$MRNA

MRNA是一个看多但二元化的押注:他有敞口,在135至145附近买入,并对10月24日3期癌症疗法数据更新、AI带来的成本与时间改善以及可能扩展到其他癌症感到兴奋;BofA的目标价为220,但它承担单一试验风险,周六一份糟糕的报告就可能把它打回地板。

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Meet KevinBank of America发布 2026-10-20 · 12 段内容
1:54:26/ —打开原视频

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12 段内容
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我的意思是,Q's 撑住了。看看那波反弹。那是 VWAP 反弹吗?嗯哼。对。完美的 VWAP。

I mean, the Q's are holding. Look at that bounce. Was that a VWAP bounce? Uh-huh. Yeah. Perfect VWAP.

我们这里会提到的一些股票将是 Tempest AI、Mona 和 Eli Liy。现在,我想说清楚,这三家里,我持有其中两家的敞口。

Some of the stocks we'll touch on here are going to be Tempest AI, Mona, and Eli Liy. Now, I want to be clear out of these three, I've got exposure to two of them.

首先要了解的是,Merna 这个周六有一场会议。那将是一场演示。他们特意选在市场休市的时候进行。演示将在10月24日举行。这是最近的催化剂,也是关于其癌症疗法3期数据的最新进展,该疗法是 mona 与 merks 合作开发的 keduda 癌症疗法或免疫疗法药物,用于对抗4期黑色素瘤并降低全身转移扩散的风险。

So the first thing to know is that Merna has a meeting coming up this Saturday. Uh it is going to be a presentation. They purposefully do it when the market is closed. Is going to be a presentation on October 24th.

It's the nearest catalyst and it is an update on phase 3 data for their cancer therapy which is the partnership between uh mona and merks keduda cancer therapy or amunotherapy drug uh in fighting stage 4 melanoma and minimizing the risk of spread throughout your body metastasis.

Monna 是做什么的?Mona 基本上是说:“嘿,我们来看看某人的癌症。所以,我们要取一个癌症的硬细胞,然后手术切除其中一部分。我们要做一个活检。所以,我们要对癌细胞做一个活检。

然后我们要做的是,我们要对那个进行基因组测序。哦天哪。我们要对那个进行基因组测序,你知道,这是一条非常长的基因数据链。想想那些T、A和C。还记得生物课上的日子吗?我们要尝试做的是,我们要尝试找到那个癌细胞中,有哪些基因组片段我们可以作为消除的靶点,这显然意味着我们不想靶向那些如果靶向了就会杀死你的基因组部分。

废话,那是个问题。我们要靶向那个癌细胞独有的基因组部分。问题是癌细胞一直在突变。它们总是在变化。所以这个底层基因组变化很大。所以我们要做的是,我们要靶向32个不同的片段。如果其中任何一个片段存活下来,我们仍然可以靶向那个癌细胞。

我们要做的是,通过注射将这些小片段引入你体内,大概在12个月的周期内注射七次。我们要训练你的身体。我们不会深入探讨确切的科学原理,因为这会变得有点深,涉及蛋白质折叠和预测你的淋巴结中最终会发生什么。

基本上,CAR 我,小载体。好吧,小载体会在这32个片段上接受训练,它们会把这32个小片段附着在自己的外部。它们会把它带到你的淋巴系统。然后它们会说,你知道,看到我们这里所有这些小刺突了吗?

杀死那些。杀死我们携带的这些小小蛋白质。识别并杀死那些。然后你的淋巴系统会说:“我们不喜欢那样。我们要——我怎么才能做出愤怒的表情?好了。愤怒脸。我们要去追击那些小刺突。”好吗?

但这些小刺突真的很难识别。这就是 AI 介入的地方,因为这些东西可以走遍你的全身,去识别这些刺突在哪里,并追踪并杀死那个癌细胞,阻止它转移到你身体的其他部位。对吧?整个想法是,即使那个癌细胞在突变或进化,只要我们还剩下其中一个片段,我们仍然可以识别它。

就是这个想法。问题是,以前做这个识别过程需要大约60天,你只能得到两个,也许两个片段。好吧,这已经被 AI 改变了。AI 现在进来说,我们可以在大约两周内完成很多这样的工作,我们可以得到32个预测片段,我们实际上认为这些片段会 a 杀死癌症,b 不杀死你。

这两件事都有点重要,对吧?所以 AI 正在加速这个过程的时间。

What does Monna do? Mona basically says, "Hey, let's go ahead and look at somebody's cancer. So, we're going to take a hard cell of uh cancer and we're going to surgically remove a portion of it.

We're going to take a biopsy. So, we're going to take a biopsy of, you know, cancer cell. And then what we're going to do is we're going to genomically se Oh jeez. We're going to genomically sequence that, which is, you know, a very long chain of genetic data.

Think about the T's and the A's and the C's. Remember back in bio days, right? What we're going to try to do is we're going to try to find of that cancer cell, where are there slices of that genome that we can target for elimination, which obviously means we do not want to target parts of that genome that if we targeted would kill you.

Duh, that's a problem. We want to target parts of that genome that are unique to that cancer cell. The problem is cancer cells mutate all the time. They're always changing. So this underlying genome changes a lot.

So what we're going to do is we're going to target 32 different slices. And if any single one of those slices survives, we can still target that cancer cell. What we're going to do is we're going to introduce uh these little slices via injection into you probably seven times over a 12 month cycle.

And we're going to train your body. We won't get into the exact science of it because it gets it gets a little deep with with protein folding and prediction what ends up happening in your lymph nodes.

