美光今年夏天公布财报时见顶，并已跌破关键支撑位；预计会在730-740出现反弹，随后进一步走低，较长期目标为2027年初/中期达到460。在460之前，我不会以波段交易或长期投资的方式介入。
逐段跳播
我认为这波 AI 行情已经见顶了。它是在今年夏天 Micron 公布财报时见顶的。我还记得当时我在 Micron 上亏得很惨。大家都说，Gareth，你疯了，市盈率这么低。可它就是在公布财报、跳空高开之后见顶的，随后就真的崩了。
这就是你的旗形。看看你的旗形形态。这就是经典的技术分析。下跌走势。这是你的旗形。这就是你的破位。今天报 872。第一个反弹位大概就在 730 到 740 附近。这是一个缺口回补的枢轴低点。
但话说回来，我预计，还是会先跌到这里，好好反弹一下，然后最终跌破更低的位置。我的长期趋势线，你可以翻回 3 到 6 个月前的视频。我说过我们会回到 460。我猜 Micron 大概率会在 2027 年初，也许 2027 年中期，走到那个位置。
好了。那么，这一路上会不会有很好的波段交易机会？当然有。但在它回撤到 460、回到案发现场之前，我不会碰它做波段交易，或者说长期投资。
I think this AI trade has already topped out. It topped out this summer when Micron reported earnings. And I still remember being perished on Micron then. Um, and everyone was like, Gareth, you're insane.
The PE ratio is so low. This is when it topped out when they reported earnings, gapped up, and it literally collapsed after that. There's your bare flag. Look at your bare flag formation.
Classic TA right here. Down move. Here's your bare flag. And there's your breakdown. trading at 872 today. First bounce level will be right around 730 to 740. This is a gap fill pivot low.
But again, I would expect again, you know, go down here, good bounce and then eventually breaks even lower. My longerterm trend line, you can go back to videos from 3 to 6 months ago.
I said we're headed back to 460. That will be my guess where we go on Micron probably by early 2027, maybe mid 2027. All right. Now, again, will there be great swing trading opportunities along the way?
Heck yeah. But I will not go near this thing for a swing trade or a long-term investment, I should say, at least until 460 when it retraces to the scene of the crime.
这里我们看到的是 Micron。Micron 几天前跌破了关键支撑位。它持续下跌。830 附近会有一点支撑。我会把 740 这个枢轴低点作为关键支撑位来观察。
Here we have U Micron. Micron broke broke key support a couple days ago. It's continued to decline. There'll be a little bit of support around 830. I'm going to watch this pivot low at at 740 as the key level of support.
这个频道对 $MU 的历次判断
Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 10 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。