MU 是一只强劲的长期 AI 股票,营收增长迅速、技术指标高企,适合通过备兑看涨期权获取收益。
逐段跳播
美光昨晚公布了业绩,今天它出现在我的检查器里,也就是我 Cashflow IQ 软件中由 AI 驱动的检查器。
Micron announced its results last night, and today they appeared in my checker, the AI-powered checker in my Cashflow IQ software.
然后我看到了美光的股票。“美光”向我展示了所谓的均衡点。这是我们称之为均衡点的策略,因为它是平衡的。它正好处在执行价上。相比在执行价之外或之内,你在执行价上能获得最大的回报。
and then I see Micron stock. "Micron" shows me what is called the equilibrium point. This is a strategy we call the equilibrium point because it is balanced. It is exactly at the execution price.
You get the greatest return at the execution price compared to whether you are outside or inside it.
所以,在我当前的交易计划中,这很方便,因为我可以在黄色市场中入场某个标的,而他们昨晚取得了惊人的业绩。因此,我非常有信心,他们是 AI 业务的重要组成部分,短期内不会消失。从长期来看,这对我非常重要。
So, in my current trading plan, it's convenient because I can get into something in a yellow market, and they achieved amazing results last night. Therefore, I feel very confident that they are a big part of the AI business and they are not going anywhere anytime soon . This is very important to me in the long term.
我不确定自己是否会做这笔交易。我把它称为你可以开始做研究的东西,而这就是我做日常功课的方式。那么,看看我程序里的“美光”。让我把屏幕稍微放大一点。它说:卖出 10 月 7 日的期权。
那么,10 月 7 日的买入期权在 1040。这正好在行权价附近,权利金就是那里的那个价格。回报大约是那个数额。回报就是收益。
I'm not sure whether I'm going to make this deal or not. I'm referring to it as something you can start doing your research about, and that's how I do my routine. So, take a look at " Micron" in my program.
Let me enlarge the screen a little. He says: Sell the October 7th option . So, the buy option for October 7th is at 1040. That's right around the strike price, and the premium is that price there.
The return is approximately that amount . Return is income.
情况继续,它说:“这是每周回报。”这是我将获得的收益金额,我稍后会向你解释。这是年度数字,它放在那里只是为了让你能比较不同的期权,确保它们处在同一水平的回报比较上,但它肯定不是一个确定的数字。
它只是给你一种指标。如果在这个周期内被行权,而它超过了你的执行价,你可能会选择让它被行权。这就是那里显示出来的金额。
Things continue here and she says: "This is the weekly return." This is the amount of income I will receive, and I will explain it to you in a moment. This is the annual figure and it is only there so that you can compare different options and make sure that they are on the same level of return comparison, but it is certainly not a definitive figure.
It only gives you a sort of indicator. If it is called in this session, you may want to choose to let it be called if it exceeds your execution price. This is the amount that appears there.
然后它告诉你,在我的股票择时系统里箭头是绿色的。这是一只优秀的股票,意味着它具备历史上那些伟大股票的所有特征,比如 Apple、Dell、Intel、Amazon、Microsoft,以及你知道的那些伟大股票。
Then it tells you that the arrow is green in my stock timing system . It is an excellent stock, meaning it has all the hallmarks of great stocks throughout the ages such as Apple, Dell, Intel, Amazon, Microsoft, and all those great stocks you know.
这家公司的净资产收益率是 92%。未平仓合约数是 51,它会告诉你把止损放在哪里,对吧?我们这里内置了 7% 的止损,这表明它大约在 969 的水平。
The return on equity for this company is 92%. The open interest is 51 and it tells you where to place the stop loss , right? We have a built-in stop loss here at 7%, which indicates that it is at approximately the 969 level.
因此,你必须非常小心,确保不亏钱,因为备兑期权交易很棘手。你从收益率中赚钱,但如果股票开始跌得太多,你其实并不想待在那笔交易里。
Therefore, you have to be very careful to make sure you do n't lose money because covered option trades are tricky. You make money from the yield, but if the stock starts to fall too much, you really don't want to be in that trade.
