MRK 正扭转一个半月的下跌趋势，并在自约 157 回落之后突破下降通道；RSI 动能转向上行，长期牛旗形态指向约 170，下月可能突破至 165-170 的新历史高点。并非必然；风险仍存；财报即将公布。
逐段跳播
Merck是你的首选，而且今天确实跑赢了大盘。它的股价上涨了2%。他们本月底将发布财报。这里我对Merck印象深刻，因为它已经开始扭转过去一个半月左右所处的下跌趋势。看起来我们今天可能正在突破那个下行通道，听听Ben的看法会很有意思，但我认为，既然该公司已经找到了一些稳定性，现在有可能看到更高的价格走势。
Merck is your first choice and truly outperforms the market today. Its stock is up by 2%. They have an earnings announcement due at the end of this month. I am impressed with " Merck" here because it has started to reverse the downward trend it has been in for the past month and a half or so .
It looks like we may be breaking out of that down channel today, and it will be interesting to hear Ben's opinion , but I think there is a possibility of seeing higher price action now that the company has found some stability.
你会看到，Merck一直是医疗保健板块有史以来表现最强劲的公司之一。你可能注意到年中有一些横盘走势，但自7月和8月的财报期以来，我们已经看到了非常强劲上涨的背景。随后，从157附近的一些前期高点出现了小幅回调。
Dan所描述的那个下行通道，我们今天早上正看到它被小幅突破，因为那些一直关注自己集中技术性头寸下跌的投资者，开始在货架上以及自己的投资组合中寻找一些Merck产品。
you'll see that Merck has been one of the strongest performers in the healthcare sector ever. You may notice some sideways movements in the middle of the year, but we have now seen the backdrop of a very strong rally since the July and August earnings period.
Then there was a slight pullback from some of these earlier highs around the 157 area or so. The descending channel that Dan described, we are now seeing a slight breakout of this morning, as investors who have been monitoring the decline in their concentrated technical positions look for some Merck products here on the shelves as well as in their investment portfolios.
你会看到这次突破卡塔尔阻力位。强化这一点的是动能的转变。你会看到，我们经常使用的动能指标相对强弱指数（RSI）此前一直随价格下跌，现在正在突破这条对角下行趋势线。这表明动能可能正在发生转变。也许这里存在一些力量。
You see this breakout above the Qatari resistance level. What reinforces this is this shift in momentum. You see that the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is the momentum indicator we often use, has been falling with the price, and is now breaking the diagonal downtrend line.
This suggests that there may be a shift in momentum. Perhaps there is some power here.
它看起来有意思得多，因为你有一个长期“牛旗”反弹的视角，从测算角度看，这会把价格推到170附近。当然，这并不能保证。这只是技术分析在这里可能给出的提示，Marley。
it looks much more interesting because you have a perspective of a long-term "bull flag" bounce, which, from a measurement perspective, would push the price to around the 170 mark.
Of course, this is not a guarantee. That's just what technical analysis might suggest here, Marley.
是的，我认为，如你所知，在它这里重新找回平衡的同时，对我来说，思考这个交易示例的过程就是在识别风险的同时，仍然提供捕捉这轮下跌延续到Ben所提到那个区域的能力。所以，今天交易的一个示例是买入11月150-165的看涨价差。
你可以以大约5.35美元买入。这个交易示例的风险回报比是2比1，但再次强调，它允许走势延续，并可能突破至下个月达到165-170水平的新高。它也包括财报的公布，而这个交易示例的最后一部分就是识别下跌情况下的风险。
Yes, I think, as you know , while it's regaining its balance here, for me, the process of thinking about the trading example was to identify the risks while still providing the ability to capture the continuation of this move down to that area that Ben referred to.
So, an example of today's trading is buying a call spread for November 150-165. You can buy it for about $5.35. The risk-to- reward ratio in this trading example is two to one, but again it allows for a continuation and a possible breakout to new record highs reaching the 165-170 level next month.
It also includes the announcement of earnings, and the final part of this trading example is identifying risks in case of a decline.
这个频道对 $MRK 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。