MU目前处于回调阶段；当前不宜买入，应等待回升／更高低点以改善风险回报后再入场。
逐段跳播
我们当然看到了 Micron 的财报公布，情况完全如我所料；该指数回落至我们此前谈到的关键关注位置，这个……它在低点及其 20 日移动平均线处充当了枢轴点。我们在财报后的交易时段测试了这一点，买方通过突破日成交量加权平均价（VWAP）重新占据主导。
这正是我在周四晚间为 Alpha Trends 订阅者所准备的：我希望看到价格回落至这一 VWAP 位置，而它现在就在那里。当然，我们不想在下跌时买入；我们想等价格在下跌后回升。
所以，如果我们看这一点，比如在 5 分钟或 10 分钟时间框架上，无需深入细节，但这基本上就是财报位置，即枢轴点。周一我们可能会看到价格略微跌破该位置，这可能会引发一些疑虑，而这是周五的 VWAP 位置。
因此，我们希望看到的是价格在这两个位置之间收敛并波动，然后突破。目前，我认为仍然有必要在周四低点下方设置止损单，但那个位置仍然很远。这就是为什么我现在还没有买入这只股票，因为它仍处于回调阶段。
如果我们看到类似的情况并积极入场，在這一位置下方设置止损单可能更为合适。这就是为什么我希望周一早盘出现回调，从而形成一个更高的低点，作为止损区域，而不是跌至这一位置。这反过来又创造了更好的风险回报平衡，因为我们不是在冒那全部额外亏损的风险，而只是冒止损设在这一位置下方时所冒风险的三分之一。
这就是为什么我们在等待这种紧凑局面的出现，并耐心观察其如何发展。
We saw, of course, Micron's earnings announcement, and things went exactly as I expected; the index dropped back to the key attention level we talked about earlier, which... It served as a pivot point at its low and its 20-day moving average.
We tested that during the post-earnings trading session, buyers regained control by breaking above the daily volume-weighted average price (VWAP). This is what I had prepared for Alpha Trends subscribers on Thursday evening: I wanted to see the price pull back to this VWAP level, and it is now there.
Of course, we don't want to buy on the dip; we want to wait for the price to recover after the dip. So, if we look at this, for example, on a 5-minute timeframe or a 10-minute timeframe, there's no need to get into the specifics, but this is essentially the earnings level, the pivot point.
We might see a slight dip below it on Monday, which could raise some doubts, and this was Friday's VWAP level. So, what we would like to see is for the price to converge and fluctuate between these two levels and then break out.
Currently, I think it's still necessary to place a stop-loss order below Thursday's low, but that level is still far away. That's why I haven't Buy the stock now, as it's still in a pullback phase.
If we see a similar situation and enter the market aggressively, it might be more appropriate to place a stop-loss order below this level. That's why I'm hoping for a pullback on Monday morning, which would create a higher low that could serve as a stop-loss zone, rather than a drop to this level.
This, in turn, creates a better risk-reward balance, as we're not risking all of that extra loss, but only a third of what we would risk if the stop-loss were below this level.
That's why we're waiting for this tight situation to emerge and being patient to see how it develops.
这个频道对 $MU 的历次判断
Brian Shannon 在这只股票上共 6 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。