接下来我要做的是把它拖进我的形态识别工具,然后在这里放大。我这里有一个叫形态识别的界面,它帮助你识别形态,让这件事变得非常容易。我们现在处在一个杯形形态中,这是一个新的基底,意味着它正试图回到 1254 的水平。
所以,我们目前略低于那个水平。如你所知,这只股票仍然相当强势。我们正处在游戏的开始阶段,这意味着你现在不必做决定。你有时间做研究,因为市场处于期待状态(黄色)。但是,如果我此刻在考虑做这件事,这就是我在看的东西。
所以,你看到箭头位于所有主要移动均线之上,200 日、50 日和 21 日。它构成了这个杯形的右侧。那么,它会在这里形成一个小柄吗?也许吧,我不知道。
The next thing I'll do is drag it into my pattern recognition tool and I'll enlarge it here. I have a screen here called Pattern Recognition, which helps you identify patterns and makes it really easy.
We are now in a cup pattern, which is a new base, meaning it is trying to return to the 1254 level. So, we are currently a little below that . As you know, the stock is still fairly strong .
We are at the beginning of the game, which means you don't have to make a decision now. You have time to do your research because the market is in a state of anticipation ( yellow color).
But, if I were thinking about doing that now, this is the kind of thing I'm looking at. So, you see the arrow above all the major moving averages, the 200, the 50, and the 21. It forms the right side of this cup.
Now, will he make a small handle here? Maybe, I don't know.
我们来看看这只股票的基本面。如你所见,销售额从去年的 370 亿增长到今年的 1330 亿,然后到 2660 亿,几乎翻了一倍。然后……然后……3100 亿。这家公司极其出色。
它增长得飞快。而且,如你所知,他们专攻与半导体相关的东西,这是当前市场上最热门的领域。
Let's take a look at the basics of this stock. As you can see, sales have increased from 37 billion last year to 133 billion this year, and then to 266 billion, which is almost double.
And um...and then...310. This company is extremely brilliant. It's growing like crazy. And umm ... as you know, they specialize in things related to semiconductors, which is the most popular field in the market right now .
这只特定股票的 Guinness 强度评级是 98,意味着它跑赢了大多数其他股票 98%,尤其是配合我们纳入的绿色指标。因此,这是我们自己的指标,向你展示这只股票有多强。所以,你要投资强势的股票。
你要根据强度来买卖。你不希望在股票处于“抛售”状态时买入。你也不希望在股票处于“折价”状态时卖出。你要在它达到大幅折价水平之前卖出。嗯……总之,我们正在研究它,如你所见,它看起来非常好。
This particular stock has a Guinness strength rating of 98, meaning it outperforms most other stocks by 98%, especially with the green indicators we have included. Therefore, it is our own indicator that shows you how strong the stock is.
So, you want to invest in a strong stock. You want to buy and sell based on power. You don't want to buy when the stock is in a " sales" state. And you don't want to sell when the stock is in a " discount" state.
You want to sell before it reaches the large discount levels. Um... anyway, we're looking into it , and as you can see, it looks very good.
现在,我想做点别的。我要对期权做一次分析。那么,我把价格设在 1040。哦,那是我那里的价格,1055。我把价格设在 1055.62。这是当前的市场价格。它替我完成所有计算。所以,它告诉我们这个期权持续 6 天,而我将以 1040 卖出合约。
我可能会把价格略微提高到 1055,这正好是当前的市场价格。当我这么做时,你可以看到出现的数字。这是我将获得的回报金额。我正在考虑交易 600 股。如果你能算出年化回报,所有这些数字对比较都会有用。
它向你解释这些数字是什么,以及潜在亏损,因为万一这只股票完全退出市场,知道这个数字非常重要。
Now, I want to do something else. I will conduct an analysis of the options. So, I'll set the price at 1040. Oh, that 's my price there, 1055. I'll set the price at 1055.62. This is the current market price.
He does all the calculations on my behalf. So, it tells us that the option lasts for 6 days , and I will sell contracts at 1040. I might raise the price slightly to 1055, which is right at the current market price .
And when I do that, you can see the numbers that appear. This is the amount of return I will receive. I am considering trading on 600 shares. If you can calculate the annual return, all these figures will be useful for comparison.
It explains to you what these numbers are and the potential loss, because knowing this number is very important in case the stock leaves the market completely .
现在,我不认为美光会退出市场,但一切皆有可能。但如果那没有发生,股票保持在 1055 或更高的行权价,也就是它当前的水平,那么这就是这笔交易的最大利润。这就是我的看法,它让我非常清楚地了解它的情况。
Now, I don't think Micron will go out of the market, but anything is possible. But if that doesn't happen and the stock remains at the strike price of 1055 or higher, which is its current level, then that is the maximum profit for this trade.
That's how I see it , and it gives me a very good idea of what's going on with it .
这个频道对 $MU 的历次判断
Cash Flow Machine | Mark Yegge | Wealth Architect 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。