NBIS是同业中的佼佼者:与微软/Meta的合同如今允许以更高价格进行兆瓦级租赁,并改善利润率;本财年收入应从13亿美元增至逾33亿美元,下一财年接近122亿美元。以几乎没有收入来看,它显得极其昂贵,但过度支出的担忧被夸大了。
逐段跳播
但我仍然认为它是一家高质量的公司。这是我长期关注的一只股票。我持有它的股份,这家公司就是“Nebius”。我知道人们会说什么,“哦,这风险很高。”不是吗?因为它属于新型云(neo cloud)领域。
尽管 Nebius 本身并不把自己看作一家新型云公司。相反,他们把自己看作一家人工智能云或下一代超大规模计算公司。
But I still consider it a high-quality company. It's a name I've been following for a long time. I own shares in it, and it is the company " Nebius". I know what people will say, "Oh, it's high risk."
Isn't that so? Because it is in the field of the new cloud (neo cloud). Although Nebius itself does not see itself as a new cloud company . Rather, they see it as an artificial intelligence cloud or a next-generation ultra-large-scale computing company.
所以,当然,由于 Nebius 处于完全相同的板块,它也受到了对人工智能过度支出及其投资回报担忧的冲击。其次,所有这些公司仍然需要大幅增长,但它们已经借了很多债,尽管 CoreWave 的债务比 Nebius 大得多。
So, of course, since Nebius is in the exact same sector, it too has been hurt by concerns about overspending on artificial intelligence and what the return on investment is. Secondly, all of these companies still need to grow significantly, but they have already borrowed a lot of debt, although CoreWave's debt is much larger than Nebius'.
在我看来,Nebius 在其所做的事情上仍然是同类中最好的。
In my opinion, Nebeus is still the best in its class at what it does.
给不了解的人说一下,Nebius 的工程和管理团队就是之前负责 Yandex 的那批人,Yandex 在退出前被称为俄罗斯的谷歌,他们在两年前创立了这家公司,总部位于阿姆斯特丹。
For those who do n't know, the engineering and management team at Nebius is the same one that was previously in charge of Yandex, which was known as the Google of Russia before its exit, and they founded this company two years ago and are based in Amsterdam.
因此,他们在欧洲有庞大的业务布局,在我看来这是他们非常大的一个优势。但他们在美国和中东也有很大的敞口,而且我认为有传言说他们还会在亚洲进一步扩张。
Therefore, they have a huge presence in Europe, which in my opinion is a very big advantage for them. But they also have a large exposure in the United States and the Middle East, and I think there are rumors that they will grow even more in Asia.
但Nebius目前从账面上看显得极其昂贵。这家公司为什么估值接近500亿美元,而它目前几乎不产生任何收入,这是真的吗?
But Nebius, at the moment, looks extremely expensive on paper. Why is this company valued at nearly $50 billion , while it barely generates any revenue at present, which is true?
他们的收入将从过去十二个月的13亿美元,增长到本财年末的超过33亿美元,然后在下一财年增长到接近122亿美元,不过我认为那个数字可能会高得多,到2028财年一路超过230亿美元。
They will rise from revenues of $1.3 billion in the past twelve months to more than $3.3 billion by the end of this fiscal year, and then to nearly $12.2 billion in the next fiscal year, although I think that number could be much higher , all the way to more than $23 billion in fiscal year 2028.
Nebius做了一件非常聪明的事,一件他们的许多竞争对手没有做的事,那就是与Microsoft和Meta签下了大合同。
Nebius did something very smart, something that many of their competitors did not do, which was to sign big contracts with Microsoft and Meta.
这些合同的利润率通常非常低,但它们让公司能够更快地推进,并以可以说更便宜的价格筹集资金。这也意味着他们为现在正在到来的局面做好了准备。他们可以以更高的价格出租兆瓦,这也意味着他们不必把全部产能都卖掉。
These contracts typically have a very low profit margin, but they allowed them to move faster and raise capital at a price that was, let's say, cheaper. This also means they are ready for what is coming now.
They can lease megawatts at a higher price, which also means they don't have to sell their entire capacity.
价格在持续上涨。如果有些公司只想拿到3个月的配额,那我们就会多收他们一点钱,这意味着我们的利润率状况会突然大幅改善,这当然有助于公司更快地建设,而不需要筹集更多资金,尤其是在当前的利率环境下。
Prices are constantly increasing. If some companies want to get an allocation for only 3 months, well, we will charge them a little more, which means that our profit margin profile suddenly improves dramatically, which of course helps the company to build faster and not need to raise more capital, especially in the current interest rate environment.
所以,我们在这里看到的是一家在我看来属于同类中最好的公司,并且仍在非常快速地增长。你会看到,公司的利润率实际上会随着时间推移而改善。
So , here we are looking at a company that, in my opinion, is the best in its class and continues to grow very rapidly . You will see that the company's profit margin actually improves over time.
这里的担忧总体上有些被夸大了,但我理解这些担忧。我理解目前这些担忧,因为我们谈论的是非常庞大的数字和很高的增长率,而这些公司可以说仍处于早期阶段。
The concerns here are generally a bit exaggerated, but I understand them. I understand those concerns at the moment because we are talking about very large numbers and high growth rates for companies that are, let's say, still in their early stages.
观察点
这个频道对 $NBIS 的历次判断
The Motley Fool 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。