-11-02
Meta 被显著低估，公允价值接近 850 美元，约有 40% 的上行空间。快速增长、Muse 的采用和强大的管理层提供支撑；尽管投资者担忧，资本开支和服务器农场支出让 Meta 更强。鉴于其增长快于几乎所有大型科技公司，850 美元对应约 26–26.5 倍远期市盈率是合理的。
逐段跳播
现在我们来看Meta。目前，MetaTrader的持仓价值为167,000美元，亏损约18,000美元，处于亏损区。这只股票的走势是：我买入了这家公司的股票。股价深跌进入亏损区，亏损40,000美元。
然后随着“Muse”的推出，股价跳涨，达到约20,000美元的盈利，所以我当时有相当不错的盈利。而现在，我又回到了亏损区，亏损金额也相当可观。所以，这家公司在盈利区和亏损区之间来回摆动，现在处于亏损区。
Now, we move on to Meta. Currently, MetaTrader's position is valued at $167,000, and it is in the red zone (loss) by approximately $18,000. The way this stock worked was that I bought shares in the company.
The stock fell deep into the red zone, with a loss of $40,000. Then the stock jumped with the launch of "Muse" to reach a profit of about $20,000, so I was in the green zone with a good amount.
And now, I've returned to the red zone with a good amount of money as well. So , this company is swinging from the green zone to the red zone, and it is now in the red zone .
但与此同时，我所看到的只是一家一天比一天更强的公司。Meta增长非常迅速。他们的新代理工具“Muse”正在被广泛采用。我喜欢管理层和所做的决策。我真的很喜欢这家公司。我认为它有很好的未来。
投资者应该相信，得益于其创新的新产品以及平台的发展方式，Meta拥有非常强劲的未来。
But at the same time, all I've seen is a company that's getting stronger day by day. Meta grows very rapidly. Their new proxy tool , "Muse," is gaining widespread adoption. I like the management and the decisions made.
I really like this company. I think she has a great future. Investors should believe that Meta has a very strong future thanks to the new products it innovates and how it develops its platform.
我今天对Meta的目标价或公允价值估计约为850美元，这意味着大约40%的上涨空间。因此，我认为这只股票今天有显著的上涨潜力。我认为，基于Meta自身的优势以及它未来十年将产生的现金流，Meta被低估了。它是世界上最大的现金流创造者之一。
My price target or fair value estimate for Meta is around $850 today, which represents an upside of approximately 40%. Therefore, I believe there is significant upside potential for this stock today.
I believe that Meta is undervalued based on its own strengths, as well as the cash flows it will generate over the next ten years. This is one of the world's largest cash flow generators .
投资者非常担心公司花在短期投资、资本支出和建设服务器农场上的现金，但所有这些都让Meta更强大，并为未来占据更有利的位置。而Mark Zuckerberg准备承受一段时期的痛苦，以换来另一头一个更大、更强的公司。
Investors are very concerned about the cash the company is spending on short-term investments, capital expenditures and building server farms, but all of this makes Meta stronger and better positioned for the future.
And Mark Zuckerberg is prepared to endure a period of pain to get a bigger and stronger company on the other side.
所以，在850美元的水平上，我认为这是我投资组合中另一只被显著低估的股票。我不投入更多资金的原因，正如我所说，是因为它已经代表了一个很大的核心持仓。它已经占了超过11%的加权仓位。我不想继续加仓到高度集中的核心持仓中。
So, at the $850 level, I think this is another significantly undervalued stock in my portfolio. The reason I'm not putting more money into it is, as I said, because it already represents a large center.
It already represents a weighted position of over 11%. I do n't want to continue adding more to highly concentrated centers.
现在，即使Meta达到850美元，远期市盈率也大约在26倍、26.5倍，这并非疯狂的估值。这仅仅意味着Meta被评为一家好公司，一家真正拥有光明未来的公司。投资者重新对这个故事有了信心。
因此，这些并非夸张的强劲上涨趋势。我认为，基于Meta惊人的增长，其股价在二十多倍的市盈率交易实际上是合理的。它的增长速度几乎超过了所有大型科技公司。
Now, even with Meta reaching $850, that would make the forward price-to-earnings ratio around 26, 26.5, which is not a crazy valuation. It simply means that Meta is being rated as a good company, a company that really has a bright future.
Investors have regained faith in the story. Therefore, these are not exaggeratedly strong upward trends . I think it actually makes sense that Meta's stock is trading in the mid-twenties based on its incredible growth.
It was growing faster than almost all the major technology companies.
这个频道对 $META 的历次判断
Joseph Carlson After Hours 在这只股票上共 9 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。