Basically car me little carriers. Okay, little carriers are going to get trained on these 32 slices and they're going to take these little 32 slices and they're going to attach them to their outside.

They're going to bring it on over to your lymphatic system. Uh, and they're going to say, you know, see all these little spikes we got here? Kill those. Kill these little proteins we're carrying.

Identify and kill those. And then your lymphatic system is going to say, "We don't like that. We are going to how can how can I make an angry face? There we go. Angry face. We're going to go after those little spikies."

Okay? But these spikies are really hard to identify. And this is where AI gets in because these guys can go throughout your whole body and go identify where these are and go track down and kill that cancer cell from metastasizing through the rest of your body.

Right? And the whole idea is that even if that cancer cell is mutating or evolving, as long as we have one of those slices left over, we could still identify it. That's the idea.

The problem is it used to take to do this identification process. It used to take somewhere around 60 days and you would get two of them, maybe two slices. Okay, that has been transformed with AI.

AI now comes in and says we can do a lot of this in about two weeks and we could get 32 predicted slices that we actually think will a kill the cancer and b not kill you. Both of those things kind of important, right? So AI is speeding up the time to doing this.

而这个周六24号即将举行的会议,预计将提供更多关于这次3期癌症数据读出有多成功以及疗法进展如何的信息。显然,你知道,这也可能是坏消息,但鉴于这是周六的演示,很多人乐观地认为他们会呈现一场相当不错的展示。

Uh and this meeting coming up on the 24th on Saturday is expected to provide a lot more information on how successful this phase three cancer readout is going and how the therapies are going.

Obviously, you know, it could also be bad, but given that it's a presentation on Saturday, a lot of people are optimistic that they're going to put on a pretty good show.

而我个人持有 Monoto 的仓位。我对此非常兴奋。我们并没有在3期这个新闻之前买入。我们实际上等到最初的势头消退了一些,然后大约在这个位置,135到145区间买入的。

Uh and I personally am exposed to Monoto. I'm very excited about it. uh we we didn't buy it before uh this uh this news on the phase three. We actually waited for some of the initial momentum to die and we bought it right around here around the 135 to 145 area.

所以我对 Mona 非常兴奋,因为 AI 如何更快速地让更多患者能够利用这一点,降低其成本。这是长期目标。最终希望是这类疗法能够扩展到其他癌症,不仅仅是黑色素瘤或其他硬组织癌症,而是广泛地扩展到其他癌症,因为同样的治疗可能已经对肺癌有效,或者在有实际肿块的地方,甚至可能是乳腺癌,但能看到它扩展到甚至其他类型的癌症,比如血液癌症、白血病类的,那就太好了,对吧?

And so I'm very excited about Mona because of how AI is more rapidly enabling more patients to be able to utilize this reducing the cost of this. That's the long-term goal. uh and ultimately the hope is that these sort of therapies could then be expanded to other cancers as well, not just melanoma or other sort of hard tissue cancers, but broadly others because this same treatment could already work in lung cancers or where you have actual lumps uh maybe even breast cancers but uh but it'd be nice to see this spread to even other types of cancers like uh blood cancers, leukemia style, right?

总之,Mona 是这个领域的一个特殊标的。这只股票非常依赖一种疗法在走高。我的意思是他们也做其他事情,但这只是一个例子,说明 AI 如何增强这些医疗保健标的。然而,这里有很多单一试验风险。

Anyh who, Mona is a special play uh in this space. It's very much this stock is very much riding high on one treatment. I mean they do others but it's just an example of how AI it can enhance these healthc care plays.

However, you have a lot of single uh trial risk here.

所以,这就是我对医疗保健如何影响 AI 的大致看法,以及我本周末会关注的一些事情,尤其是 Mona 的那场演示。所以,我对此相当兴奋。

So, that's sort of my take on uh how healthc care is affecting AI and and and some of the things that I'll be looking at this weekend especially with that presentation uh from Mona. So, I'm pretty excited about that.

美国银行的目标价现在上调至220,对 Mona 而言,提醒一下,Mona 现在是一家市值7093亿美元的公司。

uh price target for Bank of America now up at 220 uh for Mona and uh mind you Mona's what a 709 $93 billion market cap company right now.

所以在新冠疫情之后,这确实是他们在疫情后维持收入的来源,他们的增长前景真的暴跌了,变成了一家只是在榨取新冠 mRNA 疫苗的业务,直到这个人们称之为3期癌症疫苗的东西出现之前,他们并没有真正的增长垂直领域。它实际上是一种疗法。

So after COVID and that's really what's been sustaining their income after COVID their their growth prospects really plummeted and it turned into this business that was just milking the COVID mRNA uh vaccine and they haven't really had a growth vertical until this phase three cancer vax people are calling it. It's really a therapy.

但我个人对此非常非常兴奋。当你把股票图表拉远来看,它显示了这家公司曾经有过的病毒式传播力,现在没有了,但有可能回来。当然,除非他们周六的报告很糟糕,那它就会直接跌回地板。

Uh but uh but I'm personally very very excited about it. uh and when when you sort of zoom out on the stock chart, it shows you the virality that this company used to have that doesn't have anymore, but there's a potential it could come back.

Unless of course they have a bad report on Saturday, then it just goes right back down to the floor.

观察点

10月24日3期癌症治疗数据演示
正面的3期更新,而非糟糕的报告
10月24日星期六10月24日演示
正面更新支持看涨观点;糟糕的报告可能使股价跌回底部

这个频道对 $MRNA 的历次判断

Meet Kevin 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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